{"id":25269,"date":"2023-12-23T11:08:00","date_gmt":"2023-12-23T16:08:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=25269"},"modified":"2023-12-23T00:31:20","modified_gmt":"2023-12-23T05:31:20","slug":"hawaii-bowl-picks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football-bowl-games\/hawaii-bowl-picks\/","title":{"rendered":"Hawaii Bowl Predictions : Coastal Carolina vs San Jose State Free Picks, Best Bets 12\/23"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs San Jose State Spartans Best Bets: Hawaii Bowl Preview &amp; Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Ronacesports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Football content contributor Ron Marmalefsky<\/a>\u00a0says aloha with some hot picks on The Hawaii Bowl being played on December 23rd, between <strong>Coastal Carolina and San Jose State<\/strong>. What are his takeaways and things to watch when considering betting?  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Both Coastal Carolina and San Jose St finished 7-5, but hoped for better.&nbsp; For Coastal, QB injuries derailed the new staff.&nbsp; San Jose State was the victim of computers.&nbsp; They lost an opportunity to compete in the Mountain West title game despite a win at UNLV.&nbsp; Regardless, coming to the island to play in a bowl game seems like a nice \u201cconsolation prize\u201d.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Find free <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/college-football\">college football best bets<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football-bowl-games\/\">bowl game coverage<\/a> this postseason. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">New Customers Get 15% Off ALL Premium Expert Bowl Game Picks &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/college-football\">Get Started Now<\/a>!<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/a.slack-edge.com\/production-standard-emoji-assets\/14.0\/google-medium\/1f6d2@2x.png\" alt=\":shopping_trolley:\">&nbsp;All FIRST TIME customers will receive <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/college-football\">15% OFF anything<\/a> and everything in their cart on their first purchase! There is no cap or limit, including from daily to long-term, and the discount is automatic with no coupon code needed!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-black-color has-luminous-vivid-orange-background-color has-text-color has-background wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/college-football\"><strong>Get 15% Off All Premium Bowl Picks<\/strong><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Hawaii Bowl Predictions and Best Bets:  Coastal Carolina Overview <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Coastal ran 4.4 per carry, up a bit from 4.1 of a year ago.\u00a0 Their top RB ran just 86 times, but reserve QB Vesko projects to 55 rush yards in this spot.\u00a0 Vesko looked quite sharp in his start vs. James Madison, and he may surprise some folks here.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The run defense regressed, from 3.85 per carry allowed to 4.6.\u00a0 This is an obvious concern vs. a suddenly relevant SJ St rush attack (see below).\u00a0 Coastal\u2019s pass defense improved, and has a shot to contain the Spartans, but QB Cordeiro has plenty of experience and I suspect we\u2019ll see some success thanks to their run attack being able to set up passing situations.\u00a0 Nothing else really stood out when I dug through the stat sheet.\u00a0 Two kickers combine to go 16-24.\u00a0 The sack ratio was 29-16.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"550\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/78822102916_nevada_at_sjsu-e1692815858257.jpg\" alt=\"hawaii bowl\" class=\"wp-image-22321\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/78822102916_nevada_at_sjsu-e1692815858257.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/78822102916_nevada_at_sjsu-e1692815858257-300x165.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/78822102916_nevada_at_sjsu-e1692815858257-768x422.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Hawaii Bowl Picks:  San Jose State Strengths and Weaknesses<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00a0SJ St has had seasons where they ran 4.6 per carry, but in 2022 they ran 3.4-88 yards per game while still securing a bowl berth.\u00a0 This year\u2019s team broke records with a 5.9 per carry average.\u00a0 They have a fantastic one-two RB punch, with each guy typically carrying the ball ten or more times.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>QB Cordeiro has loads of experience, and used to play in Hawaii.\u00a0 In 2023 he passed at 62.3%, with a great 19-4 touchdown to interception ratio.\u00a0 The WR unit is decent, but their lead TE is gone.\u00a0 I like the backup TE, and he could outperform his seasonal numbers.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What hurt this team is defensive regression.\u00a0 After three years living at about 3.6 yards per-carry allowed, the number soared to 4.8. \u00a0 SJ St is still picked via my rush stat formula, but this remains an area of concern.\u00a0 The pass defense was its usual self at 61%.\u00a0 Overall, I look for Coastal to be able to run and pass on SJ St, although not to any extreme numbers.\u00a0 In 2022 SJ St had a +12 turnover ratio.\u00a0 There was no regression, as the 2023 ratio was +13.\u00a0 Kicking remained about the same at 10-14.\u00a0 Last year\u2019s 36-40 sack ratio became 23-19.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That confirms my thought that Coastal will be able to have offensive rhythm, but it also shows that an experienced QB, coupled with a much-improved run game can help to reduce sacks taken.\u00a0 Two other notes.\u00a0 1<sup>st<\/sup>, while SJ State delivered 30 rushing touchdowns, they also gave up 27 of their own.\u00a0 2<sup>nd<\/sup>, SJ St\u2019s left tackle will not play in this game.\u00a0 That could be a minor concern.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Hawaii Bowl Best Bets &#8211; The Keys to The Game: <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Coastal has to slow down SJ State\u2019s running game, and at the same time, establish their own run attack.\u00a0 Will the lack of experience of their QB (Vesko) be an issue?\u00a0 SJ St could give Coastal confidence if the Spartans start out lethargic.\u00a0 Will QB Cordeiro thrive in his old surroundings?\u00a0 Beyond that, I lack other matchup indicators to flush out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Hawaii Bowl Bowl &#8211; The Free Picks &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>With yet another QB out of a bowl game it was hard to put a true Power Number on Coastal, even though two of their backups have seen time when the lead guy was hurt.\u00a0 I show SJ St in a 53% rush category, which clearly carries minimal weight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Pick: Hawaii Bowl Prediction!<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s early enough in the bowl season that I\u2019d rather have the dog, but to win Vesko has to have a big game.&nbsp; I\u2019m more inclined to watch how the game starts out, and if satisfied, <strong>only then consider Coastal<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here are some alternative recommendations: <strong>QB Vesko YES TD run and over his listed rushing yardage.\u00a0 <\/strong>Sacks won\u2019t likely be plentiful in this game, and that gives Vesko time to survey the field and take off running, especially if his team falls behind.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NCAAF Bowl Coverage: WagerTalk Has It All<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Looking for even more college football coverage?  Wagertalk will be provided bowl game predictions and previews for each CFB bowl game &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football-bowl-games\/\">find it here each day<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">WagerTalk&#8217;s Live Bowl Game Odds Screen<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk\u2019s college football <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds?sport=L2&amp;cb=0.4228145318819374\">live odds screen<\/a> features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Track college football moneylines, spreads and betting percentages for all bowl games and monitor your <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/news\/football\/article\/2023-12-03\/2023-24-college-football-bowl-game-schedule-scores-tv-channels-times\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NCAAF<\/a> bowl games picks, including moneyline, spread bets, and totals betting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span> Go beyond the anytime touchdown scorer picks!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong>Latest Betting Odds and Public Action<\/strong><strong>: <\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/odds\" data-schema-attribute=\"\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Vegas lines<\/a> updated in real time, including who the public is betting on<\/span> and anytime touchdown scorer odds. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Last Minute Handicapping Advice<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">: Check out our extensive library of <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/sports-betting-guide\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">handicapping tips<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/videos\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sports betting tips video library<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">)<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Want an expert opinion?<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> Check out the latest <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Free Sports Picks<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Best Bets<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> from our team of expert sports handicappers.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs San Jose State Spartans Best Bets: Hawaii Bowl Preview &amp; Prediction Football content contributor Ron Marmalefsky\u00a0says aloha with some hot picks on The Hawaii Bowl being played on December 23rd, between Coastal Carolina and San Jose State. What are his takeaways and things to watch when considering betting? Both Coastal Carolina [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":46,"featured_media":22321,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2044],"tags":[8,5239,7916,7915,8096,8097,1088,5152,5151,11,8098],"class_list":["post-25269","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-football-bowl-games","tag-college-football","tag-college-football-best-bets","tag-college-football-bowl-game-betting-advice","tag-college-football-bowl-game-preview","tag-college-football-bowl-games","tag-college-football-bowl-picks","tag-college-football-picks","tag-free-college-football-picks","tag-free-ncaaf-picks","tag-ncaaf","tag-ncaaf-predictions"],"basic_html":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs San Jose State Spartans Best Bets: Hawaii Bowl Preview &amp; Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Ronacesports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Football content contributor Ron Marmalefsky<\/a>\u00a0says aloha with some hot picks on The Hawaii Bowl being played on December 23rd, between <strong>Coastal Carolina and San Jose State<\/strong>. What are his takeaways and things to watch when considering betting?  <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Both Coastal Carolina and San Jose St finished 7-5, but hoped for better.&nbsp; For Coastal, QB injuries derailed the new staff.&nbsp; San Jose State was the victim of computers.&nbsp; They lost an opportunity to compete in the Mountain West title game despite a win at UNLV.&nbsp; Regardless, coming to the island to play in a bowl game seems like a nice \u201cconsolation prize\u201d.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Find free <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/college-football\">college football best bets<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football-bowl-games\/\">bowl game coverage<\/a> this postseason. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">New Customers Get 15% Off ALL Premium Expert Bowl Game Picks - <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/college-football\">Get Started Now<\/a>!<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/a.slack-edge.com\/production-standard-emoji-assets\/14.0\/google-medium\/1f6d2@2x.png\" alt=\":shopping_trolley:\">&nbsp;All FIRST TIME customers will receive <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/college-football\">15% OFF anything<\/a> and everything in their cart on their first purchase! There is no cap or limit, including from daily to long-term, and the discount is automatic with no coupon code needed!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Hawaii Bowl Predictions and Best Bets:  Coastal Carolina Overview <\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Coastal ran 4.4 per carry, up a bit from 4.1 of a year ago.\u00a0 Their top RB ran just 86 times, but reserve QB Vesko projects to 55 rush yards in this spot.\u00a0 Vesko looked quite sharp in his start vs. James Madison, and he may surprise some folks here.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The run defense regressed, from 3.85 per carry allowed to 4.6.\u00a0 This is an obvious concern vs. a suddenly relevant SJ St rush attack (see below).\u00a0 Coastal\u2019s pass defense improved, and has a shot to contain the Spartans, but QB Cordeiro has plenty of experience and I suspect we\u2019ll see some success thanks to their run attack being able to set up passing situations.\u00a0 Nothing else really stood out when I dug through the stat sheet.\u00a0 Two kickers combine to go 16-24.\u00a0 The sack ratio was 29-16.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/78822102916_nevada_at_sjsu-e1692815858257.jpg\" alt=\"hawaii bowl\" class=\"wp-image-22321\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Hawaii Bowl Picks:  San Jose State Strengths and Weaknesses<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>\u00a0SJ St has had seasons where they ran 4.6 per carry, but in 2022 they ran 3.4-88 yards per game while still securing a bowl berth.\u00a0 This year\u2019s team broke records with a 5.9 per carry average.\u00a0 They have a fantastic one-two RB punch, with each guy typically carrying the ball ten or more times.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>QB Cordeiro has loads of experience, and used to play in Hawaii.\u00a0 In 2023 he passed at 62.3%, with a great 19-4 touchdown to interception ratio.\u00a0 The WR unit is decent, but their lead TE is gone.\u00a0 I like the backup TE, and he could outperform his seasonal numbers.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>What hurt this team is defensive regression.\u00a0 After three years living at about 3.6 yards per-carry allowed, the number soared to 4.8. \u00a0 SJ St is still picked via my rush stat formula, but this remains an area of concern.\u00a0 The pass defense was its usual self at 61%.\u00a0 Overall, I look for Coastal to be able to run and pass on SJ St, although not to any extreme numbers.\u00a0 In 2022 SJ St had a +12 turnover ratio.\u00a0 There was no regression, as the 2023 ratio was +13.\u00a0 Kicking remained about the same at 10-14.\u00a0 Last year\u2019s 36-40 sack ratio became 23-19.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>That confirms my thought that Coastal will be able to have offensive rhythm, but it also shows that an experienced QB, coupled with a much-improved run game can help to reduce sacks taken.\u00a0 Two other notes.\u00a0 1<sup>st<\/sup>, while SJ State delivered 30 rushing touchdowns, they also gave up 27 of their own.\u00a0 2<sup>nd<\/sup>, SJ St\u2019s left tackle will not play in this game.\u00a0 That could be a minor concern.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Hawaii Bowl Best Bets - The Keys to The Game: <\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Coastal has to slow down SJ State\u2019s running game, and at the same time, establish their own run attack.\u00a0 Will the lack of experience of their QB (Vesko) be an issue?\u00a0 SJ St could give Coastal confidence if the Spartans start out lethargic.\u00a0 Will QB Cordeiro thrive in his old surroundings?\u00a0 Beyond that, I lack other matchup indicators to flush out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Hawaii Bowl Bowl - The Free Picks &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>With yet another QB out of a bowl game it was hard to put a true Power Number on Coastal, even though two of their backups have seen time when the lead guy was hurt.\u00a0 I show SJ St in a 53% rush category, which clearly carries minimal weight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Pick: Hawaii Bowl Prediction!<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s early enough in the bowl season that I\u2019d rather have the dog, but to win Vesko has to have a big game.&nbsp; I\u2019m more inclined to watch how the game starts out, and if satisfied, <strong>only then consider Coastal<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Here are some alternative recommendations: <strong>QB Vesko YES TD run and over his listed rushing yardage.\u00a0 <\/strong>Sacks won\u2019t likely be plentiful in this game, and that gives Vesko time to survey the field and take off running, especially if his team falls behind.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NCAAF Bowl Coverage: WagerTalk Has It All<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Looking for even more college football coverage?  Wagertalk will be provided bowl game predictions and previews for each CFB bowl game - <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football-bowl-games\/\">find it here each day<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">WagerTalk's Live Bowl Game Odds Screen<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk\u2019s college football <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds?sport=L2&amp;cb=0.4228145318819374\">live odds screen<\/a> features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Track college football moneylines, spreads and betting percentages for all bowl games and monitor your <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/news\/football\/article\/2023-12-03\/2023-24-college-football-bowl-game-schedule-scores-tv-channels-times\">NCAAF<\/a> bowl games picks, including moneyline, spread bets, and totals betting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span> Go beyond the anytime touchdown scorer picks!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul>\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p> <\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25269","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/46"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25269"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25269\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25277,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25269\/revisions\/25277"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22321"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25269"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25269"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25269"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}