{"id":25213,"date":"2023-12-20T12:54:15","date_gmt":"2023-12-20T17:54:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=25213"},"modified":"2023-12-20T12:54:17","modified_gmt":"2023-12-20T17:54:17","slug":"boca-raton-bowl-predictions-best-bets-picks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football-bowl-games\/boca-raton-bowl-predictions-best-bets-picks\/","title":{"rendered":"Boca Raton Bowl Predictions : Syracuse vs USF Free Picks, Best Bets 12\/21"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Syracuse Orangemen vs USF Bulls Best Bets: Boca Raton Bowl Preview & Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Football content contributor Ron Marmalefsky<\/a> gives you tips on The Boca Raton Bowl being played on December 21st, between South Florida and USF<\/strong>. What are his takeaways and things to watch when considering betting? <\/p>\n\n\n\n

South Florida (USF) is thrilled to be bowling.<\/strong>  6-6 doesn\u2019t sound like much, but the Bulls went 4-29 the past three seasons before new coach Alex Golesh got this thing going in the right direction. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Conversely, Syracuse is less than thrilled to play this game.  <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Streaky as always, they needed a victory over Wake Forest to achieve 6-6.  They got that win, but without Head Coach Dino Babers, who was fired just prior to that game.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Syracuse is clearly the higher rated team, both by Power Numbers and by on-field data.  This game will be a classic test case for how much motivation might play a part in deciding bowl outcomes. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Find free college football best bets<\/a> and bowl game coverage<\/a> this postseason. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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The Boca Raton Bowl Predictions and Best Bets: USF Overview <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

USF saw improvement in most offensive areas.  They averaged 31 points per game, and 28 points per game vs. five bowl teams.  They ran for over 180 yards per game, led by freshman QB Brown (7435, 11 rush TD\u2019s) and senior RB Wright (757-4.5-7 rush TD\u2019s).  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Using comparable opponent analysis, USF does not project to rush for more than 4.0 per carry in this spot, partially due to their 40 sacks allowed (I do not use my adjusted rush stat formula teams in the American Conference).   <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Brown\u2019s debut season as a passer was quite good, at 64% with a 23-11 ratio.  I expect he can achieve 64% in this spot, but he needs to tone down the interceptions (eight of twelve games with an interception).  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Defense is Better But Still Not Good<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

USF\u2019s defense has been quite poor the last few seasons, and this year\u2019s version still has work to do.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

They allowed 35 points per game, a decent 4.4 (for them) yards per rush attempt, and 61% through the air, with a modest 21 defensive sacks.  Kicking was average.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out the The Boca Raton Bowl Video Picks Too!<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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