{"id":25079,"date":"2023-12-15T21:05:53","date_gmt":"2023-12-16T02:05:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=25079"},"modified":"2023-12-15T21:05:55","modified_gmt":"2023-12-16T02:05:55","slug":"new-orleans-bowl-best-bets-free-picks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football-bowl-games\/new-orleans-bowl-best-bets-free-picks\/","title":{"rendered":"New Orleans Bowl Best Bets: Jacksonville State vs. UL Lafayette Predictions – College Football 12\/16"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

New Orleans Bowl Preview & Free Picks: Jacksonville State vs. UL Lafayette Best Bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Football content contributor Ron Marmalefsky<\/a> offers his tips on The New Orleans Bowl being played on December 16th, between Jacksonville State and UL Lafayette<\/strong>. What are his takeaways and things to watch from a betting perspective? Read below now!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rich Rodriguez has once again proved how valuable a coach he is.  Projected to win about four games, the Gamecocks instead went 8-4<\/strong>, and got to this bowl game thanks to an insufficient number of \u201cqualified\u201d 6-6 teams.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

UL Lafayette (ULL) struggled under the new staff, putting together back-to-back 6-6 seasons.  They remain in their home state, but is that a positive, considering they lost playing in Shreveport a year ago?  This might be an important game for the direction of their program – this The New Orleans Bowl. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Find free college football best bets<\/a> and bowl game coverage<\/a> this postseason. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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New Orleans Bowl Picks and Best Bets: Jacksonville State Preview <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Gamecocks did not play a particularly difficult schedule, but beat the teams they were expected to beat.  The rush ratio was 4.85-2.8.  ULL is a run-first team, so the real question is this?  How reliable is Jacksonville State\u2019s stated 2.8 per-carry rush defense?  Will they perform in the The New Orleans Bowl?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Liberty ran 55-245, and well-coached New Mexico State ran 48-186.  They didn\u2019t face many other even average rush attacks, but the numbers indicate they still slightly outperformed expectations.  While running on ULL may be slightly more difficult than expected, QB Webb had five games where he himself ran for over 100 yards.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

My numbers project Webb to be about 50% when passing the ball, so Webb, and his deep RB unit needs to run the ball effectively to get their offense rolling.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Jacksonville State Defensive Numbers<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The defensive numbers are decent, but not perfect, considering the competition.  The sack ratio is a stout 36-15.  ULL has the ability to rush opposing QB\u2019s, so Webb staying out of trouble is important.  PK Karajic was 14-20, going 4-8 from 40 yards on out.  He is in the transfer portal<\/em><\/strong>!  I\u2019m not sure why he needs to enter the portal before 12\/16, but 2023 is the first time we\u2019re seeing money thrown at kids encouraging them to transfer.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

I\u2019ll leave my personal commentary on this out of the bowl previews.  For handicapping purposes, this could affect the kicking game and the kickoff game in The New Orleans Bowl.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

New Orleans Bowl Best Betting Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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