{"id":24438,"date":"2023-11-01T15:22:41","date_gmt":"2023-11-01T19:22:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=24438"},"modified":"2024-08-21T14:46:55","modified_gmt":"2024-08-21T18:46:55","slug":"ufc-fight-night-almeida-vs-lewis-predictions-picks-and-betting-odds-november-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/mma\/ufc-fight-night-almeida-vs-lewis-predictions-picks-and-betting-odds-november-4\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Lewis Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds November 4"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UFC Fight Night Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><span style=\"color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; font-size: revert;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/andy-lang\">UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang<\/a> gives his <\/span><strong>UFC Fight Night predictions<span style=\"color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; font-size: revert;\"> and picks for November 4th<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; font-size: revert;\"> with <\/span>Jailton Almeida vs Derrick Lewis <span style=\"color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; font-size: revert;\">headlining the event in a heavyweight fight. The main card starts up at 9:00pm ET from<\/span> Ginasio Do Ibirapuera, Sao Paulo, Brazil. And, don\u2019t forget, at WagerTalk you can always find the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nfl\">best NFL bets today<\/a>\u00a0updated constantly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em>Are you subscribed to WagerTalk TV? If not, what are you waiting for?! Set up alerts so that you never miss an episode of your favorite shows. Drop the gloves with the Puck Time crew and swing for the fences on First Pitch. From betting tips to free picks, <a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/tv\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">WagerTalk TV<\/a> is your one-stop shop for streaming sports betting content.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk also offers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/MMA\">Free UFC Picks<\/a> all year long!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Jailton Almeida vs Derrick Lewis: UFC Fight Night Main Event<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><th>Saturday, November 4<\/th><th>UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of <a href=\"https:\/\/wlwilliamhillus.adsrv.eacdn.com\/C.ashx?btag=a_3552b_1278c_&amp;affid=32&amp;siteid=3552&amp;adid=1278&amp;c=\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Caesars<\/a>)<\/th><\/tr><tr><td>Moneyline:<\/td><td>Jailton Almeida -520 vs Derrick Lewis +385<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rounds:<\/td><td>1.5 Rounds (Over +270 \/ Under -340)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Fight Time:<\/td><td>Main Card Starts at 9:00pm ET \/ 6:00pm PT<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Arena:<\/td><td>Ginasio Do Ibirapuera, Sao Paulo, Brazil<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>TV:<\/td><td>ESPN+<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"amazing-offer-from-expert-nfl-handicappers\">Before You Read UFC Fight Night Predictions&#8230; Get $15 FREE towards all expert picks &#8211; including UFC &amp; More<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><a class=\"anchor\" id=\"newsletterfrm\"><\/a>\n<div class=\"hottest_play_area\">\n  <div id=\"newsletter_widget\" class=\"hottest_play_third_area newsletter_widget\">\n    <div class=\"hottest_play_third_area_content\">\n      <div class=\"sign-up-offer-text\">\n        <p>SPECIAL OFFER FOR FIRST TIME SUBSCRIBERS<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-thank new\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <a class=\"anchor-newsletter\"><\/a>\n        Thanks for signing up! 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Fernandes has a good record coming out of Shooto Brasil, and he\u2019s 2-1 in LFA, but his two wins were quick knockouts, and his loss was a decision win where he won the first round by laying on his opponent, and his cardio fell off a cliff and he lost the next two rounds. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Diakiese has lost two in a row, but unless Fernandes has worked on his cardio big time I think Diakiese grinds out a decision win. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fernandes likes to throw kicks, but again, his cardio goes away and he stops throwing them. <strong>Diakese should survive the early attack from Fernandes and win a fairly boring fight<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"epyt-video-wrapper\"><div  style=\"display: block; margin: 0px auto;\"  id=\"_ytid_71717\"  width=\"870\" height=\"489\"  data-origwidth=\"870\" data-origheight=\"489\" data-facadesrc=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/1ZnIpwDi2jc?enablejsapi=1&#038;origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com&#038;autoplay=0&#038;cc_load_policy=1&#038;cc_lang_pref=&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;loop=0&#038;rel=0&#038;fs=1&#038;playsinline=0&#038;autohide=2&#038;hl=en_US&#038;theme=dark&#038;color=red&#038;controls=1&#038;disablekb=0&#038;\" class=\"__youtube_prefs__ epyt-facade  epyt-is-override  no-lazyload\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-spai-excluded=\"true\" class=\"epyt-facade-poster skip-lazy\" loading=\"lazy\"  alt=\"UFC Fight Night: Jailton Almeida v Derrick Lewis-Every Fight Breakdown, Bets, Tips, Predictions\"  src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/1ZnIpwDi2jc\/maxresdefault.jpg\"  \/><button class=\"epyt-facade-play\" aria-label=\"Play\"><svg data-no-lazy=\"1\" height=\"100%\" version=\"1.1\" viewBox=\"0 0 68 48\" width=\"100%\"><path class=\"ytp-large-play-button-bg\" d=\"M66.52,7.74c-0.78-2.93-2.49-5.41-5.42-6.19C55.79,.13,34,0,34,0S12.21,.13,6.9,1.55 C3.97,2.33,2.27,4.81,1.48,7.74C0.06,13.05,0,24,0,24s0.06,10.95,1.48,16.26c0.78,2.93,2.49,5.41,5.42,6.19 C12.21,47.87,34,48,34,48s21.79-0.13,27.1-1.55c2.93-0.78,4.64-3.26,5.42-6.19C67.94,34.95,68,24,68,24S67.94,13.05,66.52,7.74z\" fill=\"#f00\"><\/path><path d=\"M 45,24 27,14 27,34\" fill=\"#fff\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><\/div><\/div><span itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><meta itemprop=\"embedUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/1ZnIpwDi2jc\"><meta itemprop=\"name\" content=\"UFC Fight Night: Jailton Almeida v Derrick Lewis-Every Fight Breakdown, Bets, Tips, Predictions\"><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Andy breaks down every fight from UFC Fight Night: Almeida v Lewis. All of Andy&#039;s official plays can be found here: http:\/\/wt.buzz\/al Introduction 00:00 Kaue Fernandes v Marc Diakiese 01:20 Montserrat Ruiz v Eduarda Moura 03:54 Angela Hill v Denise Gomes 06:04 Vitor Petrino v Modestas Bukauskas 08:18 Elizeu Zaleski v Rinat Fakhretdinov 10:57 Daniel Marcos v Victor Hugo 13:00 Elves Brener v Esteban Rivobics 15:27 Ismael Bonfim v Vinc Pinchel 17:39 Rodolfo Vieira v Armen Petrosyan 20:24 Caio Borralho v Abus Magomedov 22:49 Rodrigo Nascimento v Don&#039;Tale Mayes 26:06 Gabriel Bonfim v Nicolas Dalby 28:49 Jailton Almeida v Derrick Lewis 31:30 \ud83d\udc4d Make sure to SUBSCRIBE to WagerTalk TV; \ud83d\udd14 CLICK the Bell and never miss an episode! \ud83e\udd11 Free Sports Picks: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks \ud83d\udcca Live Odds: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds \ud83d\uddde\ufe0f News: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news \ud83d\udc4d Stay connected with WagerTalk \ud83d\udcfa YouTube: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tv \ud83d\udc4d Facebook: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/fb \ud83d\udc26 Twitter: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tw \ud83d\udcf8 Instagram: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ig \ud83d\udcf0 Reddit: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/rd \u2764\ufe0f iHeart Radio: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/iheart \ud83c\udf4e Apple Podcasts: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ap \ud83d\udccc Pinterest: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/pin\"><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/1ZnIpwDi2jc\/0.jpg\"><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT37M11S\"><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2023-10-30T00:34:08Z\"><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Eduarda Moura -395 v Montserrat Ruiz +310<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Eduarda Moura is making her UFC debut and is a massive favorite for good reason. She is undefeated, and is a takedown specialist who knows how to finish on the ground, and Ruiz is coming off a loss where she got taken down and dominated until she was finished on the ground by Amorim. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ruiz doesn\u2019t have great striking, and Moura won\u2019t be afraid to shoot since Ruiz won\u2019t be a threat to knock her out, and her takedown defense looked pretty bad last fight. <strong>Moura ML is a good parlay piece<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Angela Hill +110 v Denise Gomes -130<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Denise Gomes is a fantastic striker, and at only 23 years old, she has a long career ahead of her in the UFC. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The question here, is can she handle a veteran like Angela Hill, and not get too excited and tire herself out going for the big highlight reel finish. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>She just pulled a big upset in her KO of Jauregui only 20 seconds into the fight as she showed her upside in the striking department. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hill is 38 and is moving towards her full time announcing career, but she just went the distance with Mackenzie Dern, and beat Emily Ducote and Lupita Godinez before that. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, I believe in the upside that Gomes has and she just throws so hard and accurate that<strong> I think she gets the KO or does enough damage to slow down Hill<\/strong>. It\u2019s a pretty good price on a powerful fighter with knockout power.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Vitor Petrino -258 v Modestas Bukauskas +210<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Modestas Bukauskas has beaten Tyson Pedro and Zac Pauga in his two fights since returning to the UFC, and he\u2019s used the same style in both fights where he keeps his distance, uses his jab and movement, and lets his opponents tire out. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pedro and Pauga showed pretty bad cardio as both were pretty tired in the third round, and while Petrino doesn\u2019t have great cardio I think it\u2019s better than those two. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I also think Bukauskas was tired by round three in the Pauga fight so I\u2019m not sure his style will work here. Petrino is 9-0, and looked better last fight when he submitted Prachnio (Prachnio has bad cardio as well) in the third round, and I like how he\u2019s progressed over the last couple years. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He was knocking guys out in round one on lower promotions, but his game is getting more well rounded and I think his power will set up his takedowns nice here. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Once on the ground, <strong>it\u2019s big advantage Petrino so I give him the nod here<\/strong>. I don\u2019t think I would lay this juice, and I don\u2019t know if this fight goes the distance so it will be a pass for me betting wise, but I do think Petrino gets the win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Rinat Fakhretdinov -345 v Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos +275<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I think the line is right as <strong>Fakhretkinov should win<\/strong>, and I think it\u2019s worth a parlay piece. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I\u2019ll start with Dos Santos who is in his late 30s and he doesn\u2019t fight much as he\u2019s fought twice in almost two years beating Benoit Saint-Denis and Abubakar Nurmagomedov, and althought the Nurmagomedov fight was a few months ago, I didn\u2019t think he looked amazing. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It was a split decision, and he didn\u2019t do much damage and he took strikes and lost several clinch battles. Fakhretdinov has looked great recently as he got the quick submission against Kevin Lee in his last fight, and before that he looked amazing against Bryan Battle as he showed striking and wrestling in his arsenal. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I believe he has too much for Dos Santos, and I think he wins a dominant decision here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Victor Hugo v Daniel Marcos<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Victor Hugo is coming off a win on Contender Series last month, and he\u2019s an entertaining fighter that is constantly looking for submissions, particularly with leg submissions, and when researching him for Contender Series, you\u2019ll find there isn\u2019t much film on him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It was a great performance on Contender Series, but Daniel Marcos is undefeated, and I don\u2019t think Hugo has fought anyone as good as Marcos. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Marcos is a bit low volume on the feet, but his strikes are accurate and powerful and he stays out of harms way while landing his strikes. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hugo\u2019s style is a bit wild, and he leaves himself open on the feet, and I don\u2019t see him overcoming the strikes that Marcos will put on him. <strong>Marcos by decision<\/strong> is my pick.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Elves Brener -145 v Esteban Ribovics +124<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I believe Elves Brenner has the higher upside, and that\u2019s why he\u2019s favored, but this <strong>fight is probably a stay away<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Brener is coming off a stunning win against Guram Kutateladze where he was losing, and got a flash KO in round three, but give him credit for being tough and having the power to end it late. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I\u2019m just not impressed with Ribovics at the UFC level, he doesn\u2019t seem to have KO power, doesn\u2019t have a great ground game, and his last fight was a pretty underwhelming win against Kamuela Kirk where neither guy showed much potential. I won\u2019t be betting on this fight<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Ismael Bonfim -440 v Vinc Pichel +340<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ismael Bonfim suffered his first loss in nine years, but it was against Benoit Saint-Denis who looks like a monster at this point, and who is really big for the division so I\u2019m not going to downgrade Bonfim for that loss. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He\u2019s getting a really nice get right spot against 40 year old Vinc Pichel who lost to Mark Madsen a year and a half ago, and hasn\u2019t fought since. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Two of his last three wins have been against Roosevelt Roberts and Austin Hubbard, two guys who were cut from the UFC and were on The Ultimate Fighter this recent season. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bonfim isn\u2019t scared to take strikes to deliver them, but he does take too many shots for my liking. I just don\u2019t think Pichel will be able to exploit the weakness of Bonfim. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He looked old and slow against Madsen a year and a half ago, I don\u2019t think he\u2019s gotten younger. <strong>Bonfim should be too much for Pichel<\/strong>, use him as a parlay piece.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Armen Petrosyan -112 v Rodolfo Vieira -108<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I love the value on Armen Petrosyan here as he tends to get stronger the longer the fight goes on, and Vieira tails off as his cardio goes away. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Vieira will shoot for takedowns over and over, but if he doesn\u2019t land them he gets tired and he gets beat on the feet as we saw against Chris Curtis. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He came back with a submission win over Cody Brundage, but there is no fighter I\u2019m lower on than Cody Brundage. Petrosyan comes off a win against Chris Duncan where he wore down Duncan and pulled away late, and I believe that\u2019s what he does here using his somewhat low volume, but effective strikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He may lose round one, but <strong>I just trust him over three rounds to outlast Vieira<\/strong> in a close decision win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Caio Borralho -265 v Abus Magomedov +215<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I\u2019m pretty surprised that money has come in on Magomedov as this line opened at -360 and I\u2019m pretty confident in the game plan for Caio Borralho here. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Abus Magomedov has good striking, but only for a few minutes and we saw how terrible his cardio is against Sean Strickland when he gassed hard and got knocked out. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There\u2019s no reason for Borralho to stay on the feet for very long as Magomedov\u2019s only path to victory is an early KO. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Borralho a master at takedowns and ground game, and he\u2019s so powerful that I don\u2019t think he\u2019ll have a problem getting Magomedov on the ground. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Once he gets Magomedov on the ground, he\u2019ll get the finish as Abus will tire out and give in to ground and pound or submission. <strong>Borralho ML is a solid play<\/strong>, or just wait til props come out and take Caio ITD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Rodrigo Nascimento -192 v Don\u2019Tale Mayes +160<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Take this fight to go the distance. These two guys are very low volume in the striking department, and they both lose their KO power a couple minutes into the fight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mayes is coming off a KO win, but it was against Arlovski who is way past his prime. Nascimento has better kicks in my opinion, but Mayes may be a bit more powerful striker. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Regardless, these guy are pretty evenly matched, so the value is in the dog, but I don\u2019t see a finish in this fight. I\u2019ll take the over.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Gabriel Bonfim -520 v Nicolas Dalby +390<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Huge odss here on Gabriel Bonfim, but I\u2019m not sure he\u2019s going to be able to overwhelm Dalby like he has his previous opponents. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He\u2019s finished Trey Waters, Mounir Lazzez and Trevin Giles in the first round in his first three fights in the UFC, but Dalby is a warrior, and has tons of experience and likes to take fights into deep waters. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dalby has five wins in the UFC and all of them are by decision so he has the cardio and the weapons to last for all three rounds. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This fight is probably going to the ground at some point, and that\u2019s where the fight gets interesting as Bonfim will be looking to lock up a submissions, and Dalby will be trying to defend and tire out Bonfim. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I can\u2019t bet on Bonfim in this matchup because I\u2019m not sure what happens if he goes hard in the first round and doesn\u2019t get the finish. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bonfim should get the win, but I\u2019m just not ready to be against Dalby who has shown extreme toughness and grit the last few fights. This fight is a stay away.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UFC Fight Night Main Event: Jailton Almeida -520 vs Derrick Lewis +385<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>I don\u2019t know why Derrick Lewis accepted this fight as it seems like this is a bad matchup for him. Let\u2019s not get too excited about his last win as it was a flying knee KO 30 seconds into the fight, and we didn\u2019t see his cardio get tested in that fight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jailton Almeida will test his cardio, and he\u2019ll certainly test Lewis\u2019s takedown defense and ground game as it\u2019s been a big weakness for Lewis. Almeida\u2019s competition hasn\u2019t been great to start his UFC career, but he\u2019s taken care of business going 5-0 with all five finishes coming by finish. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Lewis is going to have to land some heavy shots early to slow down Almeida, but I think Almeida avoids the heavy hits and wraps up Lewis, and once he down he\u2019ll wear Lewis down, and get him on the ground. It\u2019s just a terrible stylistic matchup for Lewis, <strong>I think Almeida ITD is a solid bet<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes border-style-solid padding: 6px;\"><table class=\"has-text-color has-background has-fixed-layout\" style=\"background-color:#ffa04b;color:#2e3192\"><thead><tr><th class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\"><\/th><th><\/th><th><\/th><th><\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\"><strong>Sportsbook<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Welcome Bonus<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>States Available<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Get Your Bonus<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">1. PointsBet<\/td><td>$2000 in Risk Free Bets<\/td><td>NJ, IN, IA, IL, CO, MI, VA, NY, KS, LA<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/pointsbet\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">Claim Now!<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">2. Caesars<\/td><td>$1250 Risk Free Bet<\/td><td>NJ, WV, CO, IN, IA, MI, VA, TN, AZ, NY, LA, KS, PA<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/wlwilliamhillus.adsrv.eacdn.com\/C.ashx?btag=a_6125b_1278c_&amp;affid=32&amp;siteid=6125&amp;adid=1278&amp;c=\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">Claim Now!<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">3. 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BetRivers<\/td><td>$500 in Free Bets<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/bet_rivers_pa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">PA<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/bet_rivers_in\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">IN<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/bet_rivers_co\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">CO<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/bet_rivers_mi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">MI<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/bet_rivers_ia\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">IA<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/bet_rivers_il\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">IL<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/bet_rivers_va\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">VA<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/bet_rivers_ny\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">NY<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/sugar_house_nj\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">NJ<\/a><\/td><td><strong>Click State<\/strong> <strong>To Claim<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">7. Unibet<\/td><td>$250 Risk Free Bet<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/unibet_nj\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">NJ<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/unibet_pa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">PA<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/unibet_in\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">IN<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/unibet_ia\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">IA<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/unibet_va\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">VA<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/unibet_az\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">AZ<\/a><br><\/td><td><strong>Click State<\/strong> <strong>To Claim<\/strong> <\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">8. FoxBet<\/td><td>$50 Risk Free Bet<\/td><td>NJ, PA, CO, MI<br><\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/metabet.info\/wagertalk-foxbet\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">Claim Now!<\/a><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong>Latest Betting Odds and Public Action<\/strong><strong>: <\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/odds\" data-schema-attribute=\"\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Vegas lines<\/a> updated in real time, including who the public is betting on. <\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Last Minute Handicapping Advice<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">: Check out our extensive library of <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/sports-betting-guide\">handicapping tips<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/videos\">sports betting tips video library<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">)<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Want an expert opinion?<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> Check out the latest <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\">Free Sports Picks<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\">Best Bets<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> from our team of expert sports handicappers.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>UFC Fight Night Betting Preview UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his UFC Fight Night predictions and picks for November 4th with Jailton Almeida vs Derrick Lewis headlining the event in a heavyweight fight. The main card starts up at 9:00pm ET from Ginasio Do Ibirapuera, Sao Paulo, Brazil. And, don\u2019t forget, at WagerTalk you [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":24439,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[569],"tags":[567,7377,7383,7382,7381,7378,7379,7380,4370,4369,4087,694,3675,3544,1551,3676,7376,1554,7374,1553,7375,593,594,596],"class_list":["post-24438","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mma","tag-derrick-lewis","tag-jailton-almeida-vs-derrick-lewis","tag-jailton-almeida-vs-derrick-lewis-expert-picks","tag-jailton-almeida-vs-derrick-lewis-free-picks","tag-jailton-almeida-vs-derrick-lewis-odds","tag-jailton-almeida-vs-derrick-lewis-picks","tag-jailton-almeida-vs-derrick-lewis-predictions","tag-jailton-almeida-vs-derrick-lewis-preview","tag-ufc-best-bets","tag-ufc-bets","tag-ufc-expert-picks","tag-ufc-fight-night","tag-ufc-fight-night-best-bets","tag-ufc-fight-night-bets","tag-ufc-fight-night-betting","tag-ufc-fight-night-expert-picks","tag-ufc-fight-night-free-picks","tag-ufc-fight-night-picks","tag-ufc-fight-night-prediction","tag-ufc-fight-night-predictions","tag-ufc-fight-night-preview","tag-ufc-odds","tag-ufc-picks","tag-ufc-predictions"],"basic_html":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UFC Fight Night Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><span style=\"color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; font-size: revert;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/andy-lang\">UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang<\/a> gives his <\/span><strong>UFC Fight Night predictions<span style=\"color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; font-size: revert;\"> and picks for November 4th<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; font-size: revert;\"> with <\/span>Jailton Almeida vs Derrick Lewis <span style=\"color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; font-size: revert;\">headlining the event in a heavyweight fight. The main card starts up at 9:00pm ET from<\/span> Ginasio Do Ibirapuera, Sao Paulo, Brazil. And, don\u2019t forget, at WagerTalk you can always find the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nfl\">best NFL bets today<\/a>\u00a0updated constantly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em>Are you subscribed to WagerTalk TV? If not, what are you waiting for?! Set up alerts so that you never miss an episode of your favorite shows. Drop the gloves with the Puck Time crew and swing for the fences on First Pitch. From betting tips to free picks, <a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/tv\">WagerTalk TV<\/a> is your one-stop shop for streaming sports betting content.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk also offers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/MMA\">Free UFC Picks<\/a> all year long!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Jailton Almeida vs Derrick Lewis: UFC Fight Night Main Event<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><th>Saturday, November 4<\/th><th>UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of <a href=\"https:\/\/wlwilliamhillus.adsrv.eacdn.com\/C.ashx?btag=a_3552b_1278c_&amp;affid=32&amp;siteid=3552&amp;adid=1278&amp;c=\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Caesars<\/a>)<\/th><\/tr><tr><td>Moneyline:<\/td><td>Jailton Almeida -520 vs Derrick Lewis +385<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rounds:<\/td><td>1.5 Rounds (Over +270 \/ Under -340)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Fight Time:<\/td><td>Main Card Starts at 9:00pm ET \/ 6:00pm PT<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Arena:<\/td><td>Ginasio Do Ibirapuera, Sao Paulo, Brazil<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>TV:<\/td><td>ESPN+<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"amazing-offer-from-expert-nfl-handicappers\">Before You Read UFC Fight Night Predictions... Get $15 FREE towards all expert picks - including UFC &amp; More<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><a class=\"anchor\" id=\"newsletterfrm\"><\/a>\n<div class=\"hottest_play_area\">\n  <div id=\"newsletter_widget\" class=\"hottest_play_third_area newsletter_widget\">\n    <div class=\"hottest_play_third_area_content\">\n      <div class=\"sign-up-offer-text\">\n        <p>SPECIAL OFFER FOR FIRST TIME SUBSCRIBERS<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-thank new\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <a class=\"anchor-newsletter\"><\/a>\n        Thanks for signing up! 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Fernandes has a good record coming out of Shooto Brasil, and he\u2019s 2-1 in LFA, but his two wins were quick knockouts, and his loss was a decision win where he won the first round by laying on his opponent, and his cardio fell off a cliff and he lost the next two rounds. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Diakiese has lost two in a row, but unless Fernandes has worked on his cardio big time I think Diakiese grinds out a decision win. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Fernandes likes to throw kicks, but again, his cardio goes away and he stops throwing them. <strong>Diakese should survive the early attack from Fernandes and win a fairly boring fight<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n<iframe src='https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/1ZnIpwDi2jc?origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com'><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Eduarda Moura -395 v Montserrat Ruiz +310<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Eduarda Moura is making her UFC debut and is a massive favorite for good reason. She is undefeated, and is a takedown specialist who knows how to finish on the ground, and Ruiz is coming off a loss where she got taken down and dominated until she was finished on the ground by Amorim. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Ruiz doesn\u2019t have great striking, and Moura won\u2019t be afraid to shoot since Ruiz won\u2019t be a threat to knock her out, and her takedown defense looked pretty bad last fight. <strong>Moura ML is a good parlay piece<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Angela Hill +110 v Denise Gomes -130<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Denise Gomes is a fantastic striker, and at only 23 years old, she has a long career ahead of her in the UFC. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The question here, is can she handle a veteran like Angela Hill, and not get too excited and tire herself out going for the big highlight reel finish. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>She just pulled a big upset in her KO of Jauregui only 20 seconds into the fight as she showed her upside in the striking department. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Hill is 38 and is moving towards her full time announcing career, but she just went the distance with Mackenzie Dern, and beat Emily Ducote and Lupita Godinez before that. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>However, I believe in the upside that Gomes has and she just throws so hard and accurate that<strong> I think she gets the KO or does enough damage to slow down Hill<\/strong>. It\u2019s a pretty good price on a powerful fighter with knockout power.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Vitor Petrino -258 v Modestas Bukauskas +210<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Modestas Bukauskas has beaten Tyson Pedro and Zac Pauga in his two fights since returning to the UFC, and he\u2019s used the same style in both fights where he keeps his distance, uses his jab and movement, and lets his opponents tire out. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Pedro and Pauga showed pretty bad cardio as both were pretty tired in the third round, and while Petrino doesn\u2019t have great cardio I think it\u2019s better than those two. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I also think Bukauskas was tired by round three in the Pauga fight so I\u2019m not sure his style will work here. Petrino is 9-0, and looked better last fight when he submitted Prachnio (Prachnio has bad cardio as well) in the third round, and I like how he\u2019s progressed over the last couple years. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>He was knocking guys out in round one on lower promotions, but his game is getting more well rounded and I think his power will set up his takedowns nice here. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Once on the ground, <strong>it\u2019s big advantage Petrino so I give him the nod here<\/strong>. I don\u2019t think I would lay this juice, and I don\u2019t know if this fight goes the distance so it will be a pass for me betting wise, but I do think Petrino gets the win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Rinat Fakhretdinov -345 v Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos +275<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I think the line is right as <strong>Fakhretkinov should win<\/strong>, and I think it\u2019s worth a parlay piece. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I\u2019ll start with Dos Santos who is in his late 30s and he doesn\u2019t fight much as he\u2019s fought twice in almost two years beating Benoit Saint-Denis and Abubakar Nurmagomedov, and althought the Nurmagomedov fight was a few months ago, I didn\u2019t think he looked amazing. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>It was a split decision, and he didn\u2019t do much damage and he took strikes and lost several clinch battles. Fakhretdinov has looked great recently as he got the quick submission against Kevin Lee in his last fight, and before that he looked amazing against Bryan Battle as he showed striking and wrestling in his arsenal. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I believe he has too much for Dos Santos, and I think he wins a dominant decision here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Victor Hugo v Daniel Marcos<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Victor Hugo is coming off a win on Contender Series last month, and he\u2019s an entertaining fighter that is constantly looking for submissions, particularly with leg submissions, and when researching him for Contender Series, you\u2019ll find there isn\u2019t much film on him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>It was a great performance on Contender Series, but Daniel Marcos is undefeated, and I don\u2019t think Hugo has fought anyone as good as Marcos. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Marcos is a bit low volume on the feet, but his strikes are accurate and powerful and he stays out of harms way while landing his strikes. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Hugo\u2019s style is a bit wild, and he leaves himself open on the feet, and I don\u2019t see him overcoming the strikes that Marcos will put on him. <strong>Marcos by decision<\/strong> is my pick.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Elves Brener -145 v Esteban Ribovics +124<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I believe Elves Brenner has the higher upside, and that\u2019s why he\u2019s favored, but this <strong>fight is probably a stay away<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Brener is coming off a stunning win against Guram Kutateladze where he was losing, and got a flash KO in round three, but give him credit for being tough and having the power to end it late. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I\u2019m just not impressed with Ribovics at the UFC level, he doesn\u2019t seem to have KO power, doesn\u2019t have a great ground game, and his last fight was a pretty underwhelming win against Kamuela Kirk where neither guy showed much potential. I won\u2019t be betting on this fight<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Ismael Bonfim -440 v Vinc Pichel +340<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Ismael Bonfim suffered his first loss in nine years, but it was against Benoit Saint-Denis who looks like a monster at this point, and who is really big for the division so I\u2019m not going to downgrade Bonfim for that loss. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>He\u2019s getting a really nice get right spot against 40 year old Vinc Pichel who lost to Mark Madsen a year and a half ago, and hasn\u2019t fought since. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Two of his last three wins have been against Roosevelt Roberts and Austin Hubbard, two guys who were cut from the UFC and were on The Ultimate Fighter this recent season. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Bonfim isn\u2019t scared to take strikes to deliver them, but he does take too many shots for my liking. I just don\u2019t think Pichel will be able to exploit the weakness of Bonfim. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>He looked old and slow against Madsen a year and a half ago, I don\u2019t think he\u2019s gotten younger. <strong>Bonfim should be too much for Pichel<\/strong>, use him as a parlay piece.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Armen Petrosyan -112 v Rodolfo Vieira -108<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I love the value on Armen Petrosyan here as he tends to get stronger the longer the fight goes on, and Vieira tails off as his cardio goes away. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Vieira will shoot for takedowns over and over, but if he doesn\u2019t land them he gets tired and he gets beat on the feet as we saw against Chris Curtis. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>He came back with a submission win over Cody Brundage, but there is no fighter I\u2019m lower on than Cody Brundage. Petrosyan comes off a win against Chris Duncan where he wore down Duncan and pulled away late, and I believe that\u2019s what he does here using his somewhat low volume, but effective strikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>He may lose round one, but <strong>I just trust him over three rounds to outlast Vieira<\/strong> in a close decision win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Caio Borralho -265 v Abus Magomedov +215<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I\u2019m pretty surprised that money has come in on Magomedov as this line opened at -360 and I\u2019m pretty confident in the game plan for Caio Borralho here. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Abus Magomedov has good striking, but only for a few minutes and we saw how terrible his cardio is against Sean Strickland when he gassed hard and got knocked out. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>There\u2019s no reason for Borralho to stay on the feet for very long as Magomedov\u2019s only path to victory is an early KO. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Borralho a master at takedowns and ground game, and he\u2019s so powerful that I don\u2019t think he\u2019ll have a problem getting Magomedov on the ground. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Once he gets Magomedov on the ground, he\u2019ll get the finish as Abus will tire out and give in to ground and pound or submission. <strong>Borralho ML is a solid play<\/strong>, or just wait til props come out and take Caio ITD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Rodrigo Nascimento -192 v Don\u2019Tale Mayes +160<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Take this fight to go the distance. These two guys are very low volume in the striking department, and they both lose their KO power a couple minutes into the fight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Mayes is coming off a KO win, but it was against Arlovski who is way past his prime. Nascimento has better kicks in my opinion, but Mayes may be a bit more powerful striker. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Regardless, these guy are pretty evenly matched, so the value is in the dog, but I don\u2019t see a finish in this fight. I\u2019ll take the over.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Gabriel Bonfim -520 v Nicolas Dalby +390<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Huge odss here on Gabriel Bonfim, but I\u2019m not sure he\u2019s going to be able to overwhelm Dalby like he has his previous opponents. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>He\u2019s finished Trey Waters, Mounir Lazzez and Trevin Giles in the first round in his first three fights in the UFC, but Dalby is a warrior, and has tons of experience and likes to take fights into deep waters. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Dalby has five wins in the UFC and all of them are by decision so he has the cardio and the weapons to last for all three rounds. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>This fight is probably going to the ground at some point, and that\u2019s where the fight gets interesting as Bonfim will be looking to lock up a submissions, and Dalby will be trying to defend and tire out Bonfim. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I can\u2019t bet on Bonfim in this matchup because I\u2019m not sure what happens if he goes hard in the first round and doesn\u2019t get the finish. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Bonfim should get the win, but I\u2019m just not ready to be against Dalby who has shown extreme toughness and grit the last few fights. This fight is a stay away.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UFC Fight Night Main Event: Jailton Almeida -520 vs Derrick Lewis +385<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I don\u2019t know why Derrick Lewis accepted this fight as it seems like this is a bad matchup for him. Let\u2019s not get too excited about his last win as it was a flying knee KO 30 seconds into the fight, and we didn\u2019t see his cardio get tested in that fight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Jailton Almeida will test his cardio, and he\u2019ll certainly test Lewis\u2019s takedown defense and ground game as it\u2019s been a big weakness for Lewis. Almeida\u2019s competition hasn\u2019t been great to start his UFC career, but he\u2019s taken care of business going 5-0 with all five finishes coming by finish. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Lewis is going to have to land some heavy shots early to slow down Almeida, but I think Almeida avoids the heavy hits and wraps up Lewis, and once he down he\u2019ll wear Lewis down, and get him on the ground. It\u2019s just a terrible stylistic matchup for Lewis, <strong>I think Almeida ITD is a solid bet<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24438","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24438"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24438\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":31098,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24438\/revisions\/31098"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24439"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24438"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24438"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24438"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}