{"id":23978,"date":"2023-10-04T08:40:53","date_gmt":"2023-10-04T12:40:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=23978"},"modified":"2023-10-04T08:40:55","modified_gmt":"2023-10-04T12:40:55","slug":"ufc-fight-night-dawson-vs-green-predictions-picks-and-betting-odds-october-7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/mma\/ufc-fight-night-dawson-vs-green-predictions-picks-and-betting-odds-october-7\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs Green Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds October 7"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UFC Fight Night Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><span style=\"color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; font-size: revert;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/andy-lang\">UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang<\/a> gives his <\/span>UFC Fight Night predictions<span style=\"color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; font-size: revert;\"> and picks for October 7 with <\/span>Grant Dawson vs Bobby Green <span style=\"color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; font-size: revert;\">headlining the event in a lightweight fight. The main card starts up at 7:00pm ET from<\/span> UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em>Are you subscribed to WagerTalk TV? If not, what are you waiting for?! Set up alerts so that you never miss an episode of your favorite shows. Drop the gloves with the Puck Time crew and swing for the fences on First Pitch. From betting tips to free picks, <a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/tv\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">WagerTalk TV<\/a> is your one-stop shop for streaming sports betting content.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk also offers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/MMA\">Free UFC Picks<\/a> all year long!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Grant Dawson vs Bobby Green: UFC Fight Night Main Event<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><th>Saturday, October 7<\/th><th>UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of <a href=\"https:\/\/wlwilliamhillus.adsrv.eacdn.com\/C.ashx?btag=a_3552b_1278c_&amp;affid=32&amp;siteid=3552&amp;adid=1278&amp;c=\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Caesars<\/a>)<\/th><\/tr><tr><td>Moneyline:<\/td><td>Grant Dawson -410 vs Bobby Green +315<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rounds:<\/td><td>1.5 Rounds (Over -160 \/ Under +135)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Fight Time:<\/td><td>Main Card Starts at 7:00pm ET \/ 4:00pm PT<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Arena:<\/td><td>UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>TV:<\/td><td>ESPN+<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"amazing-offer-from-expert-nfl-handicappers\">Before You Read UFC Fight Night Predictions&#8230; Get $15 FREE towards all expert picks &#8211; including UFC &amp; More<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><a class=\"anchor\" id=\"newsletterfrm\"><\/a>\n<div class=\"hottest_play_area\">\n  <div id=\"newsletter_widget\" class=\"hottest_play_third_area newsletter_widget\">\n    <div class=\"hottest_play_third_area_content\">\n      <div class=\"sign-up-offer-text\">\n        <p>SPECIAL OFFER FOR FIRST TIME SUBSCRIBERS<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-thank new\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <a class=\"anchor-newsletter\"><\/a>\n        Thanks for signing up! 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However, the best way to bet this fight is to take the fight to go the distance. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These two have finishes on their record, and both have been finished, but when these two match up against each other I think they\u2019re so evenly matched that I don\u2019t see a finish in this one. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>De La Rosa was finished by Tatiana Suarez, but Suarez is a finisher, and De La Rosa finished Ariane Lipski, but the last three losses for Lipski were finishes. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>JJ Aldrich finished Na Liang in her last fight, but Liang is terrible and always gets finished. I see the clinch and takedown games as equal here, and it looks like a <strong>fight that will go the scorecards for me<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"epyt-video-wrapper\"><div  style=\"display: block; margin: 0px auto;\"  id=\"_ytid_48542\"  width=\"870\" height=\"489\"  data-origwidth=\"870\" data-origheight=\"489\" data-facadesrc=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/yRLePDbu2lA?enablejsapi=1&#038;origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com&#038;autoplay=0&#038;cc_load_policy=1&#038;cc_lang_pref=&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;loop=0&#038;rel=0&#038;fs=1&#038;playsinline=0&#038;autohide=2&#038;hl=en_US&#038;theme=dark&#038;color=red&#038;controls=1&#038;disablekb=0&#038;\" class=\"__youtube_prefs__ epyt-facade  epyt-is-override  no-lazyload\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-spai-excluded=\"true\" class=\"epyt-facade-poster skip-lazy\" loading=\"lazy\"  alt=\"UFC Fight Night: Grant Dawson v Bobby Green \u2013 Every Fight Breakdown, Bets, Tips, Predictions, Odds\"  src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/yRLePDbu2lA\/maxresdefault.jpg\"  \/><button class=\"epyt-facade-play\" aria-label=\"Play\"><svg data-no-lazy=\"1\" height=\"100%\" version=\"1.1\" viewBox=\"0 0 68 48\" width=\"100%\"><path class=\"ytp-large-play-button-bg\" d=\"M66.52,7.74c-0.78-2.93-2.49-5.41-5.42-6.19C55.79,.13,34,0,34,0S12.21,.13,6.9,1.55 C3.97,2.33,2.27,4.81,1.48,7.74C0.06,13.05,0,24,0,24s0.06,10.95,1.48,16.26c0.78,2.93,2.49,5.41,5.42,6.19 C12.21,47.87,34,48,34,48s21.79-0.13,27.1-1.55c2.93-0.78,4.64-3.26,5.42-6.19C67.94,34.95,68,24,68,24S67.94,13.05,66.52,7.74z\" fill=\"#f00\"><\/path><path d=\"M 45,24 27,14 27,34\" fill=\"#fff\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><\/div><\/div><span itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><meta itemprop=\"embedUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/yRLePDbu2lA\"><meta itemprop=\"name\" content=\"UFC Fight Night: Grant Dawson v Bobby Green \u2013 Every Fight Breakdown, Bets, Tips, Predictions, Odds\"><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Andy breaks down each fight for UFC Fight Night: Grant Dawson v Bobby Green and gives his predictions, tips, bets and wagers for each fight. Grab Andy&#039;s official plays for UFC and all sports here: http:\/\/wt.buzz\/al Introduction 00:00 Montana De La Rosa v JJ Aldrich 01:48 Mateus Mendonca v Nate Maness 04:07 Kanako Murata v Vanessa Demopoulos 06:54 Johnny Munoz Jr v Aoriquleng 09:20 Chris Guiterrez v Montel Jackson 10:53 Karolina Kowalkiewicz v Diana Belbita 12:57 Bill Algeo v Alexander Hernandez 14:40 Phillipe Lins v Ion Cutelaba 16:18 Drew Dober v Ricky Glenn 18:26 Alex Morono v Joaquin Buckley 20:44 Joe Pyfer v Abdul Razak Alhassan 23:15 Grant Dawson v Bobby Green 26:23 Montana De La Rosa +110 v JJ Aldrich -130 Mateus Mendonca -258 v Nate Maness +210 Kanako Murata -325 v Vanessa Demopoulos +260 Johnny Munoz Jr -115 v Aoriqileng -105 ar e eachy long Chris Guiterrez +164 v Montel Jackson -190 Karolina Kowalkiewicz -170 v Diana Belbita +142 Bill Algeo -135 v Alexander Hernandez +114 Philipe Lins +120 v Ion Cutelaba -142 Drew Dober -470 v Ricky Glenn +360 Alex Morono +142 v Joaquin Buckley -170 Joe Pyfer -430 v Abdul Razak Alhassan +300 Grant Dawson -390 v Bobby Green +280 \ud83d\udc4d Make sure to SUBSCRIBE to WagerTalk TV; \ud83d\udd14 CLICK the Bell and never miss an episode! \ud83e\udd11 Free Sports Picks: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks \ud83d\udcca Live Odds: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds \ud83d\uddde\ufe0f News: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news \ud83d\udc4d Stay connected with WagerTalk \ud83d\udcfa YouTube: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tv \ud83d\udc4d Facebook: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/fb \ud83d\udc26 Twitter: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tw \ud83d\udcf8 Instagram: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ig \ud83d\udcf0 Reddit: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/rd \u2764\ufe0f iHeart Radio: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/iheart \ud83c\udf4e Apple Podcasts: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ap \ud83d\udccc Pinterest: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/pin\"><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/yRLePDbu2lA\/0.jpg\"><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT32M1S\"><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2023-10-01T23:07:24Z\"><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Mateus Mendonca -258 vs Nate Maness +210<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mendonca was handed his first loss of his career in his UFC debut to Javid Basharat, no shame in that loss as Basharat is legit contender. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mendonca fought well and showed his potential, and this is a step down in competition that should suit Mendonca well. Mendonca has good striking, but Basharat showed holes in his striking defense and his grappling and ground game that he will surely learn from. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It says a lot for Mendonca that Basharat complimented him in the post-fight interveiw as Basharat is very honest in rhoaw interviews. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Maness has dropped two straight fights, and hasn\u2019t looked good in those fights, especially the way he was dominated against Tagir Ulanbekov in a first round submission. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I don\u2019t like Maness\u2019s striking, but he does have good experience and a couple of good wins on his resume and while I think Mendonca gets the win, the odds are way too high for my liking. <strong>This fight is a pass for me<\/strong> for betting purposes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Kanako Murata -325 vs Vanessa Demopoulos +260<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kanako Murata hasn\u2019t fought in a year and a half after breaking her arm in a fight against Jandiroba, but if she stays healthy in this fight she will wrestle her way to victory here. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Murata is a fantastic wrestler, and while Demopoulos is a great athlete, and a decent fighter, she won\u2019t be able to keep Murata off her. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Demopoulos will have to try and keep this on the feet and win a striking battle, but her striking isn\u2019t great and it\u2019s a bit wild and inconsistent. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Demopoulos prefers to wrestle and grapple, but unfortunately for her, she\u2019s fighting someone who\u2019s just better at the strongest parts of her game. <strong>Murata is a great parlay piece<\/strong> for this card.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Johnny Munoz Jr -115 vs Aoriqileng -105<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I like Johnny Munoz in this fight. He showed the hole in his game in his last fight when Daniel Santos took him down and won by taking top control and holding it, but I don\u2019t think Aoriqileng can do that and on the feet I like Munoz. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Aoriqileng has two wins in the UFC, and both of them are long gone from the UFC, and we saw him get knocked out on the feet in his last fight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He just doesn\u2019t have good striking defense, and the shot that knocked him out didn\u2019t look like the most powerful shot ever so I wonder if his chin is pretty suspect right now. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He throws a good leg kick, but doesn\u2019t protect himself from counters, and Munoz should have the speed advantage as well. I don\u2019t see much upside in Aoriqileng, <strong>I\u2019ll take Munoz in this one<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Chris Guiterrez +164 vs Montel Jackson -198<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I thought Guiterrez really blew it in his last fight against Pedro Munhoz as he let Munhoz walk him down and control him with leg kicks and forward pressure. It was a bad performance, and I\u2019m guessing he won\u2019t let that happen again. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Montel Jackson has a good record in the UFC, but has not faced great competition, and he has good striking, and he can initiate the clinch which makes this strange dynamic for his fights as they can go from exciting to boring and boring to exciting instantaneously. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>I\u2019ll take a shot on the underdog here<\/strong> as Guiterrez didn\u2019t get beat because he lacked power or was clearly outclassed, he lost by not coming forward and letting the other fighter dictate the pace. Those are things he can fix and I think he will. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He\u2019s a live dog with good leg kicks that can soften up Jackson\u2019s forward movement, and I\u2019ll take him to win this one.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Karolina Kowalkiewicz -170 vs Diana Belbita +142<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Karolina Kowalkiewicz has had a really nice resurgence as she lost five fights in a row, but then won three straight and I think she wins easily here agianst Diana Belbita. Kowalkiewicz will have the much better striking as it\u2019s more crisp, faster and more controlled. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I\u2019m not impressed with anything that Belbita does as she\u2019s only beat bad competition, and she can be taken down and she can lose striking battles with anyone who has mediocre to good striking offense. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At 37 years old, Karolina still has gas left in the tank and I think she makes it four wins in a row here. Overs in the fight are a good play as well as I don\u2019t think Karolina will get the finish so maybe <strong>Karolina by decision is a good play<\/strong>, but at a reasonable -170 price, I\u2019ll just take the moneyline.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bill Algeo -135 vs Alexander Hernandez +114<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Really good matchmaking here, and the odds are spot on in my opinion. Bill Algeo is 3-1 in his last four, but the loss was when he injurred his shoulder in the third round against Andre Fili. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Alexander Hernandez is coming off a decision win against Jim Miller, but he had lost two in a row before that. Hernandez is fighting at featherweight now, and in both featherweight fights, he really absorbed a ton of damage on the feet while giving out plenty of his own, and Algeo is fairly similar in that style. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Algeo can dish it out, but can get lit up at times as well, but I do like him to win this fight. I believe he\u2019ll have a takedown or two in this fight, and I just haven\u2019t liked how bad Hernandez has looked with striking defense. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This could be a bloody mess of a fight, and while it should be fun to watch it\u2019s difficult to bet. I wouldn\u2019t play a distance play in this fight, but <strong>I do like Algeo to win<\/strong> using his striking and takedowns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Philipe Lins +120 vs Ion Cutelaba -142<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>First things first\u2026it\u2019s a Cutelaba fight so take it to not go the distance. Cutelaba has one fight to go the distance since 2016, and only one fight in his last four has made it out of round one. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Philip Lins fights can be boring as he likes to push guys against the fence and stay there a while, but he will get involved in some good punching exchanges, and he\u2019ll throw leg kicks to set up his shoots. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I don\u2019t think Cutelaba will allow Lins to hold him against the cage for long, and cardio is going to be interesting if these guys go hard early in the fight and don\u2019t get the finish.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Drew Dober -470 vs Ricky Glenn +360<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s pretty hard to see Ricky Glenn pulling the upset after how bad he was against Giagos in his last fight. The fight only lasted 1:35, but Glenn looked slow and sloppy and it cost him as he got knocked out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p> Dober\u2019s power should get through to Glenn\u2019s chin, and unless Glenn has figured out how to hit as hard at Matt Frevola did in Dober\u2019s last loss, I don\u2019t see a path to victory for him unless Glenn can somehow implement the wrestling over three rounds. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s just hard to see Glenn getting Dober down and finishing him or winning three rounds before Dober sparks him on the feet. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you don\u2019t want to use Dober ML as a bet, you could wait and take <strong>Dober ITD or even Dober Round 1 when props come out<\/strong>. Taking the fight not to go the distance or under 2.5 would also be a safe parlay piece.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Alex Morono +142 vs Joaquin Buckley -170<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Joaquin Buckley made a smart move by dropping to welterweight after losing to Imavov and Chris Curtis, and he looked much more at home when he fought Andre Fialho getting the 2nd round KO. He still had his power, but his speed was better and he\u2019s not fighting guys that hit as hard. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I think Alex Morono is always undervalued as he\u2019s won five out of six, and his loss was a very short notice fight that he took while he was basically sitting on his couch, but his wins are not impressive as three of the guys are out of the UFC one guy is almost 40, and the other has lost three out of four. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Morono has good movement, and decent striking, but I\u2019m a believer in Buckley at this weight class. Morono has one KO win in his last 10 fights and that was against the corpse of Donald Cerrone so I don\u2019t think he can tough Buckley hard enough to slow him down. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Buckley will have the power advantage for sure, and I don\u2019t know if will be enough to finish Morono, but I do think the speed and power will be enough to get the win by delivering the most damage. <strong>-170 is a good number, it\u2019s worth a play in my opinion<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Joe Pyfer -430 vs Abdul Razak Alhassan +300<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I think this is a terrible matchup for the 37 year old Alhassan.&nbsp; Alhassan has heavy hands that have a lot of power, and he does have good kicks, but his movement isn\u2019t fast, and he doesn\u2019t throw a lot to set up his power strikes.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He\u2019s won two fights out of his last six, and they were to a couple of bad opponents who have lots of holes in their game.&nbsp; Joe Pyfer is on the rise, and I\u2019m a believer in his skillset.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He has power to go toe to toe with Alhassan, but he also is more active on the feet, and has more speed by moving around and that should help him set up his strikes better than Alhassan.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Alhassan needs his opponents to be flat-footed to land his big shots, and Pyfer won\u2019t just stand still.&nbsp; The one worry could be Pyfer\u2019s cardio as we haven\u2019t seen a long fight from him, but with how hard these two strike I don\u2019t think this will go into later rounds.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>I think Pyfer is the real deal<\/strong>, and I believe we will see his game improve each fight, and he\u2019ll show yet another step forward with his win here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UFC Fight Night Main Event: Grant Dawson -410 vs Bobby Green +315<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The biggest question in this fight is will Grant Dawson be able to get a hole of Bobby Green, wrestle him down to the ground, and keep him there. If he can, it will be a walk in the park for Dawson. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If Green can work his jab to keep Dawson at distance, and stuff the first couple takedowns, Green has a really good chance to win a striking battle. In my humble opinion, I don\u2019t think he has a chance to stop Dawson\u2019s takedowns. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dawson has been dominating his fights as he is 8-0-1 in the UFC, and he beat elite wrestler Mark Madsen, and he just had his most impressive performane to date by dominating Damir Ismafulov, handing him his second loss ever. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bobby Green get credit for his great takedown defense, but he hasn\u2019t fought anyone like Grant Dawson (I\u2019m ignoring the Makhachev fight that he took on a couple days notice), and he\u2019s 3-4 in his last seven with two of his wins being against Al Iaquinta in his retirement fight, and Tony Feruson who should\u2019ve retired several fights ago. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I actually think this -410 is too low as Dawson showed great cardio last fight, and once he gets Green on the ground and he locks in that tight body triangle, Green won\u2019t be able to get up for the rest of the round. Dawson ML is a great parlay piece in my opinion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Prediction: Grant Dawson -410 For a Parlay Piece<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes border-style-solid padding: 6px;\"><table class=\"has-text-color has-background has-fixed-layout\" style=\"background-color:#ffa04b;color:#2e3192\"><thead><tr><th class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\"><\/th><th><\/th><th><\/th><th><\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\"><strong>Sportsbook<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Welcome Bonus<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>States Available<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Get Your Bonus<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">1. PointsBet<\/td><td>$2000 in Risk Free Bets<\/td><td>NJ, IN, IA, IL, CO, MI, VA, NY, KS, LA<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/pointsbet\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">Claim Now!<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">2. Caesars<\/td><td>$1250 Risk Free Bet<\/td><td>NJ, WV, CO, IN, IA, MI, VA, TN, AZ, NY, LA, KS, PA<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/wlwilliamhillus.adsrv.eacdn.com\/C.ashx?btag=a_6125b_1278c_&amp;affid=32&amp;siteid=6125&amp;adid=1278&amp;c=\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">Claim Now!<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">3. 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BetRivers<\/td><td>$500 in Free Bets<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/bet_rivers_pa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">PA<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/bet_rivers_in\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">IN<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/bet_rivers_co\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">CO<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/bet_rivers_mi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">MI<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/bet_rivers_ia\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">IA<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/bet_rivers_il\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">IL<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/bet_rivers_va\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">VA<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/bet_rivers_ny\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">NY<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/sugar_house_nj\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">NJ<\/a><\/td><td><strong>Click State<\/strong> <strong>To Claim<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">7. Unibet<\/td><td>$250 Risk Free Bet<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/unibet_nj\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">NJ<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/unibet_pa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">PA<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/unibet_in\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">IN<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/unibet_ia\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">IA<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/unibet_va\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">VA<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/unibet_az\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">AZ<\/a><br><\/td><td><strong>Click State<\/strong> <strong>To Claim<\/strong> <\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">8. FoxBet<\/td><td>$50 Risk Free Bet<\/td><td>NJ, PA, CO, MI<br><\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/metabet.info\/wagertalk-foxbet\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">Claim Now!<\/a><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong>Latest Betting Odds and Public Action<\/strong><strong>: <\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/odds\" data-schema-attribute=\"\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Vegas lines<\/a> updated in real time, including who the public is betting on. <\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Last Minute Handicapping Advice<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">: Check out our extensive library of <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/sports-betting-guide\">handicapping tips<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/videos\">sports betting tips video library<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">)<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Want an expert opinion?<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> Check out the latest <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\">Free Sports Picks<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\">Best Bets<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> from our team of expert sports handicappers.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>UFC Fight Night Betting Preview UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his UFC Fight Night predictions and picks for October 7 with Grant Dawson vs Bobby Green headlining the event in a lightweight fight. The main card starts up at 7:00pm ET from UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV. Are you subscribed to WagerTalk TV? If [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":3648,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[569],"tags":[6624,6629,6628,6625,6626,6627,6617,6623,6622,6620,6618,6619,6621,694,3675,3544,1551,3676,5182,1554,1553],"class_list":["post-23978","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mma","tag-dawson-vs-green","tag-dawson-vs-green-best-bets","tag-dawson-vs-green-expert-picks","tag-dawson-vs-green-prediction","tag-dawson-vs-green-predictions","tag-dawson-vs-green-preview","tag-grant-dawson-vs-bobby-green","tag-grant-dawson-vs-bobby-green-best-bets","tag-grant-dawson-vs-bobby-green-betting","tag-grant-dawson-vs-bobby-green-expert-picks","tag-grant-dawson-vs-bobby-green-picks","tag-grant-dawson-vs-bobby-green-predictions","tag-grant-dawson-vs-bobby-green-preview","tag-ufc-fight-night","tag-ufc-fight-night-best-bets","tag-ufc-fight-night-bets","tag-ufc-fight-night-betting","tag-ufc-fight-night-expert-picks","tag-ufc-fight-night-expert-predictions","tag-ufc-fight-night-picks","tag-ufc-fight-night-predictions"],"basic_html":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UFC Fight Night Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><span style=\"color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; font-size: revert;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/andy-lang\">UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang<\/a> gives his <\/span>UFC Fight Night predictions<span style=\"color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; font-size: revert;\"> and picks for October 7 with <\/span>Grant Dawson vs Bobby Green <span style=\"color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; font-size: revert;\">headlining the event in a lightweight fight. The main card starts up at 7:00pm ET from<\/span> UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em>Are you subscribed to WagerTalk TV? If not, what are you waiting for?! Set up alerts so that you never miss an episode of your favorite shows. Drop the gloves with the Puck Time crew and swing for the fences on First Pitch. From betting tips to free picks, <a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/tv\">WagerTalk TV<\/a> is your one-stop shop for streaming sports betting content.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk also offers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/MMA\">Free UFC Picks<\/a> all year long!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Grant Dawson vs Bobby Green: UFC Fight Night Main Event<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><th>Saturday, October 7<\/th><th>UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of <a href=\"https:\/\/wlwilliamhillus.adsrv.eacdn.com\/C.ashx?btag=a_3552b_1278c_&amp;affid=32&amp;siteid=3552&amp;adid=1278&amp;c=\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Caesars<\/a>)<\/th><\/tr><tr><td>Moneyline:<\/td><td>Grant Dawson -410 vs Bobby Green +315<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rounds:<\/td><td>1.5 Rounds (Over -160 \/ Under +135)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Fight Time:<\/td><td>Main Card Starts at 7:00pm ET \/ 4:00pm PT<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Arena:<\/td><td>UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>TV:<\/td><td>ESPN+<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"amazing-offer-from-expert-nfl-handicappers\">Before You Read UFC Fight Night Predictions... Get $15 FREE towards all expert picks - including UFC &amp; More<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><a class=\"anchor\" id=\"newsletterfrm\"><\/a>\n<div class=\"hottest_play_area\">\n  <div id=\"newsletter_widget\" class=\"hottest_play_third_area newsletter_widget\">\n    <div class=\"hottest_play_third_area_content\">\n      <div class=\"sign-up-offer-text\">\n        <p>SPECIAL OFFER FOR FIRST TIME SUBSCRIBERS<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-thank new\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <a class=\"anchor-newsletter\"><\/a>\n        Thanks for signing up! 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However, the best way to bet this fight is to take the fight to go the distance. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>These two have finishes on their record, and both have been finished, but when these two match up against each other I think they\u2019re so evenly matched that I don\u2019t see a finish in this one. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>De La Rosa was finished by Tatiana Suarez, but Suarez is a finisher, and De La Rosa finished Ariane Lipski, but the last three losses for Lipski were finishes. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>JJ Aldrich finished Na Liang in her last fight, but Liang is terrible and always gets finished. I see the clinch and takedown games as equal here, and it looks like a <strong>fight that will go the scorecards for me<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n<iframe src='https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/yRLePDbu2lA?origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com'><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Mateus Mendonca -258 vs Nate Maness +210<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Mendonca was handed his first loss of his career in his UFC debut to Javid Basharat, no shame in that loss as Basharat is legit contender. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Mendonca fought well and showed his potential, and this is a step down in competition that should suit Mendonca well. Mendonca has good striking, but Basharat showed holes in his striking defense and his grappling and ground game that he will surely learn from. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>It says a lot for Mendonca that Basharat complimented him in the post-fight interveiw as Basharat is very honest in rhoaw interviews. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Maness has dropped two straight fights, and hasn\u2019t looked good in those fights, especially the way he was dominated against Tagir Ulanbekov in a first round submission. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I don\u2019t like Maness\u2019s striking, but he does have good experience and a couple of good wins on his resume and while I think Mendonca gets the win, the odds are way too high for my liking. <strong>This fight is a pass for me<\/strong> for betting purposes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Kanako Murata -325 vs Vanessa Demopoulos +260<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Kanako Murata hasn\u2019t fought in a year and a half after breaking her arm in a fight against Jandiroba, but if she stays healthy in this fight she will wrestle her way to victory here. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Murata is a fantastic wrestler, and while Demopoulos is a great athlete, and a decent fighter, she won\u2019t be able to keep Murata off her. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Demopoulos will have to try and keep this on the feet and win a striking battle, but her striking isn\u2019t great and it\u2019s a bit wild and inconsistent. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Demopoulos prefers to wrestle and grapple, but unfortunately for her, she\u2019s fighting someone who\u2019s just better at the strongest parts of her game. <strong>Murata is a great parlay piece<\/strong> for this card.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Johnny Munoz Jr -115 vs Aoriqileng -105<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I like Johnny Munoz in this fight. He showed the hole in his game in his last fight when Daniel Santos took him down and won by taking top control and holding it, but I don\u2019t think Aoriqileng can do that and on the feet I like Munoz. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Aoriqileng has two wins in the UFC, and both of them are long gone from the UFC, and we saw him get knocked out on the feet in his last fight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>He just doesn\u2019t have good striking defense, and the shot that knocked him out didn\u2019t look like the most powerful shot ever so I wonder if his chin is pretty suspect right now. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>He throws a good leg kick, but doesn\u2019t protect himself from counters, and Munoz should have the speed advantage as well. I don\u2019t see much upside in Aoriqileng, <strong>I\u2019ll take Munoz in this one<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Chris Guiterrez +164 vs Montel Jackson -198<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I thought Guiterrez really blew it in his last fight against Pedro Munhoz as he let Munhoz walk him down and control him with leg kicks and forward pressure. It was a bad performance, and I\u2019m guessing he won\u2019t let that happen again. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Montel Jackson has a good record in the UFC, but has not faced great competition, and he has good striking, and he can initiate the clinch which makes this strange dynamic for his fights as they can go from exciting to boring and boring to exciting instantaneously. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>I\u2019ll take a shot on the underdog here<\/strong> as Guiterrez didn\u2019t get beat because he lacked power or was clearly outclassed, he lost by not coming forward and letting the other fighter dictate the pace. Those are things he can fix and I think he will. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>He\u2019s a live dog with good leg kicks that can soften up Jackson\u2019s forward movement, and I\u2019ll take him to win this one.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Karolina Kowalkiewicz -170 vs Diana Belbita +142<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Karolina Kowalkiewicz has had a really nice resurgence as she lost five fights in a row, but then won three straight and I think she wins easily here agianst Diana Belbita. Kowalkiewicz will have the much better striking as it\u2019s more crisp, faster and more controlled. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I\u2019m not impressed with anything that Belbita does as she\u2019s only beat bad competition, and she can be taken down and she can lose striking battles with anyone who has mediocre to good striking offense. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>At 37 years old, Karolina still has gas left in the tank and I think she makes it four wins in a row here. Overs in the fight are a good play as well as I don\u2019t think Karolina will get the finish so maybe <strong>Karolina by decision is a good play<\/strong>, but at a reasonable -170 price, I\u2019ll just take the moneyline.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bill Algeo -135 vs Alexander Hernandez +114<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Really good matchmaking here, and the odds are spot on in my opinion. Bill Algeo is 3-1 in his last four, but the loss was when he injurred his shoulder in the third round against Andre Fili. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Alexander Hernandez is coming off a decision win against Jim Miller, but he had lost two in a row before that. Hernandez is fighting at featherweight now, and in both featherweight fights, he really absorbed a ton of damage on the feet while giving out plenty of his own, and Algeo is fairly similar in that style. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Algeo can dish it out, but can get lit up at times as well, but I do like him to win this fight. I believe he\u2019ll have a takedown or two in this fight, and I just haven\u2019t liked how bad Hernandez has looked with striking defense. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>This could be a bloody mess of a fight, and while it should be fun to watch it\u2019s difficult to bet. I wouldn\u2019t play a distance play in this fight, but <strong>I do like Algeo to win<\/strong> using his striking and takedowns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Philipe Lins +120 vs Ion Cutelaba -142<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>First things first\u2026it\u2019s a Cutelaba fight so take it to not go the distance. Cutelaba has one fight to go the distance since 2016, and only one fight in his last four has made it out of round one. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Philip Lins fights can be boring as he likes to push guys against the fence and stay there a while, but he will get involved in some good punching exchanges, and he\u2019ll throw leg kicks to set up his shoots. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I don\u2019t think Cutelaba will allow Lins to hold him against the cage for long, and cardio is going to be interesting if these guys go hard early in the fight and don\u2019t get the finish.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Drew Dober -470 vs Ricky Glenn +360<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s pretty hard to see Ricky Glenn pulling the upset after how bad he was against Giagos in his last fight. The fight only lasted 1:35, but Glenn looked slow and sloppy and it cost him as he got knocked out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p> Dober\u2019s power should get through to Glenn\u2019s chin, and unless Glenn has figured out how to hit as hard at Matt Frevola did in Dober\u2019s last loss, I don\u2019t see a path to victory for him unless Glenn can somehow implement the wrestling over three rounds. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>It's just hard to see Glenn getting Dober down and finishing him or winning three rounds before Dober sparks him on the feet. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>If you don\u2019t want to use Dober ML as a bet, you could wait and take <strong>Dober ITD or even Dober Round 1 when props come out<\/strong>. Taking the fight not to go the distance or under 2.5 would also be a safe parlay piece.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Alex Morono +142 vs Joaquin Buckley -170<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Joaquin Buckley made a smart move by dropping to welterweight after losing to Imavov and Chris Curtis, and he looked much more at home when he fought Andre Fialho getting the 2nd round KO. He still had his power, but his speed was better and he\u2019s not fighting guys that hit as hard. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I think Alex Morono is always undervalued as he\u2019s won five out of six, and his loss was a very short notice fight that he took while he was basically sitting on his couch, but his wins are not impressive as three of the guys are out of the UFC one guy is almost 40, and the other has lost three out of four. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Morono has good movement, and decent striking, but I\u2019m a believer in Buckley at this weight class. Morono has one KO win in his last 10 fights and that was against the corpse of Donald Cerrone so I don\u2019t think he can tough Buckley hard enough to slow him down. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Buckley will have the power advantage for sure, and I don\u2019t know if will be enough to finish Morono, but I do think the speed and power will be enough to get the win by delivering the most damage. <strong>-170 is a good number, it\u2019s worth a play in my opinion<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Joe Pyfer -430 vs Abdul Razak Alhassan +300<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I think this is a terrible matchup for the 37 year old Alhassan.&nbsp; Alhassan has heavy hands that have a lot of power, and he does have good kicks, but his movement isn\u2019t fast, and he doesn\u2019t throw a lot to set up his power strikes.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>He\u2019s won two fights out of his last six, and they were to a couple of bad opponents who have lots of holes in their game.&nbsp; Joe Pyfer is on the rise, and I\u2019m a believer in his skillset.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>He has power to go toe to toe with Alhassan, but he also is more active on the feet, and has more speed by moving around and that should help him set up his strikes better than Alhassan.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Alhassan needs his opponents to be flat-footed to land his big shots, and Pyfer won\u2019t just stand still.&nbsp; The one worry could be Pyfer\u2019s cardio as we haven\u2019t seen a long fight from him, but with how hard these two strike I don\u2019t think this will go into later rounds.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>I think Pyfer is the real deal<\/strong>, and I believe we will see his game improve each fight, and he\u2019ll show yet another step forward with his win here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UFC Fight Night Main Event: Grant Dawson -410 vs Bobby Green +315<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The biggest question in this fight is will Grant Dawson be able to get a hole of Bobby Green, wrestle him down to the ground, and keep him there. If he can, it will be a walk in the park for Dawson. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>If Green can work his jab to keep Dawson at distance, and stuff the first couple takedowns, Green has a really good chance to win a striking battle. In my humble opinion, I don\u2019t think he has a chance to stop Dawson\u2019s takedowns. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Dawson has been dominating his fights as he is 8-0-1 in the UFC, and he beat elite wrestler Mark Madsen, and he just had his most impressive performane to date by dominating Damir Ismafulov, handing him his second loss ever. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Bobby Green get credit for his great takedown defense, but he hasn\u2019t fought anyone like Grant Dawson (I\u2019m ignoring the Makhachev fight that he took on a couple days notice), and he\u2019s 3-4 in his last seven with two of his wins being against Al Iaquinta in his retirement fight, and Tony Feruson who should\u2019ve retired several fights ago. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I actually think this -410 is too low as Dawson showed great cardio last fight, and once he gets Green on the ground and he locks in that tight body triangle, Green won\u2019t be able to get up for the rest of the round. Dawson ML is a great parlay piece in my opinion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Prediction: Grant Dawson -410 For a Parlay Piece<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul>\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23978","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23978"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23978\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23983,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23978\/revisions\/23983"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3648"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23978"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23978"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23978"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}