{"id":23582,"date":"2023-09-19T15:21:47","date_gmt":"2023-09-19T19:21:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=23582"},"modified":"2023-09-19T15:21:49","modified_gmt":"2023-09-19T19:21:49","slug":"ufc-fight-night-fiziev-vs-gamrot-predictions-picks-and-betting-odds-september-23","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/mma\/ufc-fight-night-fiziev-vs-gamrot-predictions-picks-and-betting-odds-september-23\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs Gamrot Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds September 23"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UFC Fight Night Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><span style=\"color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; font-size: revert;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/andy-lang\">UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang<\/a> gives his <\/span>UFC Fight Night predictions<span style=\"color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; font-size: revert;\"> and picks for September 23 with <\/span>Rafael Fiziev vs Mateusz Gamrot <span style=\"color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; font-size: revert;\">headlining the event in a lightweight fight. The main card starts up at 7:00pm ET from<\/span> UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em>Are you subscribed to WagerTalk TV? If not, what are you waiting for?! Set up alerts so that you never miss an episode of your favorite shows. Drop the gloves with the Puck Time crew and swing for the fences on First Pitch. From betting tips to free picks, <a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/tv\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">WagerTalk TV<\/a> is your one-stop shop for streaming sports betting content.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk also offers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/MMA\">Free UFC Picks<\/a> all year long!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Rafael Fiziev vs Mateusz Gamrot: UFC Fight Night Main Event<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><th>Saturday, September 23<\/th><th>UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of <a href=\"https:\/\/wlwilliamhillus.adsrv.eacdn.com\/C.ashx?btag=a_3552b_1278c_&amp;affid=32&amp;siteid=3552&amp;adid=1278&amp;c=\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Caesars<\/a>)<\/th><\/tr><tr><td>Moneyline:<\/td><td>Rafael Fiziev -150 vs Mateusz Gamrot +130<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rounds:<\/td><td>4.5 Rounds (Over -125 \/ Under +105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Fight Time:<\/td><td>Main Card Starts at 7:00pm ET \/ 4:00pm PT<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Arena:<\/td><td>UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>TV:<\/td><td>ESPN+<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span style=\"color: revert; font-size: revert; font-weight: revert; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif;\">UFC Fight Night Predictions<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Montserrat Rendon +205 v Tamires Vidal -250<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tamires Vidal had a fantastic UFC debut when she knocked out Ramona Pascual with a body shot, and there\u2019s no doubting her power, but her cardio is a big question mark. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Coming into that fight, she really struggled with it, but now with a UFC win under her belt, her training has no doubt gone to the next level. She\u2019ll face Montserat Rendon who is making her UFC debut, and I\u2019m not very high on Rendon. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>She\u2019s fought lackluster competition, and has never finished an opponent, and her last three opponents have a combined record of 10-7 in lower promotions. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Redon has good length, and throws a good jab, but she doesn\u2019t have good strike defense as she got a bloody nose in her last fight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Vidal will blast through that strike defense and get the win here<\/strong>, I would wait until props come out and play Vidal by KO.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"epyt-video-wrapper\"><div  style=\"display: block; margin: 0px auto;\"  id=\"_ytid_17840\"  width=\"870\" height=\"489\"  data-origwidth=\"870\" data-origheight=\"489\" data-facadesrc=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/PTjsiErXUB8?enablejsapi=1&#038;origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com&#038;autoplay=0&#038;cc_load_policy=1&#038;cc_lang_pref=&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;loop=0&#038;rel=0&#038;fs=1&#038;playsinline=0&#038;autohide=2&#038;hl=en_US&#038;theme=dark&#038;color=red&#038;controls=1&#038;disablekb=0&#038;\" class=\"__youtube_prefs__ epyt-facade  epyt-is-override  no-lazyload\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-spai-excluded=\"true\" class=\"epyt-facade-poster skip-lazy\" loading=\"lazy\"  alt=\"UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev v Mateusz Gamrot - Every Fight Breakdown, Bets, Picks, Parlays, Odds\"  src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/PTjsiErXUB8\/maxresdefault.jpg\"  \/><button class=\"epyt-facade-play\" aria-label=\"Play\"><svg data-no-lazy=\"1\" height=\"100%\" version=\"1.1\" viewBox=\"0 0 68 48\" width=\"100%\"><path class=\"ytp-large-play-button-bg\" d=\"M66.52,7.74c-0.78-2.93-2.49-5.41-5.42-6.19C55.79,.13,34,0,34,0S12.21,.13,6.9,1.55 C3.97,2.33,2.27,4.81,1.48,7.74C0.06,13.05,0,24,0,24s0.06,10.95,1.48,16.26c0.78,2.93,2.49,5.41,5.42,6.19 C12.21,47.87,34,48,34,48s21.79-0.13,27.1-1.55c2.93-0.78,4.64-3.26,5.42-6.19C67.94,34.95,68,24,68,24S67.94,13.05,66.52,7.74z\" fill=\"#f00\"><\/path><path d=\"M 45,24 27,14 27,34\" fill=\"#fff\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><\/div><\/div><span itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><meta itemprop=\"embedUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/PTjsiErXUB8\"><meta itemprop=\"name\" content=\"UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev v Mateusz Gamrot - Every Fight Breakdown, Bets, Picks, Parlays, Odds\"><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Andy breaks down every fight for UFC Fight Night: Fiziev v Gamrot and gives his thought on winners, losers and props. Lang is on a 10-1 streak on MMA bets and has a 5% BEST BET for this card. Grab the play here: http:\/\/wt.buzz\/al Introduction 00:00 Montserrat Rendon v Tamires Vidal 01:17 Mizuki v Hannah Goldy 04:02 Mohammed Usman v Jake Collier 05:40 Jacob Malkoun v Cody Brundage 06:52 Tim Means v Andre Fialho 08:29 Dan Argueta v Miles Johns 10:40 Ricardo Ramos v Charles Jourdain 12:49 Bryan Battle v AJ Fletcher 15:00 Marina Rodriguez v Michelle Waterson-Gomez 17:51 Bryce Mitchell v Dan Ige 19:32 Rafael Fiziev v Mateusz Gamrot 21:50 Montserrat Rendon +205 v Tamires Vidal -250 Mizuki Inoue -250 v Hannah Goldy +205 Mohammed Usman -180 v Jake Collier +150 Jacob Malkoun -485 v Cody Brundage +370 Tim Means +164 v Andre Fialho -198 Dan Argueta -185 v Miles Johns +154 Ricardo Ramos +115 v Charles Jourdain -135 Bryan Battle -192 v AJ Fletcher +160 Marina Rodriguez -310 v Michelle Waterson-Gomez +250 Bryce Mitchell. -192 v Dan Ige +160 Rafael Fiziev -162 v Mateusz Gamrot +136 \ud83d\udc4d Make sure to SUBSCRIBE to WagerTalk TV; \ud83d\udd14 CLICK the Bell and never miss an episode! \ud83e\udd11 Free Sports Picks: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks \ud83d\udcca Live Odds: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds \ud83d\uddde\ufe0f News: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news \ud83d\udc4d Stay connected with WagerTalk \ud83d\udcfa YouTube: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tv \ud83d\udc4d Facebook: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/fb \ud83d\udc26 Twitter: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tw \ud83d\udcf8 Instagram: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ig \ud83d\udcf0 Reddit: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/rd \u2764\ufe0f iHeart Radio: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/iheart \ud83c\udf4e Apple Podcasts: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ap \ud83d\udccc Pinterest: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/pin\"><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/PTjsiErXUB8\/0.jpg\"><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT27M36S\"><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2023-09-18T00:59:32Z\"><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Mizuki Inoue -250 v Hannah Goldy +205<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hannah Goldy is 1-3 in the UFC, and she has muscles and looks strong, but her cardio falls off a cliff, and her lone win in the UFC was in the first round against a bad fighter. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mizuki Inoue makes her return after a three year absence due to a torn ACL, and we last saw her losing to Amanda Lemos by decision where she performed will on the feet, but just got overwhelmed by the striking of Lemos. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s tough to predict how a fighter will look after a big layoff from a serious injury, but Goldy is just bad and I expect Inoue to start off tentative and then settle in as Goldy\u2019s cardio goes away. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Inoue\u2019s striking will wear her down over the three rounds, and unless Goldy gets a finish early in the fight, she won\u2019t have the weapons or energy to win the later rounds. This probably won\u2019t be an amazing fight to watch, but <strong>the pick is Inoue by decision<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Mohammed Usman -180 v Jake Collier +150<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It doesn\u2019t get much worse than this fight to be honest. These are two low-level heavyweights and I don\u2019t expect to see a lot of action. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Usman is coming off a win against Junior Tafa where he clinched, took Tafa down and held on for dear life. He has decent power, but the stamina isn\u2019t there, and his opponent doesn\u2019t have a lot of weapons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jake Collier has lost three fights in a row, and he should be able to land some strikes on Usman, but other than that and trying to win the clinch game I think this is an uphill battle for him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Usman is the pick, but there\u2019s <strong>no reason to bet on this fight as there is no value<\/strong> anywhere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Jacob Malkoun -485 v Cody Brundage +370<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cody Brundage is coming off one of the most strange performances we\u2019ve seen against Sedriques Dumas. He looked completely disinterested, and he almost looked like he kinda forgot what to do. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He\u2019s never had good cardio, and he\u2019s a wrestler, and this sets up nice for Malkoun. Malkoun has the big advantage on the feet as he has quicker striking, and he probably has the edge on the ground, especially if Brundage fights like he did last fight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Brundage will need an early finish as his cardio vanishes after the first round, and Malkoun has really good cardio. <strong>This is a great parlay piece to take Malkoun on the ML<\/strong> who has won three out of four.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Tim Means +164 v Andre Fialho -198<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tim Means has been around for a while, and if he loses this one, it\u2019s probably his last UFC fight. He\u2019s lost three in a row, and he\u2019s 39 years old with 48 professional fights to his resume. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He lost to Alex Morono his last time out by guillotine, and he looked old and slow. Speaking of maybe having his last UFC fight, Andre Fialho has also lost three in a row as his chin and lack of striking defense has been exposed in his last three fights, but his striking is so much better and faster than Tim Means right now. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fialho has the power advantage, but if there is a path to victory for Means, it\u2019s to clinch and tire out Fialho, which is possible as Fialho\u2019s cardio is a problem. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, I\u2019m not sure Means has much gas in the tank, and it should only be a matter of time before Fialho catches Means with head strikes and ends this fight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you want to wait until props come out, take the fight to not go the distance. Fialho is always a candidate to get knocked out by a random strike, and <strong>if Fialho wins it will probably be by finish<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Dan Argueta -185 v Miles Johns +154<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dan Argueta is a really good wrestler and grappler and he would\u2019ve had a nice win against Ronnie Lawrence, but there was an early stoppage and Argueta did not get credited with the win, but make no mistake, he was dominating. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Before that he had a nice win against Nick Aguirre, after dropping his UFC debut to Damon Jackson. I like what I\u2019ve seen from him as he can be a menace with the takedowns, and that will be the big difference in this fight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I like Miles Johns, but his striking just doesn\u2019t appear to be scary enough to worry Argueta about shooting in. Johns doesn\u2019t have a high ceiling in any one part of his game, and Argueta\u2019s ceiling with grappling and takedowns is pretty high. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In his last fight, Johns won the fight against Vince Morales, but Johns was the one with the bloody face, and he was 1-10 in takedown attempts. <strong>Argueta\u2019s advantage on the ground<\/strong> will be the difference in this one.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Ricardo Ramos +115 v Charles Jourdain -135<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I like Ricardo Ramos as the underdog in this one. Ramos is coming off a crazy KO win with a spinning elbow, and it\u2019s not the first time he has used the spinning attacks effectively. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I just like the movement and unique striking from Ramos as he\u2019s coming off a win against Chavez, and even though he lost to Tukhugov, it was an intense fight on the feet where he held his own. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Charles Jourdain is coming off a win against Kron Gracie that a terrible fight, and Jourdain did what he needed to do to secure the decision win, but it was not impressive. Before that, he lost to Nathaniel Wood and Shane Burgos, and I don\u2019t think he performs well when he steps up in competition. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jourdain was in a great fight against Nathaniel Wood, but he tired in the third and I think that cardio edge goes to Ramos, and the striking is pretty similar, but the defense of Jourdain can be exposed which I think leads to Ramos having better moments. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It should be a close fight, but <strong>I like Ramos to pull away on the scorecards late<\/strong> as he\u2019ll have more energy and Jourdain will be wearing more damage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bryan Battle -192 v AJ Fletcher +160<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I\u2019ve been a Bryan Battle fan since I watched him on The Ultimate Fighter, and he\u2019s been a cash cow going 4-1 in the UFC with his loss being to Rinat Fakhretdinov, no shame in that. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He has developed real power with his striking and he\u2019s finished his last two wins inside of a minute in the first round. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He\u2019s a solid wrestler and very active on the ground if the fight gets there, and he should have the advantage almost anywhere in this fight. Fletcher does not have good striking defense, and is 1-2 in the UFC with his win being to Themba Gorimbo, a subpar fighter. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fletcher is short and stocky, and his technique just isn\u2019t there. Battle will be much taller and longer, and he\u2019s really big for this weight division, which is bad news for Fletcher and his short arms. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fletcher will get peppered with shots on the feet, and if he tries to take it to the ground, Battle will be prepared and can stuff takedowns or reverse positions. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Battle has good cardio so if this fight makes it into the third round Battle will be more than capable of winning the last round as Fletcher could be pretty beat up by then. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>We\u2019ve made a lot of money betting on Bryan Battle<\/strong> since he joined the UFC, I expect to make more money on him this weekend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Marina Rodriguez -310 v Michelle Waterson-Gomez +250<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This might be it for Michelle Waterson-Gomez as she\u2019s lost three in a row and is 1-5 in her last six with her win being a split decision. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These two fought two years ago and Rodriguez won that fight, and I don\u2019t think the outcome here will be much different. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fading female fighters with Onlyfans accounts has been a profitable betting strategy as those fighters just don\u2019t have the focus as other fighters, and the Karate Hottie seems more intent on social media than she does winning fights. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rodriguez is just more crisp with striking, and more powerful anywhere the fight goes, and she\u2019s lost two straight and ready to get back on the winning track. <strong>The price is warranted here and Rodriguez ML<\/strong> is a solid parlay piece as I don\u2019t see the path to victory for Gomez.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bryce Mitchell -192 v Dan Ige +160<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I don\u2019t understand this line, I really don\u2019t. Bryce Mitchell is a one dimensional fighter as a wrestler, and he was undefeated beating his first five opponents in the UFC, and then he ran into Ilia Topuria who had the athletic ability and technique to stuff Mitchell\u2019s takedowns, and Topuria quickly turned into a one-sided butt kicking getting the finish in round two. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I don\u2019t see why Dan Ige can\u2019t do the same thing to Mitchell. Dan Ige went on a tough three-fight losing streak, but he\u2019s turned it around beating Damon Jackson and Nate Landwehr, and I really like what I\u2019ve seen from him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>His striking has looked fantastic, and I think it will only take a few exchanges on the feet for Ige to soften up Mitchell who could be a bit shy about shooting in based on what Topuria did to him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Maybe Mitchell gets Ige to the ground and dominates, but I\u2019m guessing Ige has been working extensively on stuffing the takedowns, and if he\u2019s successful in stuffing the takedowns he should win on the feet. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I think the wrong fighter is favored, and unless I\u2019m missing something <strong>I like Ige to win by finish<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UFC Fight Night Main Event: Rafael Fiziev -150 v Mateusz Gamrot +130<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>I know I\u2019m on an island here, but I think Fiziev is overrated, and I think he loses here. He beat Rafael Dos Anjos who is past his prime, and has lost two out of three, and he beat Brad Ridell who has lost three in a row so they gave him a big step up in competition and Justin Gaethje humbled him as he dominated Fiziev. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gamrot is an incredibly technical fighter that does a great job of controlling his opponent with grappling, and landing enough strikes to frustrate his opponent, and I don\u2019t think Fiziev is going to be able to figure out the traps that Gamrot sets for him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fiziev has more power in his strikes, but Gamrot won\u2019t allow himself to get into a brawl as that\u2019s what happened agaisnt Dariush, and he lost. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In his next fight he controlled Jalin Turner, and although the fight wasn\u2019t exciting it ended up being a Gamrot win. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gaetje exposed some holes in the defense of Fiziev, and someone as fast and smart as Gamrot will take advantage of those, and he will probably have more surprised for Fiziev in the wrestling department. Fiziev continues to be overvalued, <strong>I\u2019ll gladly take Gamrot with the plus money here<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Prediction: Mateusz Gamrot +130<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes border-style-solid padding: 6px;\"><table class=\"has-text-color has-background has-fixed-layout\" style=\"background-color:#ffa04b;color:#2e3192\"><thead><tr><th class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\"><\/th><th><\/th><th><\/th><th><\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\"><strong>Sportsbook<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Welcome Bonus<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>States Available<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Get Your Bonus<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">1. 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FoxBet<\/td><td>$50 Risk Free Bet<\/td><td>NJ, PA, CO, MI<br><\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/metabet.info\/wagertalk-foxbet\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow sponsored\">Claim Now!<\/a><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong>Latest Betting Odds and Public Action<\/strong><strong>: <\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/odds\" data-schema-attribute=\"\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Vegas lines<\/a> updated in real time, including who the public is betting on. <\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Last Minute Handicapping Advice<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">: Check out our extensive library of <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/sports-betting-guide\">handicapping tips<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/videos\">sports betting tips video library<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">)<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Want an expert opinion?<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> Check out the latest <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\">Free Sports Picks<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\">Best Bets<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> from our team of expert sports handicappers.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>UFC Fight Night Betting Preview UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his UFC Fight Night predictions and picks for September 23 with Rafael Fiziev vs Mateusz Gamrot headlining the event in a lightweight fight. The main card starts up at 7:00pm ET from UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV. Are you subscribed to WagerTalk TV? If [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":3648,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[569],"tags":[6089,6094,6092,6090,6091,6093,694,3675,3544,1551,3676,1552,1554,1553,594,2144,596,2145],"class_list":["post-23582","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mma","tag-rafael-fiziev-vs-mateusz-gamrot","tag-rafael-fiziev-vs-mateusz-gamrot-betting-preview","tag-rafael-fiziev-vs-mateusz-gamrot-odds","tag-rafael-fiziev-vs-mateusz-gamrot-picks","tag-rafael-fiziev-vs-mateusz-gamrot-predictions","tag-rafael-fiziev-vs-mateusz-gamrot-preview","tag-ufc-fight-night","tag-ufc-fight-night-best-bets","tag-ufc-fight-night-bets","tag-ufc-fight-night-betting","tag-ufc-fight-night-expert-picks","tag-ufc-fight-night-odds","tag-ufc-fight-night-picks","tag-ufc-fight-night-predictions","tag-ufc-picks","tag-ufc-picks-today","tag-ufc-predictions","tag-ufc-predictions-today"],"basic_html":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UFC Fight Night Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><span style=\"color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; font-size: revert;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/andy-lang\">UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang<\/a> gives his <\/span>UFC Fight Night predictions<span style=\"color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; font-size: revert;\"> and picks for September 23 with <\/span>Rafael Fiziev vs Mateusz Gamrot <span style=\"color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; font-size: revert;\">headlining the event in a lightweight fight. The main card starts up at 7:00pm ET from<\/span> UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em>Are you subscribed to WagerTalk TV? If not, what are you waiting for?! Set up alerts so that you never miss an episode of your favorite shows. Drop the gloves with the Puck Time crew and swing for the fences on First Pitch. From betting tips to free picks, <a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/tv\">WagerTalk TV<\/a> is your one-stop shop for streaming sports betting content.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk also offers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/MMA\">Free UFC Picks<\/a> all year long!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Rafael Fiziev vs Mateusz Gamrot: UFC Fight Night Main Event<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><th>Saturday, September 23<\/th><th>UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of <a href=\"https:\/\/wlwilliamhillus.adsrv.eacdn.com\/C.ashx?btag=a_3552b_1278c_&amp;affid=32&amp;siteid=3552&amp;adid=1278&amp;c=\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Caesars<\/a>)<\/th><\/tr><tr><td>Moneyline:<\/td><td>Rafael Fiziev -150 vs Mateusz Gamrot +130<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rounds:<\/td><td>4.5 Rounds (Over -125 \/ Under +105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Fight Time:<\/td><td>Main Card Starts at 7:00pm ET \/ 4:00pm PT<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Arena:<\/td><td>UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>TV:<\/td><td>ESPN+<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span style=\"color: revert; font-size: revert; font-weight: revert; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif;\">UFC Fight Night Predictions<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Montserrat Rendon +205 v Tamires Vidal -250<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Tamires Vidal had a fantastic UFC debut when she knocked out Ramona Pascual with a body shot, and there\u2019s no doubting her power, but her cardio is a big question mark. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Coming into that fight, she really struggled with it, but now with a UFC win under her belt, her training has no doubt gone to the next level. She\u2019ll face Montserat Rendon who is making her UFC debut, and I\u2019m not very high on Rendon. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>She\u2019s fought lackluster competition, and has never finished an opponent, and her last three opponents have a combined record of 10-7 in lower promotions. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Redon has good length, and throws a good jab, but she doesn\u2019t have good strike defense as she got a bloody nose in her last fight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Vidal will blast through that strike defense and get the win here<\/strong>, I would wait until props come out and play Vidal by KO.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n<iframe src='https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/PTjsiErXUB8?origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com'><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Mizuki Inoue -250 v Hannah Goldy +205<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Hannah Goldy is 1-3 in the UFC, and she has muscles and looks strong, but her cardio falls off a cliff, and her lone win in the UFC was in the first round against a bad fighter. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Mizuki Inoue makes her return after a three year absence due to a torn ACL, and we last saw her losing to Amanda Lemos by decision where she performed will on the feet, but just got overwhelmed by the striking of Lemos. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s tough to predict how a fighter will look after a big layoff from a serious injury, but Goldy is just bad and I expect Inoue to start off tentative and then settle in as Goldy\u2019s cardio goes away. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Inoue\u2019s striking will wear her down over the three rounds, and unless Goldy gets a finish early in the fight, she won\u2019t have the weapons or energy to win the later rounds. This probably won\u2019t be an amazing fight to watch, but <strong>the pick is Inoue by decision<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Mohammed Usman -180 v Jake Collier +150<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>It doesn\u2019t get much worse than this fight to be honest. These are two low-level heavyweights and I don\u2019t expect to see a lot of action. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Usman is coming off a win against Junior Tafa where he clinched, took Tafa down and held on for dear life. He has decent power, but the stamina isn\u2019t there, and his opponent doesn\u2019t have a lot of weapons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Jake Collier has lost three fights in a row, and he should be able to land some strikes on Usman, but other than that and trying to win the clinch game I think this is an uphill battle for him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Usman is the pick, but there\u2019s <strong>no reason to bet on this fight as there is no value<\/strong> anywhere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Jacob Malkoun -485 v Cody Brundage +370<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Cody Brundage is coming off one of the most strange performances we\u2019ve seen against Sedriques Dumas. He looked completely disinterested, and he almost looked like he kinda forgot what to do. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>He\u2019s never had good cardio, and he\u2019s a wrestler, and this sets up nice for Malkoun. Malkoun has the big advantage on the feet as he has quicker striking, and he probably has the edge on the ground, especially if Brundage fights like he did last fight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Brundage will need an early finish as his cardio vanishes after the first round, and Malkoun has really good cardio. <strong>This is a great parlay piece to take Malkoun on the ML<\/strong> who has won three out of four.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Tim Means +164 v Andre Fialho -198<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Tim Means has been around for a while, and if he loses this one, it\u2019s probably his last UFC fight. He\u2019s lost three in a row, and he\u2019s 39 years old with 48 professional fights to his resume. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>He lost to Alex Morono his last time out by guillotine, and he looked old and slow. Speaking of maybe having his last UFC fight, Andre Fialho has also lost three in a row as his chin and lack of striking defense has been exposed in his last three fights, but his striking is so much better and faster than Tim Means right now. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Fialho has the power advantage, but if there is a path to victory for Means, it\u2019s to clinch and tire out Fialho, which is possible as Fialho\u2019s cardio is a problem. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>However, I\u2019m not sure Means has much gas in the tank, and it should only be a matter of time before Fialho catches Means with head strikes and ends this fight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>If you want to wait until props come out, take the fight to not go the distance. Fialho is always a candidate to get knocked out by a random strike, and <strong>if Fialho wins it will probably be by finish<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Dan Argueta -185 v Miles Johns +154<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Dan Argueta is a really good wrestler and grappler and he would\u2019ve had a nice win against Ronnie Lawrence, but there was an early stoppage and Argueta did not get credited with the win, but make no mistake, he was dominating. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Before that he had a nice win against Nick Aguirre, after dropping his UFC debut to Damon Jackson. I like what I\u2019ve seen from him as he can be a menace with the takedowns, and that will be the big difference in this fight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I like Miles Johns, but his striking just doesn\u2019t appear to be scary enough to worry Argueta about shooting in. Johns doesn\u2019t have a high ceiling in any one part of his game, and Argueta\u2019s ceiling with grappling and takedowns is pretty high. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>In his last fight, Johns won the fight against Vince Morales, but Johns was the one with the bloody face, and he was 1-10 in takedown attempts. <strong>Argueta\u2019s advantage on the ground<\/strong> will be the difference in this one.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Ricardo Ramos +115 v Charles Jourdain -135<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I like Ricardo Ramos as the underdog in this one. Ramos is coming off a crazy KO win with a spinning elbow, and it\u2019s not the first time he has used the spinning attacks effectively. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I just like the movement and unique striking from Ramos as he\u2019s coming off a win against Chavez, and even though he lost to Tukhugov, it was an intense fight on the feet where he held his own. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Charles Jourdain is coming off a win against Kron Gracie that a terrible fight, and Jourdain did what he needed to do to secure the decision win, but it was not impressive. Before that, he lost to Nathaniel Wood and Shane Burgos, and I don\u2019t think he performs well when he steps up in competition. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Jourdain was in a great fight against Nathaniel Wood, but he tired in the third and I think that cardio edge goes to Ramos, and the striking is pretty similar, but the defense of Jourdain can be exposed which I think leads to Ramos having better moments. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>It should be a close fight, but <strong>I like Ramos to pull away on the scorecards late<\/strong> as he\u2019ll have more energy and Jourdain will be wearing more damage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bryan Battle -192 v AJ Fletcher +160<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I\u2019ve been a Bryan Battle fan since I watched him on The Ultimate Fighter, and he\u2019s been a cash cow going 4-1 in the UFC with his loss being to Rinat Fakhretdinov, no shame in that. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>He has developed real power with his striking and he\u2019s finished his last two wins inside of a minute in the first round. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>He\u2019s a solid wrestler and very active on the ground if the fight gets there, and he should have the advantage almost anywhere in this fight. Fletcher does not have good striking defense, and is 1-2 in the UFC with his win being to Themba Gorimbo, a subpar fighter. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Fletcher is short and stocky, and his technique just isn\u2019t there. Battle will be much taller and longer, and he\u2019s really big for this weight division, which is bad news for Fletcher and his short arms. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Fletcher will get peppered with shots on the feet, and if he tries to take it to the ground, Battle will be prepared and can stuff takedowns or reverse positions. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Battle has good cardio so if this fight makes it into the third round Battle will be more than capable of winning the last round as Fletcher could be pretty beat up by then. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>We\u2019ve made a lot of money betting on Bryan Battle<\/strong> since he joined the UFC, I expect to make more money on him this weekend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Marina Rodriguez -310 v Michelle Waterson-Gomez +250<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>This might be it for Michelle Waterson-Gomez as she\u2019s lost three in a row and is 1-5 in her last six with her win being a split decision. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>These two fought two years ago and Rodriguez won that fight, and I don\u2019t think the outcome here will be much different. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Fading female fighters with Onlyfans accounts has been a profitable betting strategy as those fighters just don\u2019t have the focus as other fighters, and the Karate Hottie seems more intent on social media than she does winning fights. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Rodriguez is just more crisp with striking, and more powerful anywhere the fight goes, and she\u2019s lost two straight and ready to get back on the winning track. <strong>The price is warranted here and Rodriguez ML<\/strong> is a solid parlay piece as I don\u2019t see the path to victory for Gomez.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bryce Mitchell -192 v Dan Ige +160<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I don\u2019t understand this line, I really don\u2019t. Bryce Mitchell is a one dimensional fighter as a wrestler, and he was undefeated beating his first five opponents in the UFC, and then he ran into Ilia Topuria who had the athletic ability and technique to stuff Mitchell\u2019s takedowns, and Topuria quickly turned into a one-sided butt kicking getting the finish in round two. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I don\u2019t see why Dan Ige can\u2019t do the same thing to Mitchell. Dan Ige went on a tough three-fight losing streak, but he\u2019s turned it around beating Damon Jackson and Nate Landwehr, and I really like what I\u2019ve seen from him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>His striking has looked fantastic, and I think it will only take a few exchanges on the feet for Ige to soften up Mitchell who could be a bit shy about shooting in based on what Topuria did to him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Maybe Mitchell gets Ige to the ground and dominates, but I\u2019m guessing Ige has been working extensively on stuffing the takedowns, and if he\u2019s successful in stuffing the takedowns he should win on the feet. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I think the wrong fighter is favored, and unless I\u2019m missing something <strong>I like Ige to win by finish<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UFC Fight Night Main Event: Rafael Fiziev -150 v Mateusz Gamrot +130<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I know I\u2019m on an island here, but I think Fiziev is overrated, and I think he loses here. He beat Rafael Dos Anjos who is past his prime, and has lost two out of three, and he beat Brad Ridell who has lost three in a row so they gave him a big step up in competition and Justin Gaethje humbled him as he dominated Fiziev. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Gamrot is an incredibly technical fighter that does a great job of controlling his opponent with grappling, and landing enough strikes to frustrate his opponent, and I don\u2019t think Fiziev is going to be able to figure out the traps that Gamrot sets for him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Fiziev has more power in his strikes, but Gamrot won\u2019t allow himself to get into a brawl as that\u2019s what happened agaisnt Dariush, and he lost. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>In his next fight he controlled Jalin Turner, and although the fight wasn\u2019t exciting it ended up being a Gamrot win. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Gaetje exposed some holes in the defense of Fiziev, and someone as fast and smart as Gamrot will take advantage of those, and he will probably have more surprised for Fiziev in the wrestling department. Fiziev continues to be overvalued, <strong>I\u2019ll gladly take Gamrot with the plus money here<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Prediction: Mateusz Gamrot +130<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul>\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23582","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23582"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23582\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23583,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23582\/revisions\/23583"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3648"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23582"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23582"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23582"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}