{"id":23564,"date":"2023-09-19T11:58:37","date_gmt":"2023-09-19T15:58:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=23564"},"modified":"2023-09-19T11:59:23","modified_gmt":"2023-09-19T15:59:23","slug":"week-2-nfl-recap-week-3-betting-preview","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/nfl\/week-2-nfl-recap-week-3-betting-preview\/","title":{"rendered":"Week 2 NFL Recap &#8211; Week 3 Betting Preview"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NFL Betting Recap For Week 2<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Ronacesports\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Ronacesports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Football content contributor Ron Marmalefsky<\/a> offers his NFL Week 2 betting recap as well as his lookahead to Week 3 of NFL kicking off on Thursday! What are his takeaways and look aheads from a betting perspective? Read below now!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You get <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nfl\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nfl\">free NFL picks<\/a> from WagerTalk all season long &#8211; including Week 3 and beyond. Get your free picks now!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Get a TOP College Football Play for $2<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>$2 college football 5% TOP PLAY!<\/strong> <a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/dc\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"wt.buzz\/dc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Dave Cokin<\/a> is the <strong>#1 lifetime college football handicapper<\/strong> at WagerTalk with three #1 finishes! He&#8217;s released 491 plays this year with only three being 5% plays, and you guessed it he&#8217;s <strong>3-0 so far!<\/strong> Grab his 4th 5% play of 2023 below before college football kicks off Saturday!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button is-style-outline is-style-outline--1\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-vivid-green-cyan-background-color has-background wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/ppgdetail\/108426\/2-DOLLARS-NFL-TOP-PLAY-1-in-NFL-292-61?productList=Home+Primary+Bricks\"><strong>GET MY $2 5% CFB PLAY FROM DAVE NOW!<\/strong><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NFL QB \u2018s Couldn\u2019t Just Turn on a Switch and Perform Week 1<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Welcome to my Tuesday recap of last Sunday and Monday\u2019s NFL football action. Part of one each week\u2019s article will be a \u201cwhat did we learn\u201d segment as I put in print some observations from last week\u2019s action. Part two will look ahead to next week\u2019s games with some initial observations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"The Opening Line Report | 2023 NFL Season Week 3 Odds &amp; Spreads | NFL Betting Advice | Sept 18\" width=\"870\" height=\"489\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/uoZ8NUM4qZk?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NFL Week 2: What Did We Learn?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Atlanta<\/strong> last week held the ball for 36 minutes. Get used to that, as the Falcons are a very run-heavy team.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Carolina<\/strong> lacks talent at WR, TE and along the OL. As a result, Bryce Young has completed 42 passes for just 299 yards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Chicago<\/strong> had a league worst 20-58 sack ratio in 2022. They drafted and signed eight players to try and shore up their OL over the past two seasons, but as someone who has completed over 40 annual draft reports, I was less than impressed with the talent acquired. The sack ratio is 1-10 thus far (one sack for, ten sacks against). I care about this data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Cincinnati<\/strong> has allowed 77-384 on the ground thus far. Should we be worried? I am not worried just yet, as they faced Cleveland (Chubb) and Baltimore so far. Do not be surprised if things get better down the road.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Denver<\/strong> has a Russell Wilson issue. His internal clock is off, and for a veteran QB who should know better, he takes way too many sacks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Detroit<\/strong> has had a slow start rushing opposing QB\u2019s (one defensive sack). More than anything else, that got them into trouble vs. Seattle, a team with savvy playmaking WR\u2019s Lockett and Metcalf.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Las Vegas<\/strong> RB Josh Jacobs ran for 1,653 yards a year ago. Through contract talks, etc., perhaps the overall conditioning took a hit. He has more receiving yards (74) than rushing yards (48, on 28 carries). Let\u2019s see how he performs at home vs. a subpar Pittsburgh rush defense that will have one less day to rest up after their thrilling conference victory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Miami\u2019s<\/strong> 7-1 sack differential is a surprise to me. I\u2019ll be checking to see if that is sustainable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Minnesota<\/strong> has rushed the ball just 26 times for a grand total of 69 yards. They lowballed Delvin Cook and he is missed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>New Orleans<\/strong> has clearly changed their passing attack for the better. With Derek Carr at the helm, the trio of WR\u2019s (Shaheed, Olave, Thomas) have exploded for 35 receptions, good for 466 yards. I\u2019m not a fan of Head Coach Dennis Allen\u2019s ability to manage this side of the ball (he\u2019s not the coordinator but as the boss, he prefers conservative offensive game plans), but the Saints have looked good so far.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There\u2019s hope in New York as the <strong>Giants<\/strong> engineered a massive comeback to win at Arizona. That type of comeback creates confidence, but the stat sheet shows a 0-10 sack ratio. With RB Barkley possibly sidelined for a couple of games, Daniel Jones could use some help from the defense as he will likely be forced to be more pass oriented.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, I feel like I may have misjudged <strong>Tampa Bay<\/strong> to start 2023. Yes, beating Minnesota thanks to a +3 turnover ratio and beating a very bad Chicago team may mask some problems, but as I look at the current roster I see experience in several areas, which makes them a cut above the younger teams in the NFL. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Having WR\u2019s Godwin and Evans puts them above most teams, and the defensive roster has a few impact veterans as well. Let\u2019s see how they fare moving forward.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Three Key Games to Keep in Mind for Week 3<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Los Angeles Chargers at Minnesota:<\/strong> Both teams are a disappointing 0-2, both in record and in one score games. Justin Herbert has been great, and the offense has scored 58 points. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The defense has underachieved. Head Coach Staley is under fire, and his outburst at one of the press conferences was not a good look.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Minnesota\u2019s Kirk Cousins continues to display solid accuracy, but the run game without departed Delvin Cook is at the bottom of the NFL. We can clearly point to turnovers as the reason they are 0-2, as going -3 twice in turnover margin cost them both games. Still, like the Chargers, the defense is not where it needs to be.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Early Game Keys:<\/strong> My two keys reside with Minnesota. Can the Vikings establish the run, and will their pass defense be able to contain Justin Herbert?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"epyt-video-wrapper\"><div  style=\"display: block; margin: 0px auto;\"  id=\"_ytid_76469\"  width=\"870\" height=\"489\"  data-origwidth=\"870\" data-origheight=\"489\" data-facadesrc=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/KPE_LRFYBvY?enablejsapi=1&#038;origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com&#038;autoplay=0&#038;cc_load_policy=1&#038;cc_lang_pref=&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;loop=0&#038;rel=0&#038;fs=1&#038;playsinline=0&#038;autohide=2&#038;hl=en_US&#038;theme=dark&#038;color=red&#038;controls=1&#038;disablekb=0&#038;\" class=\"__youtube_prefs__ epyt-facade  epyt-is-override  no-lazyload\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-spai-excluded=\"true\" class=\"epyt-facade-poster skip-lazy\" loading=\"lazy\"  alt=\"Los Angeles Chargers vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction and Picks - Free Monday Night Football Pick\"  src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/KPE_LRFYBvY\/maxresdefault.jpg\"  \/><button class=\"epyt-facade-play\" aria-label=\"Play\"><svg data-no-lazy=\"1\" height=\"100%\" version=\"1.1\" viewBox=\"0 0 68 48\" width=\"100%\"><path class=\"ytp-large-play-button-bg\" d=\"M66.52,7.74c-0.78-2.93-2.49-5.41-5.42-6.19C55.79,.13,34,0,34,0S12.21,.13,6.9,1.55 C3.97,2.33,2.27,4.81,1.48,7.74C0.06,13.05,0,24,0,24s0.06,10.95,1.48,16.26c0.78,2.93,2.49,5.41,5.42,6.19 C12.21,47.87,34,48,34,48s21.79-0.13,27.1-1.55c2.93-0.78,4.64-3.26,5.42-6.19C67.94,34.95,68,24,68,24S67.94,13.05,66.52,7.74z\" fill=\"#f00\"><\/path><path d=\"M 45,24 27,14 27,34\" fill=\"#fff\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><\/div><\/div><span itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><meta itemprop=\"embedUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/KPE_LRFYBvY\"><meta itemprop=\"name\" content=\"Los Angeles Chargers vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction and Picks - Free Monday Night Football Pick\"><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"If you are looking for a free Monday Night Football football pick and predictions for the Week 3 NFL matchup between the Los Angeles Chargers and Minnesota Vikings, we have you covered! Our NFL football handicapping experts discuss the opening weekend from a sports betting perspective, sharing their picks and predictions vs. the current odds. #nflpicks #nflpredictions #nflbetting Los Angeles Chargers vs Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview Sunday, September 24, 2023 1:00 PM ET U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN TV: FOX Radio: Chargers: 98.7 FM | Vikings: 96.7 FM Online: Peacock Spread: EVEN Total: 52 Interesting Facts: The Chargers and Vikings have both started the season 0-2. The Chargers have lost their two games by a combined five points with the Vikings losing their two games by a combined nine points. The Chargers are led by quarterback Justin Herbert, who is one of the most talented young quarterbacks in the NFL. The Vikings are led by quarterback Kirk Cousins, who is entering his sixth season with the team. Team Twitter Hashtags: #BoltUp #Skol \ud83d\udc4d Make sure to SUBSCRIBE to WagerTalk TV; \ud83d\udd14 CLICK the Bell and never miss an episode! \ud83c\udfc8 More Free NFL Picks: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/NFL \ud83e\udd11 Free Sports Picks: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks \ud83d\udcca Live Odds: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds \ud83d\uddde\ufe0f News: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news \ud83d\udc4d Stay connected with WagerTalk \ud83d\udcfa YouTube: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tv \ud83d\udc4d Facebook: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/fb \ud83d\udc26 Twitter: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tw \ud83d\udcf8 Instagram: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ig \ud83d\udcf0 Reddit: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/rd \u2764\ufe0f iHeart Radio: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/iheart \ud83c\udf4e Apple Podcasts: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ap \ud83d\udccc Pinterest: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/pin\"><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/KPE_LRFYBvY\/0.jpg\"><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT5M16S\"><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2023-09-18T19:32:29Z\"><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Pittsburgh at Las Vegas:<\/strong> Two defensive TD\u2019s fueled Pittsburgh\u2019s comeback on Monday night as Kenny Pickett and the offense has yet to find its rhythm. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The good news is that the Las Vegas defense is a step down from what they\u2019ve seen from SF and Cleveland. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Las Vegas has a 6-0 sack ratio, but the fun ends there. Josh Jacobs has run for less than two yards per carry, Jimmy G has thrown three interceptions, and other than WR Adams, no other target has stepped up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In a deeper dive, Pittsburgh has to become more balanced offensively. 31 rushing attempts in two games is not a formula for success. Matt Canada (coordinator) continues to underachieve. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For Las Vegas, they have an opportunity to improve running the ball vs. a Pittsburgh defense that seems vulnerable to the run. So far, Vegas has allowed nearly 82% through the air. Their safe zone scheme however has yielded just 451 yards on 58 completions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Early Game Keys:<\/strong> With one less day to prepare, Pittsburgh must shorten the game by creating run holes. I expect Las Vegas to also attempt to feature the run game. Pittsburgh has nine defensive sacks, and this game may hinge on how well the Raiders protect their QB. Technical and situational factors will likely favor the home team in this matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Philadelphia at Tampa Bay:<\/strong> Philly is 2-0 while not playing their best football. Tampa is 2-0 behind the steady play of Baker Mayfield and its +5 turnover ratio. Philly last played on a Thursday, and this time off could see them regain their edge. Tampa has been a strong Monday Night home dog. Something has to give.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Philly stat sheet shows a (predictable) drop in defensive sacks, but an improved defense vs. the run. RB Swift is electric when healthy, which he is right now. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Tampa Bay stat sheet shows just one sack allowed, which I currently attribute to how well Baker Mayfield has seized this opportunity. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>WR\u2019s Godwin and Evans have combined to catch 22 passes for 336 yards. This will be a stern test for their defense, which has risen to the challenge thus far vs. lesser opponents.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Early Game Keys:<\/strong> For Philly, can they force Baker Mayfield out of his comfort zone, and can their own pass game hit some big plays, which have been lacking thus far. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For Tampa Bay, can they continue to push the needle on their pass rush, and is their any hope that their run game (67-193) can improve. If not, Tampa\u2019s offense may take a step back.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NFL Week 3 Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, scoring was way up in week two.\u00a0 Lines on many games seemed low, likely an overreaction to the sloppy play we saw week one.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Much was made about the (lack) of playing time for many offensive players during the preseason, plus the lack of conditioning with having to play a full sixty minutes for all starters.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The chatter tended to focus solely on offense, but a good portion of the hamstring issues we saw after week one came from the defensive side of the ball.\u00a0 When a team loses multiple defensive starters, savvy QB\u2019s will exploit the backups.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For week three I feel conditioning will be back to \u201cnormal\u201d levels both for the offense and for the defense.\u00a0 As a result, I do not expect to see skewed results like we saw to the UNDER week one, and the OVER week two.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As handicappers, the best advice I can give is to get back to matchup analysis, and ignore chasing short term scoring trends.\u00a0 Teams will adjust, players will adjust and oddsmakers will adjust.\u00a0 We must do the same.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Follow me on twitter @ronacesports<\/strong> to be alerted of future articles, and <strong>my weekly podcasts with @lasvegascris<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Get GoldSheet for Football Betting Tips All Year and Best Bets Today<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/the-gold-sheet\">Football GoldSheet newsletter<\/a> is now available for purchase at WagerTalk! From Week 0, in college football all the way through the Super Bowl, get expert analysis, box score recaps, power ratings and much more from the <em><strong>country&#8217;s oldest and most popular sports betting newsletter<\/strong><\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/the-gold-sheet\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/goldsheetfootball-1024x366.jpg\" alt=\"clemson vs duke\" class=\"wp-image-21517\" style=\"width:489px;height:175px\" width=\"489\" height=\"175\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/goldsheetfootball-1024x366.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/goldsheetfootball-300x107.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/goldsheetfootball-768x275.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/goldsheetfootball.jpg 1090w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 489px) 100vw, 489px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a class=\"anchor\" id=\"newsletterfrm\"><\/a>\n<div class=\"hottest_play_area\">\n  <div id=\"newsletter_widget\" class=\"hottest_play_third_area newsletter_widget\">\n    <div class=\"hottest_play_third_area_content\">\n      <div class=\"sign-up-offer-text\">\n        <p>SPECIAL OFFER FOR FIRST TIME SUBSCRIBERS<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-thank new\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <a class=\"anchor-newsletter\"><\/a>\n        Thanks for signing up! 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Track the run spreads, totals and betting percentages for all NFL games. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Latest Betting Odds and Public Action<\/strong><strong>:&nbsp;<\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/odds\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Vegas lines<\/a>&nbsp;updated in real time, including who the public is betting on.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Last Minute Handicapping Advice<\/strong>: Check out our extensive library of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/sports-betting-guide\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">handicapping tips<\/a>&nbsp;and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/videos\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">sports betting tips video library<\/a>)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Want an expert opinion?<\/strong>&nbsp;Check out the latest&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Free Sports Picks<\/a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Best Bets<\/a>&nbsp;from our team of expert sports handicappers.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>NFL Betting Recap For Week 2 Football content contributor Ron Marmalefsky offers his NFL Week 2 betting recap as well as his lookahead to Week 3 of NFL kicking off on Thursday! What are his takeaways and look aheads from a betting perspective? Read below now! You get free NFL picks from WagerTalk all season [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":46,"featured_media":2251,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[349,15,6071,5694,6070,76,277,5696,6003,6073,1621,6076,6077,6072,6074,6075],"class_list":["post-23564","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-los-angeles-chargers","tag-nfl","tag-nfl-best-bets","tag-nfl-bets","tag-nfl-look-ahead","tag-nfl-picks","tag-nfl-predictions","tag-nfl-recap","tag-nfl-week-2","tag-nfl-week-2-recap","tag-nfl-week-3","tag-nfl-week-3-picks","tag-nfl-week-3-predictions","tag-nfl-week-3-preview","tag-week-2-nfl-recap","tag-week-3-betting-preview"],"basic_html":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NFL Betting Recap For Week 2<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Ronacesports\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Ronacesports\">Football content contributor Ron Marmalefsky<\/a> offers his NFL Week 2 betting recap as well as his lookahead to Week 3 of NFL kicking off on Thursday! What are his takeaways and look aheads from a betting perspective? Read below now!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>You get <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nfl\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nfl\">free NFL picks<\/a> from WagerTalk all season long - including Week 3 and beyond. Get your free picks now!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Get a TOP College Football Play for $2<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>$2 college football 5% TOP PLAY!<\/strong> <a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/dc\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"wt.buzz\/dc\">Dave Cokin<\/a> is the <strong>#1 lifetime college football handicapper<\/strong> at WagerTalk with three #1 finishes! He's released 491 plays this year with only three being 5% plays, and you guessed it he's <strong>3-0 so far!<\/strong> Grab his 4th 5% play of 2023 below before college football kicks off Saturday!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NFL QB \u2018s Couldn\u2019t Just Turn on a Switch and Perform Week 1<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Welcome to my Tuesday recap of last Sunday and Monday\u2019s NFL football action. Part of one each week\u2019s article will be a \u201cwhat did we learn\u201d segment as I put in print some observations from last week\u2019s action. Part two will look ahead to next week\u2019s games with some initial observations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n<iframe src='https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/uoZ8NUM4qZk?origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com'><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NFL Week 2: What Did We Learn?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Atlanta<\/strong> last week held the ball for 36 minutes. Get used to that, as the Falcons are a very run-heavy team.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Carolina<\/strong> lacks talent at WR, TE and along the OL. As a result, Bryce Young has completed 42 passes for just 299 yards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Chicago<\/strong> had a league worst 20-58 sack ratio in 2022. They drafted and signed eight players to try and shore up their OL over the past two seasons, but as someone who has completed over 40 annual draft reports, I was less than impressed with the talent acquired. The sack ratio is 1-10 thus far (one sack for, ten sacks against). I care about this data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Cincinnati<\/strong> has allowed 77-384 on the ground thus far. Should we be worried? I am not worried just yet, as they faced Cleveland (Chubb) and Baltimore so far. Do not be surprised if things get better down the road.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Denver<\/strong> has a Russell Wilson issue. His internal clock is off, and for a veteran QB who should know better, he takes way too many sacks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Detroit<\/strong> has had a slow start rushing opposing QB\u2019s (one defensive sack). More than anything else, that got them into trouble vs. Seattle, a team with savvy playmaking WR\u2019s Lockett and Metcalf.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Las Vegas<\/strong> RB Josh Jacobs ran for 1,653 yards a year ago. Through contract talks, etc., perhaps the overall conditioning took a hit. He has more receiving yards (74) than rushing yards (48, on 28 carries). Let\u2019s see how he performs at home vs. a subpar Pittsburgh rush defense that will have one less day to rest up after their thrilling conference victory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Miami\u2019s<\/strong> 7-1 sack differential is a surprise to me. I\u2019ll be checking to see if that is sustainable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Minnesota<\/strong> has rushed the ball just 26 times for a grand total of 69 yards. They lowballed Delvin Cook and he is missed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>New Orleans<\/strong> has clearly changed their passing attack for the better. With Derek Carr at the helm, the trio of WR\u2019s (Shaheed, Olave, Thomas) have exploded for 35 receptions, good for 466 yards. I\u2019m not a fan of Head Coach Dennis Allen\u2019s ability to manage this side of the ball (he\u2019s not the coordinator but as the boss, he prefers conservative offensive game plans), but the Saints have looked good so far.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>There\u2019s hope in New York as the <strong>Giants<\/strong> engineered a massive comeback to win at Arizona. That type of comeback creates confidence, but the stat sheet shows a 0-10 sack ratio. With RB Barkley possibly sidelined for a couple of games, Daniel Jones could use some help from the defense as he will likely be forced to be more pass oriented.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, I feel like I may have misjudged <strong>Tampa Bay<\/strong> to start 2023. Yes, beating Minnesota thanks to a +3 turnover ratio and beating a very bad Chicago team may mask some problems, but as I look at the current roster I see experience in several areas, which makes them a cut above the younger teams in the NFL. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Having WR\u2019s Godwin and Evans puts them above most teams, and the defensive roster has a few impact veterans as well. Let\u2019s see how they fare moving forward.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Three Key Games to Keep in Mind for Week 3<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Los Angeles Chargers at Minnesota:<\/strong> Both teams are a disappointing 0-2, both in record and in one score games. Justin Herbert has been great, and the offense has scored 58 points. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The defense has underachieved. Head Coach Staley is under fire, and his outburst at one of the press conferences was not a good look.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Minnesota\u2019s Kirk Cousins continues to display solid accuracy, but the run game without departed Delvin Cook is at the bottom of the NFL. We can clearly point to turnovers as the reason they are 0-2, as going -3 twice in turnover margin cost them both games. Still, like the Chargers, the defense is not where it needs to be.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Early Game Keys:<\/strong> My two keys reside with Minnesota. Can the Vikings establish the run, and will their pass defense be able to contain Justin Herbert?<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n<iframe src='https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/KPE_LRFYBvY?origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com'><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Pittsburgh at Las Vegas:<\/strong> Two defensive TD\u2019s fueled Pittsburgh\u2019s comeback on Monday night as Kenny Pickett and the offense has yet to find its rhythm. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The good news is that the Las Vegas defense is a step down from what they\u2019ve seen from SF and Cleveland. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Las Vegas has a 6-0 sack ratio, but the fun ends there. Josh Jacobs has run for less than two yards per carry, Jimmy G has thrown three interceptions, and other than WR Adams, no other target has stepped up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>In a deeper dive, Pittsburgh has to become more balanced offensively. 31 rushing attempts in two games is not a formula for success. Matt Canada (coordinator) continues to underachieve. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>For Las Vegas, they have an opportunity to improve running the ball vs. a Pittsburgh defense that seems vulnerable to the run. So far, Vegas has allowed nearly 82% through the air. Their safe zone scheme however has yielded just 451 yards on 58 completions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Early Game Keys:<\/strong> With one less day to prepare, Pittsburgh must shorten the game by creating run holes. I expect Las Vegas to also attempt to feature the run game. Pittsburgh has nine defensive sacks, and this game may hinge on how well the Raiders protect their QB. Technical and situational factors will likely favor the home team in this matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Philadelphia at Tampa Bay:<\/strong> Philly is 2-0 while not playing their best football. Tampa is 2-0 behind the steady play of Baker Mayfield and its +5 turnover ratio. Philly last played on a Thursday, and this time off could see them regain their edge. Tampa has been a strong Monday Night home dog. Something has to give.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The Philly stat sheet shows a (predictable) drop in defensive sacks, but an improved defense vs. the run. RB Swift is electric when healthy, which he is right now. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The Tampa Bay stat sheet shows just one sack allowed, which I currently attribute to how well Baker Mayfield has seized this opportunity. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>WR\u2019s Godwin and Evans have combined to catch 22 passes for 336 yards. This will be a stern test for their defense, which has risen to the challenge thus far vs. lesser opponents.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Early Game Keys:<\/strong> For Philly, can they force Baker Mayfield out of his comfort zone, and can their own pass game hit some big plays, which have been lacking thus far. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>For Tampa Bay, can they continue to push the needle on their pass rush, and is their any hope that their run game (67-193) can improve. If not, Tampa\u2019s offense may take a step back.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NFL Week 3 Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, scoring was way up in week two.\u00a0 Lines on many games seemed low, likely an overreaction to the sloppy play we saw week one.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Much was made about the (lack) of playing time for many offensive players during the preseason, plus the lack of conditioning with having to play a full sixty minutes for all starters.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The chatter tended to focus solely on offense, but a good portion of the hamstring issues we saw after week one came from the defensive side of the ball.\u00a0 When a team loses multiple defensive starters, savvy QB\u2019s will exploit the backups.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>For week three I feel conditioning will be back to \u201cnormal\u201d levels both for the offense and for the defense.\u00a0 As a result, I do not expect to see skewed results like we saw to the UNDER week one, and the OVER week two.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>As handicappers, the best advice I can give is to get back to matchup analysis, and ignore chasing short term scoring trends.\u00a0 Teams will adjust, players will adjust and oddsmakers will adjust.\u00a0 We must do the same.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Follow me on twitter @ronacesports<\/strong> to be alerted of future articles, and <strong>my weekly podcasts with @lasvegascris<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Get GoldSheet for Football Betting Tips All Year and Best Bets Today<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/the-gold-sheet\">Football GoldSheet newsletter<\/a> is now available for purchase at WagerTalk! From Week 0, in college football all the way through the Super Bowl, get expert analysis, box score recaps, power ratings and much more from the <em><strong>country's oldest and most popular sports betting newsletter<\/strong><\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/the-gold-sheet\"><img src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/goldsheetfootball-1024x366.jpg\" alt=\"clemson vs duke\" class=\"wp-image-21517\" style=\"width:489px;height:175px\" width=\"489\" height=\"175\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><a class=\"anchor\" id=\"newsletterfrm\"><\/a>\n<div class=\"hottest_play_area\">\n  <div id=\"newsletter_widget\" class=\"hottest_play_third_area newsletter_widget\">\n    <div class=\"hottest_play_third_area_content\">\n      <div class=\"sign-up-offer-text\">\n        <p>SPECIAL OFFER FOR FIRST TIME SUBSCRIBERS<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-thank new\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <a class=\"anchor-newsletter\"><\/a>\n        Thanks for signing up! 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Track the run spreads, totals and betting percentages for all NFL games. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul>\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23564","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/46"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23564"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23564\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23569,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23564\/revisions\/23569"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2251"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23564"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23564"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23564"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}