{"id":22408,"date":"2023-08-30T16:01:42","date_gmt":"2023-08-30T20:01:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=22408"},"modified":"2024-06-03T12:53:42","modified_gmt":"2024-06-03T16:53:42","slug":"navy-football-predictions-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football\/navy-football-predictions-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"Navy Football Predictions, Betting Tips & Team Preview 2023: WagerTalk Best Betting Guide"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Navy Football Predictions & Preview 2023: <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Expert college football handicapper Ron Marmalefsky runs down the Midshipmen’s chances for 2023 and provides expert tips for betting on Navy football in 2023. Ron looks at areas to watch, favorability of schedule, offers a predicted record for Navy football in 2023 and offers some handicapping tips for betting on the Midshipmen this season. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

You get free college football picks<\/a> from WagerTalk all season long – including on Navy – check them out each and every day<\/em> during the NCAAF season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Navy football Preview 2023: <\/strong> Navy Picks for Betting<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

NIL and the transfer portal.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Not all the service academies have been left behind, but Navy is just 11-23 the past three seasons, and that wasn\u2019t good enough for their longtime coach to keep his job.  Brian Newberry\u2019s defense was outstanding in many ways last year, and he\u2019s the new guy in charge.  Seamless transition, or another losing season?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Navy Football Predictions: AREAS TO WATCH<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Navy, like Army, is considering opening up their offense to include more pass attempts.  Unlike Army, the run game here has taken a three-year dip.  The good news is that like Army, the returning starter count is higher than ever.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The big question of course is finding a QB who is accurate.  The OL is light by today\u2019s standards and figures to allow more sacks.  Every once in a while, the run D comes up big.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

That was the case in \u201922, with a (corrected for sacks) 3.6 per carry average allowed, and just 95 yards allowed per game.  With nine returning starters, this might be sustainable.  The pass defense percentage is routinely in the mid-60\u2019s, partly due to not practicing vs. quality QB\u2019s.  The figure will probably stay in this range, but the Midshipmen produced a record high 34 sacks last year, which certainly helped the cause.  The top guy (11.5) is gone, so this area will clearly need to be tracked.  Kicking has run hot and cold here.  A new PK must be vetted out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Navy 2023 Predictions, Navy Schedule:<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The schedule does come out easier in 2023.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

It also features an unheard of four bye weeks, which I have NEVER seen<\/strong>!  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Games 4-6 after bye #2 are home to USF (no recent meetings), home to North Texas, at a rested Charlotte, and home to Air Force.  I\u2019ll be pre-checking how they adapt to a revamped offense (new coordinator worries me), defensive sacks, and the kicking game.  The next four games are at Temple (three straight wins), at Tulane, home to Memphis ((four straight losses) and at SMU (three straight losses, some closer games).  Army as usual closes out the season<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Navy Football Bottom Line: <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

6-6 or even 7-5?<\/strong>  With more returning starters than almost ever, coupled with an unprecedented four bye weeks, anything less than 6-6 in this league in flux would be underachieving.  I\u2019m rightfully scared about the \u201923 offense, but the defense should be fine.  Hopefully, close game kicking won\u2019t let them down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Navy Football HANDICAPPING TIP<\/strong>: <\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Coaching stability has lent itself well to solid statistical indicators, but are we entering unproven ground now?  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Navy enters 2023 49-21 ATS as a rush pick (9-2 lately, even in down years).  Being a rush pick vs. any new coaching staff has been incredibly stable, although I have NOT used such data when new coaches face off against each other.  Navy is 4-11 straight-up at home the last three seasons.  If the new coaching change results in growing pains, that might be an area to continue to exploit..<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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College Football Heisman Trophy Video Betting Guide<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Caleb Williams is the odds favorite to win this season’s Heisman Trophy, currently listed at +600. Can a longshot win the coveted trophy, or will the USC quarterback take the cake? Jeff Michaels breaks down the field and offers his thoughts on a few long shots to consider ahead of the season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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