{"id":22239,"date":"2023-08-22T14:14:40","date_gmt":"2023-08-22T18:14:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=22239"},"modified":"2023-08-23T11:20:27","modified_gmt":"2023-08-23T15:20:27","slug":"tour-championship-predictions-free-picks-and-odds-aug-24-27","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/golf\/tour-championship-predictions-free-picks-and-odds-aug-24-27\/","title":{"rendered":"TOUR Championship Predictions, Free Picks and Odds Aug 24-27"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">TOUR Championship Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/nick-borrman\">WagerTalk golf handicapper Nick Borrman<\/a> offers his thoughts on the TOUR Championship teeing off from East Lake Golf Course in Atlanta, GA. Nick discusses the guys at the top of the odds board, golfers to fade and other expert picks surrounding the TOUR Championship starting August 24!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em>Stay on top of the latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/golf\">Golf<\/a> updates direct from Las Vegas!<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk also offers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nfl\">Free NFL Picks<\/a> all year long!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BET ONLY $2<\/strong>: <a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/sm\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"wt.buzz\/sm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Steve Merril<\/a> was #1 in Football Sides last season, with +64.45 units, a 76-54-2 record, and an incredible 12.4% ROI for his clients! This weekend he is releasing his FIRST COLLEGE BEST BET OF THE SEASON, and you can <a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/sm\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"wt.buzz\/sm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">get it today for ONLY $2<\/a>!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><th>TOUR Championship<\/th><th>PGA Tour Betting Notes<\/th><\/tr><tr><td>When:<\/td><td>August 24-27<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Where:<\/td><td>East Lake Golf Course in Atlanta, GA<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Defending Champ:<\/td><td>Rory McIlroy<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Current Favorite:<\/td><td>Scottie Scheffler (+140 at <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/draftkings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">DraftKings<\/a>)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>TV:<\/td><td>Golf Channel &amp; CBS<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">TOUR Championship Odds Board<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Top-10 Total Strokes Gained over the last six months (betting odds via <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/fanduel\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">FanDuel<\/a> ,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/draftkings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">DraftKings <\/a>and others)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/Screen-Shot-2023-08-22-at-12.16.13-AM.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-22240\" style=\"width:433px;height:259px\" width=\"433\" height=\"259\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/Screen-Shot-2023-08-22-at-12.16.13-AM.png 573w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/Screen-Shot-2023-08-22-at-12.16.13-AM-300x180.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 433px) 100vw, 433px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Course &amp; Field \u2013 East Lake Golf Club (Atlanta, Georgia)<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>From <a href=\"https:\/\/wt.buzz\/nb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nick Borrman<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The PGA TOUR season wraps up this week at East Lake as the FedexCup Playoffs come to an end with the TOUR Championship. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As has been the case the last four seasons, starting strokes are in play once again this season which sees Scottie Scheffler (-10) sitting two strokes above everyone else to start the tournament. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I\u2019m not going to reference the full list and their starting strokes. You can find that just about anywhere on the interweb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>East Lake has hosted the TOUR Championship every year since 2005. It plays to a par-70 just like each of the first two playoff events, with a total yardage of over 7,300 yards. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rough is long like we saw last week at the BMW Championship and the greens are very undulating and generally require experience to master. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The two par-5s at East Lake measured as the 2nd easiest set on TOUR last season averaging 4.31 so birdies on those two holes are a must and length will always help that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Speaking of length, seven of the last eight winners finished in the Top-6 for SG Off the Tee for the week. Of course, you need to roll the rock as well which five of the last six winners have finished in the Top-5 for SG Putting as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since the inception of starting strokes, here are the betting trends to pay attention to this week:<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The #1 seed has won twice, and the other two were each won by Rory McIlroy who started at -4 and -5 in each win.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The #1 seed has finished no worse than a T3.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>At least one player starting at -2 has finished inside the Top-5.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>No player starting at -1 or E has finished in the Top-5.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The Top-3 has included at least one player who started between -2 an -4 each year.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>What does that mean? It means if you are betting who will win the FedexCup, history tells us it will either be Scottie or Rory. But that\u2019s not the only way to bet this week. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Most books will offer that lowest 72-hole score without starting strokes and that is more like the traditional Outright market, though your bet could settle on the Dead Heat Rule.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Still, with guys in the -2 to -4 range having proven to finish up near the top, that is where I would suggest looking for this market. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Remember, they must play aggressive and go low to try and claw their way back vs the top seeds who only need to protect the lead and pars, especially near the end of the tournament, may be all that is needed to win. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If for example Scottie gets to -21 for the tournament, a common score of the winner of this event, he shoots -11 in this market. But if someone starting a -3 gets up in the Top-5, he is likely shooting -13 or -14 to get into the -16 or -17 range and there is no reason for Scottie to push the issue to beat those numbers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Lastly as always, weather. It looks to be a non-factor this week with very good conditions expected all four days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even if there was some bad weather in the forecast, with only 30 players in the field and tee times so tight, everyone is essentially playing in the same elements.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Outright Winner \u2013 \u2018Win the Fedex Cup\u2019 or \u2018Outright Including Starting Strokes\u2019<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scottie Scheffler +140 (Bet365)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Think of it like this. Scottie Scheffler is having the 2nd best SG Tee to Green season of all-time since it started being tracked back in 2004. Only one season from Tiger Woods tops his numbers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We all know his weakness is putting, but give him a two, three and four shot lead over the guys most likely to challenge him and he will be tough to catch. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He is not going to go backwards and we are basically spotting him what he loses with his putter. So, he is all but guaranteed to be there on Sunday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What I like the most is the chip on his shoulder this week, which is twofold. Scottie looked like he was going to win basically all of Sunday until Hovland shot his ridiculous 28 on the back nine to chase his down. But think about that, it took a 28 to beat him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Then, remember Scottie took a five-shot lead into Sunday last year only to see Rory storm back and win by one.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Scottie has a point to prove this week and although he only has two wins this season, this would be most deserving for the best tee to green player this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Outright Winner \u2013 \u2018Without Starting Strokes\u2019 or \u201972-Hole Aggregate Score\u2019<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Tommy Fleetwood +2200 (BetMGM)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We have backed Tommy a couple times recently all well knowing he was never actually going to win. He has proven that he can\u2019t do that as he now has the most Top-5 finishes in PGA TOUR history without a win. But take away the pressure of actually having to win the tournament on Sunday, and Tommy may very well shot the lowest 72-hole score.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fleetwood had a \u2018down\u2019 week last week finishing T25 but had finished inside the Top-10 in five of his six previous starts including three Top-5s. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tommy\u2019s ball-striking numbers are nowhere near as good as Scottie Scheffler (in all fairness, nobody\u2019s are), however he can roll the rock and has been known to throw in a round of 62 or 63 on any given tournament day. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Doing that here could vault him into contention and if he finishes just a couple shots back of the winner, he will have likely fired the lowest 72-hole score.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fleetwood starts at 3-under par, seven shots back of Scottie. That means he can shoot five shots better before even flinching under pressure and I\u2019ll gladly accept this a Tommy\u2019s \u2018first\u2019 TOUR win!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Leaderboard Market<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Xander Schauffele Top-5 +300 | Top-10 -110 (DraftKings, FanDuel or PointsBet)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unlikely to win from this far back, Xander has proven he loves this event. He is a past winner at East Lake, though that was before it also guaranteed he won the Fedex Cup, which he did not that season. He also was the lowest 72-hole aggregate score back in 2020 when Starting Strokes were being used.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Schauffele absolutely loves this venue as he has never finished worse than 7th in six starts at East Lake.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Xander has gained strokes Tee to Green in 13 of his last 14 tournaments and has gained strokes Putting in every tournament he has finished this calendar year (he WD from the Sentry Tournament of Champions) but has gained in all 19 starts since.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Xander is a guy to look at any way you can this week and don\u2019t be afraid for him to make history and make the biggest comeback in Starting Strokes history!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As odd as it is to say, see you next season!\u2026(which is only three weeks away at the Fortinet Championship)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h3>\n\n\n<div class=\"epyt-video-wrapper\">\n<div  style=\"display: block; margin: 0px auto;\"  id=\"_ytid_32687\"  width=\"870\" height=\"489\"  data-origwidth=\"870\" data-origheight=\"489\" data-facadesrc=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Lx3p83pT_S0?enablejsapi=1&#038;origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com&#038;autoplay=0&#038;cc_load_policy=1&#038;cc_lang_pref=&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;loop=0&#038;rel=0&#038;fs=1&#038;playsinline=0&#038;autohide=2&#038;hl=en_US&#038;theme=dark&#038;color=red&#038;controls=1&#038;disablekb=0&#038;\" class=\"__youtube_prefs__ epyt-facade  epyt-is-override  no-lazyload\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-spai-excluded=\"true\" class=\"epyt-facade-poster skip-lazy\" loading=\"lazy\"  alt=\"2023 Tour Championship Picks, Predictions and Odds | PGA Tour Free Plays | Aug 24-27, 2023\"  src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/Lx3p83pT_S0\/maxresdefault.jpg\"  \/><button class=\"epyt-facade-play\" aria-label=\"Play\"><svg data-no-lazy=\"1\" height=\"100%\" version=\"1.1\" viewBox=\"0 0 68 48\" width=\"100%\"><path class=\"ytp-large-play-button-bg\" d=\"M66.52,7.74c-0.78-2.93-2.49-5.41-5.42-6.19C55.79,.13,34,0,34,0S12.21,.13,6.9,1.55 C3.97,2.33,2.27,4.81,1.48,7.74C0.06,13.05,0,24,0,24s0.06,10.95,1.48,16.26c0.78,2.93,2.49,5.41,5.42,6.19 C12.21,47.87,34,48,34,48s21.79-0.13,27.1-1.55c2.93-0.78,4.64-3.26,5.42-6.19C67.94,34.95,68,24,68,24S67.94,13.05,66.52,7.74z\" fill=\"#f00\"><\/path><path d=\"M 45,24 27,14 27,34\" fill=\"#fff\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><span itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><meta itemprop=\"embedUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Lx3p83pT_S0\"><meta itemprop=\"name\" content=\"2023 Tour Championship Picks, Predictions and Odds | PGA Tour Free Plays | Aug 24-27, 2023\"><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"\u26f3 The season has reached its ultimate point, with the PGA Tour Championship teeing off this Thursday at East Lake Golf Course in Atlanta, Georgia. Join Andy Lang and Nick Borrman for their 2023 Tour Championship betting preview. Find out which potential outright winners, prop bets and head-to-head matchups bet before the first tee! #PGATour | #Golf | #tourchampionship | #pga | #golfpicks Introduction 00:00 Recap 00:50 Top 10 Strokes Gained 02:40 East Lake Golf Course Preview 07:10 FedEx Cup &amp; Tour Championship Outright Winners 12:35 Golfers Who Can Trip You Up 15:45 Top 10 &amp; Top 20 Value Picks 17:55 Betting Notes 20:48 \ud83d\udc4d You can get free golf picks and betting tips direct from Vegas by following the WagerTalk handicappers on Twitter: \u25ba WagerTalk: https:\/\/twitter.com\/WagerTalk \u25ba Sportsmemo: https:\/\/twitter.com\/sportsmemo \u25ba GoldSheet: https:\/\/twitter.com\/thegoldsheet \u25ba Andy Lang: https:\/\/twitter.com\/bumpsports \u25ba Nick Borrman: https:\/\/twitter.com\/borrman00 \ud83d\udc4d Make sure to SUBSCRIBE to WagerTalk TV; \ud83d\udd14 CLICK the Bell and never miss an episode! \ud83d\udc40 WagerTalk TV, available for viewing on... \ud83d\udcfa Twitch: http:\/\/wt.buzz\/twitch \ud83e\udde0 More Free Sports Betting Picks and Tips: \ud83e\udd11 Free Sports Picks: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks \ud83d\udcca Live Odds: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds \ud83d\uddde\ufe0f News: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news \ud83d\udc4d Stay connected with WagerTalk \ud83d\udcfa YouTube: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tv \ud83d\udc4d Facebook: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/fb \ud83d\udc26 Twitter: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tw \ud83d\udcf8 Instagram: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ig \ud83d\udcf0 Reddit: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/rd \u2764\ufe0f iHeart Radio: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/iheart \ud83c\udf4e Apple Podcasts: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ap \ud83d\udccc Pinterest: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/pin\"><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/Lx3p83pT_S0\/0.jpg\"><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT23M43S\"><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2023-08-22T20:00:05Z\"><\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">$1250 On Us Offer from Caesars Sportsbook &amp; $500 2nd Chance Free Bets from BetRivers<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Caesars and BetRivers are known to offer excellent lines on NBA props and NBA point spreads.&nbsp; If you&#8217;re stuck using the same 1-2 sportsbooks over and over, you need to expand your sportsbooks!&nbsp; A small change in lines when you place your bet could result in a 60% increase in winnings over a month of normal betting. Shop around, bet smarter with your NBA betting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/wlwilliamhillus.adsrv.eacdn.com\/C.ashx?btag=a_8855b_2550c_&amp;affid=299&amp;siteid=8855&amp;adid=2550&amp;c=\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Get Your Exclusive Caesars $1250 On Us Bonus!<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/gtly.ink\/Zm0ChutRu\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Get Your Exclusive BetRivers $500 2nd Chance Bet Bonus!<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em style=\"font-size: revert; text-align: center; color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif;\">Interested in placing a bet on the the TOUR Championship? BetMGM is offering a <a href=\"https:\/\/gtly.ink\/4lXjdvjDR\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$1,000 Risk-Free Bet<\/a> for first-time bettors in New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Indiana, Colorado, Tennessee, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Washington DC, Wyoming, Mississippi, Arizona and Louisiana.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/gtly.ink\/4lXjdvjDR\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"528\" height=\"124\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/BetMGM-Primary-Horizontal-Black-Background.jpg\" alt=\"BetMGM Logo\" class=\"wp-image-3037\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/BetMGM-Primary-Horizontal-Black-Background.jpg 528w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/BetMGM-Primary-Horizontal-Black-Background-300x70.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 528px) 100vw, 528px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong>Latest Betting Odds and Public Action<\/strong><strong>: <\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/odds\" data-schema-attribute=\"\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Vegas lines<\/a> updated in real time, including who the public is betting on. <\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Last Minute Handicapping Advice<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">: Check out our extensive library of <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/sports-betting-guide\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">handicapping tips<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/videos\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sports betting tips video library<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">)<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Want an expert opinion?<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> Check out the latest <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Free Sports Picks<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Best Bets<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> from our team of expert sports handicappers.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>TOUR Championship Betting Preview WagerTalk golf handicapper Nick Borrman offers his thoughts on the TOUR Championship teeing off from East Lake Golf Course in Atlanta, GA. Nick discusses the guys at the top of the odds board, golfers to fade and other expert picks surrounding the TOUR Championship starting August 24! Stay on top of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":17321,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[439],"tags":[442,4716,2414,2326,644,443,444,2327,2101,4929,4936,4935,4933,4934,4930,4932,4931],"class_list":["post-22239","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-golf","tag-golf","tag-golf-best-bets","tag-golf-bets","tag-golf-bets-this-weekend","tag-golf-betting","tag-golf-picks","tag-golf-predictions","tag-rory-mcilroy","tag-scottie-scheffler","tag-tour-championship","tag-tour-championship-betting-prediction","tag-tour-championship-betting-preview","tag-tour-championship-free-picks","tag-tour-championship-odds","tag-tour-championship-picks","tag-tour-championship-prediction","tag-tour-championship-preview"],"basic_html":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">TOUR Championship Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/nick-borrman\">WagerTalk golf handicapper Nick Borrman<\/a> offers his thoughts on the TOUR Championship teeing off from East Lake Golf Course in Atlanta, GA. Nick discusses the guys at the top of the odds board, golfers to fade and other expert picks surrounding the TOUR Championship starting August 24!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em>Stay on top of the latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/golf\">Golf<\/a> updates direct from Las Vegas!<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk also offers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nfl\">Free NFL Picks<\/a> all year long!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BET ONLY $2<\/strong>: <a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/sm\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"wt.buzz\/sm\">Steve Merril<\/a> was #1 in Football Sides last season, with +64.45 units, a 76-54-2 record, and an incredible 12.4% ROI for his clients! This weekend he is releasing his FIRST COLLEGE BEST BET OF THE SEASON, and you can <a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/sm\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"wt.buzz\/sm\">get it today for ONLY $2<\/a>!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><th>TOUR Championship<\/th><th>PGA Tour Betting Notes<\/th><\/tr><tr><td>When:<\/td><td>August 24-27<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Where:<\/td><td>East Lake Golf Course in Atlanta, GA<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Defending Champ:<\/td><td>Rory McIlroy<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Current Favorite:<\/td><td>Scottie Scheffler (+140 at <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/draftkings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">DraftKings<\/a>)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>TV:<\/td><td>Golf Channel &amp; CBS<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">TOUR Championship Odds Board<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Top-10 Total Strokes Gained over the last six months (betting odds via <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/fanduel\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">FanDuel<\/a> ,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/draftkings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">DraftKings <\/a>and others)<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/Screen-Shot-2023-08-22-at-12.16.13-AM.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-22240\" style=\"width:433px;height:259px\" width=\"433\" height=\"259\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Course &amp; Field \u2013 East Lake Golf Club (Atlanta, Georgia)<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>From <a href=\"https:\/\/wt.buzz\/nb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nick Borrman<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The PGA TOUR season wraps up this week at East Lake as the FedexCup Playoffs come to an end with the TOUR Championship. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>As has been the case the last four seasons, starting strokes are in play once again this season which sees Scottie Scheffler (-10) sitting two strokes above everyone else to start the tournament. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I\u2019m not going to reference the full list and their starting strokes. You can find that just about anywhere on the interweb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>East Lake has hosted the TOUR Championship every year since 2005. It plays to a par-70 just like each of the first two playoff events, with a total yardage of over 7,300 yards. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Rough is long like we saw last week at the BMW Championship and the greens are very undulating and generally require experience to master. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The two par-5s at East Lake measured as the 2nd easiest set on TOUR last season averaging 4.31 so birdies on those two holes are a must and length will always help that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Speaking of length, seven of the last eight winners finished in the Top-6 for SG Off the Tee for the week. Of course, you need to roll the rock as well which five of the last six winners have finished in the Top-5 for SG Putting as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Since the inception of starting strokes, here are the betting trends to pay attention to this week:<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>What does that mean? It means if you are betting who will win the FedexCup, history tells us it will either be Scottie or Rory. But that\u2019s not the only way to bet this week. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Most books will offer that lowest 72-hole score without starting strokes and that is more like the traditional Outright market, though your bet could settle on the Dead Heat Rule.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Still, with guys in the -2 to -4 range having proven to finish up near the top, that is where I would suggest looking for this market. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Remember, they must play aggressive and go low to try and claw their way back vs the top seeds who only need to protect the lead and pars, especially near the end of the tournament, may be all that is needed to win. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>If for example Scottie gets to -21 for the tournament, a common score of the winner of this event, he shoots -11 in this market. But if someone starting a -3 gets up in the Top-5, he is likely shooting -13 or -14 to get into the -16 or -17 range and there is no reason for Scottie to push the issue to beat those numbers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Lastly as always, weather. It looks to be a non-factor this week with very good conditions expected all four days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Even if there was some bad weather in the forecast, with only 30 players in the field and tee times so tight, everyone is essentially playing in the same elements.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Outright Winner \u2013 \u2018Win the Fedex Cup\u2019 or \u2018Outright Including Starting Strokes\u2019<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scottie Scheffler +140 (Bet365)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Think of it like this. Scottie Scheffler is having the 2nd best SG Tee to Green season of all-time since it started being tracked back in 2004. Only one season from Tiger Woods tops his numbers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>We all know his weakness is putting, but give him a two, three and four shot lead over the guys most likely to challenge him and he will be tough to catch. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>He is not going to go backwards and we are basically spotting him what he loses with his putter. So, he is all but guaranteed to be there on Sunday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>What I like the most is the chip on his shoulder this week, which is twofold. Scottie looked like he was going to win basically all of Sunday until Hovland shot his ridiculous 28 on the back nine to chase his down. But think about that, it took a 28 to beat him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Then, remember Scottie took a five-shot lead into Sunday last year only to see Rory storm back and win by one.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Scottie has a point to prove this week and although he only has two wins this season, this would be most deserving for the best tee to green player this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Outright Winner \u2013 \u2018Without Starting Strokes\u2019 or \u201972-Hole Aggregate Score\u2019<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Tommy Fleetwood +2200 (BetMGM)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>We have backed Tommy a couple times recently all well knowing he was never actually going to win. He has proven that he can\u2019t do that as he now has the most Top-5 finishes in PGA TOUR history without a win. But take away the pressure of actually having to win the tournament on Sunday, and Tommy may very well shot the lowest 72-hole score.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Fleetwood had a \u2018down\u2019 week last week finishing T25 but had finished inside the Top-10 in five of his six previous starts including three Top-5s. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Tommy\u2019s ball-striking numbers are nowhere near as good as Scottie Scheffler (in all fairness, nobody\u2019s are), however he can roll the rock and has been known to throw in a round of 62 or 63 on any given tournament day. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Doing that here could vault him into contention and if he finishes just a couple shots back of the winner, he will have likely fired the lowest 72-hole score.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Fleetwood starts at 3-under par, seven shots back of Scottie. That means he can shoot five shots better before even flinching under pressure and I\u2019ll gladly accept this a Tommy\u2019s \u2018first\u2019 TOUR win!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Leaderboard Market<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Xander Schauffele Top-5 +300 | Top-10 -110 (DraftKings, FanDuel or PointsBet)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Unlikely to win from this far back, Xander has proven he loves this event. He is a past winner at East Lake, though that was before it also guaranteed he won the Fedex Cup, which he did not that season. He also was the lowest 72-hole aggregate score back in 2020 when Starting Strokes were being used.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Schauffele absolutely loves this venue as he has never finished worse than 7th in six starts at East Lake.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Xander has gained strokes Tee to Green in 13 of his last 14 tournaments and has gained strokes Putting in every tournament he has finished this calendar year (he WD from the Sentry Tournament of Champions) but has gained in all 19 starts since.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Xander is a guy to look at any way you can this week and don\u2019t be afraid for him to make history and make the biggest comeback in Starting Strokes history!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>As odd as it is to say, see you next season!\u2026(which is only three weeks away at the Fortinet Championship)<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\nhttps:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=Lx3p83pT_S0&feature=youtu.be\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">$1250 On Us Offer from Caesars Sportsbook &amp; $500 2nd Chance Free Bets from BetRivers<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Caesars and BetRivers are known to offer excellent lines on NBA props and NBA point spreads.&nbsp; If you're stuck using the same 1-2 sportsbooks over and over, you need to expand your sportsbooks!&nbsp; A small change in lines when you place your bet could result in a 60% increase in winnings over a month of normal betting. Shop around, bet smarter with your NBA betting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/wlwilliamhillus.adsrv.eacdn.com\/C.ashx?btag=a_8855b_2550c_&amp;affid=299&amp;siteid=8855&amp;adid=2550&amp;c=\">Get Your Exclusive Caesars $1250 On Us Bonus!<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/gtly.ink\/Zm0ChutRu\">Get Your Exclusive BetRivers $500 2nd Chance Bet Bonus!<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><em style=\"font-size: revert; text-align: center; color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif;\">Interested in placing a bet on the the TOUR Championship? BetMGM is offering a <a href=\"https:\/\/gtly.ink\/4lXjdvjDR\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$1,000 Risk-Free Bet<\/a> for first-time bettors in New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Indiana, Colorado, Tennessee, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Washington DC, Wyoming, Mississippi, Arizona and Louisiana.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/gtly.ink\/4lXjdvjDR\"><img src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/BetMGM-Primary-Horizontal-Black-Background.jpg\" alt=\"BetMGM Logo\" class=\"wp-image-3037\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul>\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22239","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22239"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22239\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22298,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22239\/revisions\/22298"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17321"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22239"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22239"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22239"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}