{"id":22030,"date":"2023-08-16T04:48:16","date_gmt":"2023-08-16T08:48:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=22030"},"modified":"2023-08-16T11:50:49","modified_gmt":"2023-08-16T15:50:49","slug":"free-mlb-picks-today-four-mlb-games-predictions-for-8-16-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/mlb\/free-mlb-picks-today-four-mlb-games-predictions-for-8-16-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"Free MLB Picks Today \u2013 Four MLB Games Predictions for 8\/16\/2023"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Tony Mejia drops FOUR free MLB Picks for 8\/16\/2023. Visit <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/tony-mejia\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Tony&#8217;s expert profile<\/a> now! You can also find <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/mlb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">free MLB picks<\/a> across Wagertalk&#8217;s experts all year long. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out Tony Mejia&#8217;s free picks and THEN buy his amazing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/addtocart?data_productName=capperSubscription_3days_tony-mejia_ALL_ALLBETS_ALLRATINGS&amp;data_quantity=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">3 DAY PASS for MLB<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-black-color has-vivid-green-cyan-background-color has-text-color has-background has-text-align-center wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/addtocart?data_productName=capperSubscription_3days_tony-mejia_ALL_ALLBETS_ALLRATINGS&amp;data_quantity=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Buy Tony&#8217;s 3 DAY FULL PASS for MLB Today<\/strong><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Pulse: Daily MLB Betting Picks for Wednesday, Aug. 16<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Astros at Marlins Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>ASTROS (-130) at MARLINS (+110), 6:40 p.m. ET, Total: 7.5-8<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Marlins took down Astros ace Framber Valdez in the series opener and had a would-be playoff starter in Cristian Javier down 3-0 early on Tuesday, so they\u2019re responding to the pressure of an unlikely playoff chase. Unfortunately for Miami, the long ball got the best of it in the end, with Kyle Tucker hitting Houston\u2019s third home run of the night in the seventh and the bullpen holding on to lock down a 6-5 win and even the series. The Fish benefited from the Cubs, Reds and Diamondbacks all losing, so they lost no ground and remain entrenched as the final NL Wild Card entering the final quarter of the season. The defending champion Astros are now one conquest away from becoming the sixth team in MLB to reach the 70-win mark. Houston has won or split every series it has played this month and will be headed back home at the conclusion of this rubber game hoping to have that streak intact. The Astros\u2019 resurgence since late June has come on the road since they\u2019ve won five series and split a pair without losing any over their last seven, a run that\u2019s on the line today.  \n<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Justin Verlander (7-6, 3.19 ERA) is 1-1 since being acquired from the Mets, producing a pair of quality starts in giving up five runs in 13 innings. Despite playing in the NL East most of the season, Verlander hasn\u2019t faced the Marlins this season, but did beat them 9-4 in June of 2022, surrendering no earned runs in seven innings. The 40-year-old hasn\u2019t pitched at Loan Depot Park since Opening Day of 2016, which is so long ago that he was still with the Tigers and actually picked up a hit and scored a run in three at-bats. Current Miami hitters are 15-for-72 vs. Verlander (.208). Bryan De La Cruz (1-for-3) has the lone homer, while vets Avisail Garcia (9-for-36) and Joey Wendle (4-for-12) have the most experience against him. Jesus Luzardo (8-7, 3.91) will pitch for the Fish and has struggled mightily of late, allowing 15 runs over the past 13.1 innings, surrendering five homers. Luzardo looks like he\u2019s running out of gas, but will likely catch a break in missing out on Jose Altuve, who has gone 5-for-8 with a home run against the lefty but is considered day-to-day after exiting Tuesday\u2019s game after fouling a ball of his shin. Don\u2019t expect the diminutive eight-time All-Star to play in this series finale.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"epyt-video-wrapper\"><div  style=\"display: block; margin: 0px auto;\"  id=\"_ytid_52347\"  width=\"870\" height=\"489\"  data-origwidth=\"870\" data-origheight=\"489\" data-facadesrc=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Bsj5AK2_o3I?enablejsapi=1&#038;origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com&#038;autoplay=0&#038;cc_load_policy=1&#038;cc_lang_pref=&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;loop=0&#038;rel=0&#038;fs=1&#038;playsinline=0&#038;autohide=2&#038;hl=en_US&#038;theme=dark&#038;color=red&#038;controls=1&#038;disablekb=0&#038;\" class=\"__youtube_prefs__ epyt-facade  epyt-is-override  no-lazyload\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-spai-excluded=\"true\" class=\"epyt-facade-poster skip-lazy\" loading=\"lazy\"  alt=\"Home Run Prop Picks, Best Baseball Predictions and Odds 8\/16\/23 \u2013 Best MLB Prop Bets for Today\"  src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/Bsj5AK2_o3I\/maxresdefault.jpg\"  \/><button class=\"epyt-facade-play\" aria-label=\"Play\"><svg data-no-lazy=\"1\" height=\"100%\" version=\"1.1\" viewBox=\"0 0 68 48\" width=\"100%\"><path class=\"ytp-large-play-button-bg\" d=\"M66.52,7.74c-0.78-2.93-2.49-5.41-5.42-6.19C55.79,.13,34,0,34,0S12.21,.13,6.9,1.55 C3.97,2.33,2.27,4.81,1.48,7.74C0.06,13.05,0,24,0,24s0.06,10.95,1.48,16.26c0.78,2.93,2.49,5.41,5.42,6.19 C12.21,47.87,34,48,34,48s21.79-0.13,27.1-1.55c2.93-0.78,4.64-3.26,5.42-6.19C67.94,34.95,68,24,68,24S67.94,13.05,66.52,7.74z\" fill=\"#f00\"><\/path><path d=\"M 45,24 27,14 27,34\" fill=\"#fff\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><\/div><\/div><span itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><meta itemprop=\"embedUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Bsj5AK2_o3I\"><meta itemprop=\"name\" content=\"Home Run Prop Picks, Best Baseball Predictions and Odds 8\/16\/23 \u2013 Best MLB Prop Bets for Today\"><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Today\u2019s MLB Home Run Prop Bets For August 16: Home Run Prop Prediction 1: Chas McCormick (+680) On the season Chas McCormick bats .341 against lefties with a .598 slugging percentage as he and the Astros get lefty Jesus Luzardo for tonight\u2019s series finale with the Marlins. Luzardo allows opposing righties to bat .265 on the season with a .463 slugging percentage compared to just a .196 average and .308 slugging percentage allowed to lefties. McCormick belted a home run in last night\u2019s one-run win and already has three this month in total after hitting six home runs in July. There have been multiple instances this season in which McCormick has home runs in back-to-back games with Luzardo giving up 16 of his 18 home runs to righties on the season. The Marlins starter has also allowed five home runs in just his last two starts totaling 11 earned runs all together. We get nice odds with McCormick to hit a home run at +680 tonight as he\u2019s hit half of his 16 home runs away from Houston on the season. Other Astros to consider for a home run include Alex Bregman (+560) and Jon Singleton (+560) as well. Home Run Prop Prediction 2: Corey Seager (+310) We head out to Arlington for our next selection as we go with Corey Seager to hit yet another home run this month as he already has seven in August so far including two in last night\u2019s 7-3 win over the Angels. Lefty Reid Detmers gets the start for the Angels sporting a 6.70 road ERA and allowing six home runs over his last three starts. Detmers also allows opposing lefties to bat .313 on the season with a .578 slugging percentage. Seager has smashed lefties on the season batting .339 with a .615 slugging percentage and he\u2019s performed exceptionally well at home too batting .374 with a .747 slugging percentage. Seager has three hits including a home run in his career against Detmers as the Rangers shortstop also has multiple instances of hitting home runs in back to back games. Take Seager to hit a home run tonight at +310 with other Rangers to consider are Marcus Semien (+400) and Mitch Garver (+340). #mlbpicks #mlbpredictionstoday #mlbpredictions \ud83d\udc4d Make sure to SUBSCRIBE to WagerTalk TV; \ud83d\udd14 CLICK the Bell and never miss an episode! \ud83d\udc40 WagerTalk TV, available for viewing on... \ud83d\udcfa Twitch: http:\/\/wt.buzz\/twitch \ud83e\udde0 More Free Sports Betting Picks and Tips: \ud83e\udd11 Free Sports Picks: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks \ud83d\udcca Live Odds: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds \ud83d\uddde\ufe0f News: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news \ud83d\udc4d Stay connected with WagerTalk \ud83d\udcfa YouTube: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tv \ud83d\udc4d Facebook: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/fb \ud83d\udc26 Twitter: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tw \ud83d\udcf8 Instagram: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ig \ud83d\udcf0 Reddit: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/rd \u2764\ufe0f iHeart Radio: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/iheart \ud83c\udf4e Apple Podcasts: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ap \ud83d\udccc Pinterest: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/pin\"><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/Bsj5AK2_o3I\/0.jpg\"><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT2M20S\"><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2023-08-16T15:41:52Z\"><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>THE PLAY \u2013 Astros at Marlins F5 MoneyLine Bet<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Verlander has allowed three or fewer earned runs in 10 consecutive starts, surrendering two or less in nine of those games. He\u2019s reliable early in games, where as Luzardo has really struggled lately. Houston ranks fifth in MLB in OPS against lefties and should handle business to keep its run of series wins intact. <strong>Ride the Astros on the first-five money line<\/strong> and take the bullpens out of the equation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Guardians at Reds Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>GUARDIANS (+145) at REDS (-160), 6:40 p.m. ET, Total: 9.5-10<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Reds and Guardians played their first of four crucial matchups over the next six weeks, and Cincinnati goes into Wednesday\u2019s Game 2 still looking for its first run. Both teams have reached mid-August with legitimate postseason aspirations, so the Guardians did well in keeping pace with Minnesota in the AL Central race through a 3-0 win, moving to 13-17 over their last 30 games. The Reds are now 3-10 in August and have scored three or fewer runs in seven of their 13 contests this month. Cincy was shut out for the ninth time this season despite playing in a hitter\u2019s park and badly misses Jake Fraley, who has been out since Aug. 5 with a broken toe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cleveland looks for the series sweep and aims to match what would be its second-longest winning streak, albeit just a modest three games, by pulling off another road upset. Noah Syndergaard (2-5, 6.35 ERA) comes off his first win since arriving from the Dodgers, beating the Blue Jays 4-3 last Thursday. \u201cThor\u201d has now pitched into the sixth inning in all three of his starts since coming on board, giving up just one run in two of those outings. He\u2019s basically pitching to contact and got torched for four home runs by the White Sox in an Aug. 5 loss. Syndergaard\u2019s last game with L.A. this season came on June 7 against the Reds, and he was sent down to the minors after allowing six runs on seven hits in just three innings. Cincy 21-year-old phenom Elly De La Cruz went 2-for-2 and homered in that game, while fellow rookie Matt McLain went 2-for-2 with a triple. Joey Votto has really struggled against Syndergaard, coming in 2-for-18 (.111). Reds rookie lefty Andrew Abbott (7-3, 2.95) surrendered more than three runs in only one of his 10 big league starts, but has come down to earth some, allowing 12 earned runs over his last three outings. Abbott struck out nine Pirates without walking a batter in a 9-2 win last Friday, so he\u2019s looking to get back on track against a lineup that\u2019s never seen him before. Opponents are hitting .163 against Abbott in Cincinnati.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>THE PLAY &#8211; Reds Player Prop Pick<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>De La Cruz went 1-for-4 on Tuesday and has now hit safely in four of the last five games. De La Cruz has a hit in 15 of the past 20 games, homering six times in that span. He\u2019s scored 12 times and has four multi-hit games since July 23 and should step up in this huge home game. <strong>Ride Reds SS Elly De La Cruz to top his runs + hits + RBI prop.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"550\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/dct23060613_bos_at_cle-e1688144109556.jpg\" alt=\"James Paxton of Red Sox pitches baseball\" class=\"wp-image-20193\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/dct23060613_bos_at_cle-e1688144109556.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/dct23060613_bos_at_cle-e1688144109556-300x165.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/dct23060613_bos_at_cle-e1688144109556-768x422.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Red Sox at Nationals Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>RED SOX (-170) at NATIONALS (+145), 7:05 p.m. ET, Total: 8.5<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Boston can\u2019t afford to lose games to teams like that Nationals if they\u2019re going to land an AL Wild Card spot, so it was a great sign to see Alex Verdugo kick off a crucial 10-game road trip with a lead-off home run in an eventual 5-4 win against a team that had won 12 of their last 14 home games. With series against the rival Yankees and defending champion Astros on deck, having success in this series is vital. The Red Sox improved to 9-1 at Nationals Park and got great work out of their bullpen to hang on and beat Washington in a game started by their opponents\u2019 lone All-Star, ace Josiah Gray. Talented lefty MacKenzie Gore (6-9, 4.62) takes the mound next for the Nats and is 1-0 with a 1.46 ERA over his last three home starts. He\u2019s been shaky in losing three of his last four decisions on the road, but has helped beat the Brewers and Giants, both currently playoff-bound, in his last two games in D.C. Boston ranks in the middle of the pack in MLB in OPS against lefties and hasn\u2019t shown a lot of pop against them, so it could be vulnerable here and shouldn\u2019t be this heavily favored. Only Pablo Reyes (1-for-2) has a hit against Gore among current Red Sox players, with Justin Turner and Adam Duvall each coming in 0-for-2.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>James Paxton (7-3, 3.36) picked up a win last Thursday by pitching 5.1 shutout innings in a 2-0 victory over the Royals, striking out six and walking none while weaving in and out of trouble. The oft-injured lefty who had witched just six games over three seasons for the Yankees and Mariners missed all of 2022, but he\u2019s enjoyed a nice resurgence. Paxton has allowed two or fewer earned runs in nine of his last 12 games and has only had one truly rough outing since May 31. Only one current Nationals player, Michael Chavis (0-for-8, 5 K\u2019s), has ever faced Paxton. The Nationals rank 8th in OPS against left-handed pitching.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>THE PLAY \u2013 Red Sox at Nationals Full Game Run-Line Bet &nbsp;<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Red Sox at Nationals Full Game Run-Line Bet: Although Boston improved to an impressive 9-1 at Nationals Park thanks to Tuesday\u2019s win, it should have its hands full here. Gore is extremely talented and the Sox utilized five relievers to eat up 4.2 scoreless innings in squeaking by in the series opener, so picking up seventh victory in nine contests will be a challenge. <strong>Back the Washington Nationals +1.5 on the full-game run line.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"547\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/dhz220430092_det_vs_lad-e1655486497233.jpg\" alt=\"Clayton Kershaw of Dodgers\" class=\"wp-image-8308\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/dhz220430092_det_vs_lad-e1655486497233.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/dhz220430092_det_vs_lad-e1655486497233-300x164.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/dhz220430092_det_vs_lad-e1655486497233-768x420.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Brewers at Dodgers Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>BREWERS (+190) DODGERS (-230), 10:10 p.m. ET, Total: 8.5<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Brewers held a 1-0 lead at Dodgers Stadium into the bottom of the fifth, but got shut down by rookie Bobby Miller, who retired 18 consecutive batters before leaving after completing six frames. L.A. tied it in the fifth and broke things open with a five-run sixth to cruise to a 13th victory in 14 August games. The team has won eight consecutive home games, last losing on July 30, and now gets to ride Clayton Kershaw (10-4, 2.51), who will make his second start since returning from a six-week absence due to shoulder inflammation. The Dodgers haven\u2019t surrendered more than three runs in any of their last six games, so the under is on a 5-1 run in their contests. Kershaw will look to continue his team\u2019s dominant performances on the mound and allowed just one run on three hits over five innings last Thursday in a 2-1 home win over Colorado. The 35-year-old lefty has given up just five earned runs over his last 38 innings, all on homers. He\u2019s 4-0 in that span and will be facing a Milwaukee offense that ranks 23rd among 30 MLB teams in OPS. Current Brewer hitters are 19-for-97 (.196) against Kershaw, although star leadoff hitter Christian Yelich (9-for-29, 2 HRs) has had success in head-to-head meetings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p> The Crew saw their four-game win streak come to an end but didn\u2019t see their NL Central lead cut into since the Cubs and Reds both lost to sub-.500 teams. Veteran lefty Wade Miley (6-2, 2.90) suffered through his worst start of the season when the Dodgers came through Milwaukee on May 10, giving up seven runs and three homers over five innings in an 8-1 loss. Since that defeat, he\u2019s been a steady force, surrendering two or fewer earned runs in seven of eight starts. Miley has a 2.90 ERA and a career-best 1.13 WHIP going through his first 15 outings. Current Dodgers hitters are 37-for-142 (.261) vs. the Brewers lefty and rank third in OPS against southpaws, hitting an MLB-best 60 home runs against southpaws. Mookie Betts (9-for-19, .474, 1 HR, 4 doubles) and Freddie Freeman (8-for-23, .348, 2 HRs, 3 doubles) have shined against Miley and make up the top 1-2 punch of all time in terms of OPS at the top of a batting order so far this season, currently eclipsing numbers put up by the Pete Rose\/Joe Morgan combo from the 1970 Big Red Machine. Strangely, while Miley is 4-7 in his career vs. L.A., he\u2019s 4-0 with a 2.06 ERA at Dodger Stadium over seven starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>THE PLAY \u2013 Dodgers Player Prop Pick &nbsp;<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p> Betts has been incredible against Miley and went 2-for-4 with an RBI in Tuesday\u2019s win. He\u2019s had three straight multi-hit games, is hitting .377 this month and has hit safely in 19 of 20 games. Betts has 13 RBI and has scored 13 times in his 13 August contests, homering four times. Books regularly place his hits + runs + RBI prop at 2.5 and he\u2019s eclipsed that number in eight of his last 10. Ride the hot hand. <strong>Back the over on Mookie Betts\u2019 hits + runs + RBI prop. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Latest Betting Odds and Public Action<\/strong><strong>:&nbsp;<\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/odds\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Vegas lines<\/a>&nbsp;updated in real time, including who the public is betting on.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Last Minute Handicapping Advice<\/strong>: Check out our extensive library of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/sports-betting-guide\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">handicapping tips<\/a>&nbsp;and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/videos\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">sports betting tips video library<\/a>)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Want an expert opinion?<\/strong>&nbsp;Check out the latest&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Free Sports Picks<\/a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Best Bets<\/a>&nbsp;from our team of expert sports handicappers.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tony Mejia drops FOUR free MLB Picks for 8\/16\/2023. Visit Tony&#8217;s expert profile now! You can also find free MLB picks across Wagertalk&#8217;s experts all year long. Check out Tony Mejia&#8217;s free picks and THEN buy his amazing 3 DAY PASS for MLB. The Pulse: Daily MLB Betting Picks for Wednesday, Aug. 16 Astros at [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6251,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[4580,4204,4227,1110,4380,4801,838,4205,3744,996,1158,4802,4799,4,708,727,709,4189,1392,4228,4800,4210,4202,4344],"class_list":["post-22030","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-andrew-abbott","tag-astros","tag-brewers","tag-clayton-kershaw","tag-dodgers","tag-elly-de-la-cruz","tag-freddie-freeman","tag-guardians","tag-james-paxton","tag-jose-altuve","tag-justin-verlander","tag-mackenzie-gore","tag-marlins","tag-mlb","tag-mlb-odds","tag-mlb-picks","tag-mlb-predictions","tag-mlb-prop-bets","tag-mookie-betts","tag-nationals","tag-noah-syndergaard","tag-red-sox","tag-reds","tag-wade-miley"],"basic_html":"\n<p>Tony Mejia drops FOUR free MLB Picks for 8\/16\/2023. Visit <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/tony-mejia\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Tony's expert profile<\/a> now! You can also find <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/mlb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">free MLB picks<\/a> across Wagertalk's experts all year long. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Check out Tony Mejia's free picks and THEN buy his amazing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/addtocart?data_productName=capperSubscription_3days_tony-mejia_ALL_ALLBETS_ALLRATINGS&amp;data_quantity=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">3 DAY PASS for MLB<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Pulse: Daily MLB Betting Picks for Wednesday, Aug. 16<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Astros at Marlins Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>ASTROS (-130) at MARLINS (+110), 6:40 p.m. ET, Total: 7.5-8<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The Marlins took down Astros ace Framber Valdez in the series opener and had a would-be playoff starter in Cristian Javier down 3-0 early on Tuesday, so they\u2019re responding to the pressure of an unlikely playoff chase. Unfortunately for Miami, the long ball got the best of it in the end, with Kyle Tucker hitting Houston\u2019s third home run of the night in the seventh and the bullpen holding on to lock down a 6-5 win and even the series. The Fish benefited from the Cubs, Reds and Diamondbacks all losing, so they lost no ground and remain entrenched as the final NL Wild Card entering the final quarter of the season. The defending champion Astros are now one conquest away from becoming the sixth team in MLB to reach the 70-win mark. Houston has won or split every series it has played this month and will be headed back home at the conclusion of this rubber game hoping to have that streak intact. The Astros\u2019 resurgence since late June has come on the road since they\u2019ve won five series and split a pair without losing any over their last seven, a run that\u2019s on the line today.  \n<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Justin Verlander (7-6, 3.19 ERA) is 1-1 since being acquired from the Mets, producing a pair of quality starts in giving up five runs in 13 innings. Despite playing in the NL East most of the season, Verlander hasn\u2019t faced the Marlins this season, but did beat them 9-4 in June of 2022, surrendering no earned runs in seven innings. The 40-year-old hasn\u2019t pitched at Loan Depot Park since Opening Day of 2016, which is so long ago that he was still with the Tigers and actually picked up a hit and scored a run in three at-bats. Current Miami hitters are 15-for-72 vs. Verlander (.208). Bryan De La Cruz (1-for-3) has the lone homer, while vets Avisail Garcia (9-for-36) and Joey Wendle (4-for-12) have the most experience against him. Jesus Luzardo (8-7, 3.91) will pitch for the Fish and has struggled mightily of late, allowing 15 runs over the past 13.1 innings, surrendering five homers. Luzardo looks like he\u2019s running out of gas, but will likely catch a break in missing out on Jose Altuve, who has gone 5-for-8 with a home run against the lefty but is considered day-to-day after exiting Tuesday\u2019s game after fouling a ball of his shin. Don\u2019t expect the diminutive eight-time All-Star to play in this series finale.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n<iframe src='https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Bsj5AK2_o3I?origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com'><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>THE PLAY \u2013 Astros at Marlins F5 MoneyLine Bet<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Verlander has allowed three or fewer earned runs in 10 consecutive starts, surrendering two or less in nine of those games. He\u2019s reliable early in games, where as Luzardo has really struggled lately. Houston ranks fifth in MLB in OPS against lefties and should handle business to keep its run of series wins intact. <strong>Ride the Astros on the first-five money line<\/strong> and take the bullpens out of the equation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Guardians at Reds Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>GUARDIANS (+145) at REDS (-160), 6:40 p.m. ET, Total: 9.5-10<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The Reds and Guardians played their first of four crucial matchups over the next six weeks, and Cincinnati goes into Wednesday\u2019s Game 2 still looking for its first run. Both teams have reached mid-August with legitimate postseason aspirations, so the Guardians did well in keeping pace with Minnesota in the AL Central race through a 3-0 win, moving to 13-17 over their last 30 games. The Reds are now 3-10 in August and have scored three or fewer runs in seven of their 13 contests this month. Cincy was shut out for the ninth time this season despite playing in a hitter\u2019s park and badly misses Jake Fraley, who has been out since Aug. 5 with a broken toe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Cleveland looks for the series sweep and aims to match what would be its second-longest winning streak, albeit just a modest three games, by pulling off another road upset. Noah Syndergaard (2-5, 6.35 ERA) comes off his first win since arriving from the Dodgers, beating the Blue Jays 4-3 last Thursday. \u201cThor\u201d has now pitched into the sixth inning in all three of his starts since coming on board, giving up just one run in two of those outings. He\u2019s basically pitching to contact and got torched for four home runs by the White Sox in an Aug. 5 loss. Syndergaard\u2019s last game with L.A. this season came on June 7 against the Reds, and he was sent down to the minors after allowing six runs on seven hits in just three innings. Cincy 21-year-old phenom Elly De La Cruz went 2-for-2 and homered in that game, while fellow rookie Matt McLain went 2-for-2 with a triple. Joey Votto has really struggled against Syndergaard, coming in 2-for-18 (.111). Reds rookie lefty Andrew Abbott (7-3, 2.95) surrendered more than three runs in only one of his 10 big league starts, but has come down to earth some, allowing 12 earned runs over his last three outings. Abbott struck out nine Pirates without walking a batter in a 9-2 win last Friday, so he\u2019s looking to get back on track against a lineup that\u2019s never seen him before. Opponents are hitting .163 against Abbott in Cincinnati.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>THE PLAY - Reds Player Prop Pick<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>De La Cruz went 1-for-4 on Tuesday and has now hit safely in four of the last five games. De La Cruz has a hit in 15 of the past 20 games, homering six times in that span. He\u2019s scored 12 times and has four multi-hit games since July 23 and should step up in this huge home game. <strong>Ride Reds SS Elly De La Cruz to top his runs + hits + RBI prop.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/dct23060613_bos_at_cle-e1688144109556.jpg\" alt=\"James Paxton of Red Sox pitches baseball\" class=\"wp-image-20193\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Red Sox at Nationals Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>RED SOX (-170) at NATIONALS (+145), 7:05 p.m. ET, Total: 8.5<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Boston can\u2019t afford to lose games to teams like that Nationals if they\u2019re going to land an AL Wild Card spot, so it was a great sign to see Alex Verdugo kick off a crucial 10-game road trip with a lead-off home run in an eventual 5-4 win against a team that had won 12 of their last 14 home games. With series against the rival Yankees and defending champion Astros on deck, having success in this series is vital. The Red Sox improved to 9-1 at Nationals Park and got great work out of their bullpen to hang on and beat Washington in a game started by their opponents\u2019 lone All-Star, ace Josiah Gray. Talented lefty MacKenzie Gore (6-9, 4.62) takes the mound next for the Nats and is 1-0 with a 1.46 ERA over his last three home starts. He\u2019s been shaky in losing three of his last four decisions on the road, but has helped beat the Brewers and Giants, both currently playoff-bound, in his last two games in D.C. Boston ranks in the middle of the pack in MLB in OPS against lefties and hasn\u2019t shown a lot of pop against them, so it could be vulnerable here and shouldn\u2019t be this heavily favored. Only Pablo Reyes (1-for-2) has a hit against Gore among current Red Sox players, with Justin Turner and Adam Duvall each coming in 0-for-2.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>James Paxton (7-3, 3.36) picked up a win last Thursday by pitching 5.1 shutout innings in a 2-0 victory over the Royals, striking out six and walking none while weaving in and out of trouble. The oft-injured lefty who had witched just six games over three seasons for the Yankees and Mariners missed all of 2022, but he\u2019s enjoyed a nice resurgence. Paxton has allowed two or fewer earned runs in nine of his last 12 games and has only had one truly rough outing since May 31. Only one current Nationals player, Michael Chavis (0-for-8, 5 K\u2019s), has ever faced Paxton. The Nationals rank 8th in OPS against left-handed pitching.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>THE PLAY \u2013 Red Sox at Nationals Full Game Run-Line Bet &nbsp;<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Red Sox at Nationals Full Game Run-Line Bet: Although Boston improved to an impressive 9-1 at Nationals Park thanks to Tuesday\u2019s win, it should have its hands full here. Gore is extremely talented and the Sox utilized five relievers to eat up 4.2 scoreless innings in squeaking by in the series opener, so picking up seventh victory in nine contests will be a challenge. <strong>Back the Washington Nationals +1.5 on the full-game run line.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/dhz220430092_det_vs_lad-e1655486497233.jpg\" alt=\"Clayton Kershaw of Dodgers\" class=\"wp-image-8308\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Brewers at Dodgers Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>BREWERS (+190) DODGERS (-230), 10:10 p.m. ET, Total: 8.5<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The Brewers held a 1-0 lead at Dodgers Stadium into the bottom of the fifth, but got shut down by rookie Bobby Miller, who retired 18 consecutive batters before leaving after completing six frames. L.A. tied it in the fifth and broke things open with a five-run sixth to cruise to a 13th victory in 14 August games. The team has won eight consecutive home games, last losing on July 30, and now gets to ride Clayton Kershaw (10-4, 2.51), who will make his second start since returning from a six-week absence due to shoulder inflammation. The Dodgers haven\u2019t surrendered more than three runs in any of their last six games, so the under is on a 5-1 run in their contests. Kershaw will look to continue his team\u2019s dominant performances on the mound and allowed just one run on three hits over five innings last Thursday in a 2-1 home win over Colorado. The 35-year-old lefty has given up just five earned runs over his last 38 innings, all on homers. He\u2019s 4-0 in that span and will be facing a Milwaukee offense that ranks 23rd among 30 MLB teams in OPS. Current Brewer hitters are 19-for-97 (.196) against Kershaw, although star leadoff hitter Christian Yelich (9-for-29, 2 HRs) has had success in head-to-head meetings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p> The Crew saw their four-game win streak come to an end but didn\u2019t see their NL Central lead cut into since the Cubs and Reds both lost to sub-.500 teams. Veteran lefty Wade Miley (6-2, 2.90) suffered through his worst start of the season when the Dodgers came through Milwaukee on May 10, giving up seven runs and three homers over five innings in an 8-1 loss. Since that defeat, he\u2019s been a steady force, surrendering two or fewer earned runs in seven of eight starts. Miley has a 2.90 ERA and a career-best 1.13 WHIP going through his first 15 outings. Current Dodgers hitters are 37-for-142 (.261) vs. the Brewers lefty and rank third in OPS against southpaws, hitting an MLB-best 60 home runs against southpaws. Mookie Betts (9-for-19, .474, 1 HR, 4 doubles) and Freddie Freeman (8-for-23, .348, 2 HRs, 3 doubles) have shined against Miley and make up the top 1-2 punch of all time in terms of OPS at the top of a batting order so far this season, currently eclipsing numbers put up by the Pete Rose\/Joe Morgan combo from the 1970 Big Red Machine. Strangely, while Miley is 4-7 in his career vs. L.A., he\u2019s 4-0 with a 2.06 ERA at Dodger Stadium over seven starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>THE PLAY \u2013 Dodgers Player Prop Pick &nbsp;<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p> Betts has been incredible against Miley and went 2-for-4 with an RBI in Tuesday\u2019s win. He\u2019s had three straight multi-hit games, is hitting .377 this month and has hit safely in 19 of 20 games. Betts has 13 RBI and has scored 13 times in his 13 August contests, homering four times. Books regularly place his hits + runs + RBI prop at 2.5 and he\u2019s eclipsed that number in eight of his last 10. Ride the hot hand. <strong>Back the over on Mookie Betts\u2019 hits + runs + RBI prop. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul>\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22030","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22030"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22030\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22058,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22030\/revisions\/22058"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6251"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22030"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22030"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22030"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}