WagerTalk college football handicapper Las Vegas Cris, with the assistance of Ron W, offers his Wisconsin vs Arizona State Las Vegas Bowl betting preview for Thursday, December 30. At the time of posting, the Badgers from the Big Ten are holding steady as a 6-point favorite over the Sun Devils from the Pac-12, with the total sitting at 41 points.<\/p>\n
Stay on top of the latest College Football<\/a> updates direct from Las Vegas!<\/em><\/p>\n ASU was projected as a nine-win team, with plenty of returning talent on both sides of the ball. Even at 8-4 I feel they underachieved. Wisky also went 8-4, losing a shot at the Big Ten title game when they lost 23-13 hosting Minnesota. Which team, if any is really pumped up to play in a non-New Year\u2019s Day bowl game?<\/p>\n Amazingly, only one game for ASU was decided by under ten points. They were 6-3 in the PAC 12. The rush ratio was a stout 5.6-4.05, their accurate QB hit 66+% and their pass D was at 59.45, which was right on my projected total. QB Daniels has talent and running prowess, but the staff preferred to run the ball. Their top two RB\u2019s were unstoppable, but will be stopped in this game, as both have opted out. Next up is a lightly used freshman who did not play in games 11-12.<\/p>\n Wisky allowed 123 or fewer yards to all but Army, who still fell well below its 340 yard average when they went 50-187. ASU ran 171 or greater in 10-12 but won\u2019t come close to that number unless QB Daniels lights it up running the ball.<\/p>\n Broken plays on scrambling could lead to success through the air for ASU. Despite holding ND and Michigan down in the run game, Wisky allowed those teams to score a combined 79 points. The hidden factor was turnovers however, as they were a combined -6 vs. those teams. ASU\u2019s sack ratio was 25-21. Their kicker was lightly used, going 6-11.<\/p>\n Wisky is not a high scoring team, playing old school football. In this day and age where college point totals are on the board at about 55-57 per game, Wisky\u2019s over-under for points in their games never crossed 43 in BIG Ten games! Bowl teams held them to an average of 20.5 points per game. The overall point ratio was 26-16.5. RB Allen assumed command during the season and will be a load to stop. I project him to go 23-130+ here.<\/p>\n QB Mertz is Wisky\u2019s typical game manager. He was pedestrian in 2021, at 58.7% with just a 9-10 ratio. Obvious 3rd down pass plays are not in Wisky\u2019s wheelhouse. It\u2019s strange, as they have a trio of senior WR\/TE types who have talent. TE Ferguson is the most consistent of the trio and could be a late round NFL draft pick.<\/p>\n It appears that ASU will be without both starting CB\u2019s for this game. That could mean a big play or two from one of the seniors, even with an erratic QB at the helm. Wisky had a 33-15 sack ratio. Kicking came in at 15-20<\/p>\n It\u2019s perhaps all up to elusive QB Daniels for ASU. I\u2019ve seen him make bonehead plays, but he\u2019s also going to be more athletic than much of what Wisky has in their front seven. TE Hodges has to deliver. Defensively, if ASU stops RB Allen and forces Mertz to pass that could be a real good thing, even with some players missing. If they can\u2019t stop Allen then the play action pass could hurt. In games 1-6 the Badgers had a -7 turnover ratio. That flipped in the 2nd half of the year. If they are careful with the football, then they are the much-deserved favorite.<\/p>\n At -7 or less Wisky is the rush pick if all hands were on deck, but without ASU\u2019s top two backs it\u2019s a certain advantage. They are 57-38 ATS in that role (4-2 in 2021). Under herm Edwards, ASU is 2-5 ASU when not the pick.<\/p>\n In recent news, a real solid LB may miss the game for ASU, and three DL were not practicing earlier this week (I write this on 12\/23). I gave 6.5. The line is down to 6 now. I\u2019m thinking it might rise come game time. I\u2019ve left room to middle if it goes up. ASU has the fiery Herm Edwards as coach, and he\u2019ll try his best to motivate them.<\/p>\n My ONLY worry with Wisky other than their QB, if put in obvious pass situations is their own motivation. This bowl is about two steps down for them. On paper, this might be a mismatch. Let\u2019s see how it plays out. Be motivated, and stop QB Daniels and this should be a solid win.<\/span><\/p>\n Interested in placing a bet on Thursday’s Las Vegas Bowl? BetMGM is offering a $1,000 Risk-Free Bet<\/a> for first-time bettors in New Jersey, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Indiana, Colorado, Tennessee, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Washington DC, Wyoming, Mississippi, Arizona and Louisiana.<\/em><\/p>\n \ud83d\udc40\ud83e\udd11 @thegoldsheet<\/a> is feeling the Holiday Spirit! From today until January 2nd, you can have FREE ACCESS to the Gold Sheet. \u2014 WagerTalk (@WagerTalk) December 24, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n
\n Las Vegas Bowl<\/th>\n Betting Notes<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n \n Point Spread:<\/td>\n Wisconsin Badgers -6 vs Arizona State Sun Devils<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n Total:<\/td>\n 41 Points<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n Game Time:<\/td>\n 10:30pm ET \/ 7:30pm PT on Thursday, December 30<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n Stadium:<\/td>\n Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n TV:<\/td>\n ESPN<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n Las Vegas Bowl Analysis<\/h2>\n
Arizona State Sun Devils<\/h3>\n
Wisconsin Badgers<\/h3>\n
Keys to the Las Vegas Bowl<\/h2>\n
Las Vegas Bowl Prediction<\/h2>\n
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