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Biggest favorite to win their division (-165) with a win total of 11.5 and it\u2019s hard to disagree with that when you consider they\u2019ve won the AFC West seven years in a row with 12+ wins in six of those seasons. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Yet I really don\u2019t like the idea of laying that much juice on a division future<\/strong> and almost never like to recommend betting Over on a double digit season-win total. Keep in mind the Chiefs were actually +175 to win the division last year<\/strong>, so it\u2019s a pretty big change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Now Andy Reid and company are likely to be favored in every game this season despite facing the 5th toughest schedule and the three unique opponents (relative to the rest of the AFC West) are: Bengals, Eagles and Jaguars. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Interesting that while they won 14 regular season games, they only led at the half 10 times. So my instinct says they won\u2019t win quite as many games this year, but I certainly don\u2019t want to bet an Under on the season win total nor pick someone else to win this division<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Especially when you consider that Patrick Mahomes is 27-3 SU in division games (including 11-0 vs. Denver) since taking over as the starter. The Chiefs were one of only two teams (49ers) to have a perfect division record in 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Los Angeles Chargers AFC West Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Seems like respected money likes the Over on 9.5 wins here, but I\u2019m not so sure. I do like Kellen Moore taking over as the OC as he\u2019s known for being pretty aggressive, which was the opposite of what we saw from the Chargers\u2019 offense in the second half meltdown in last year\u2019s Wild Card loss to Jacksonville. I also like QB Justin Herbert.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The Chargers have improved their win total in three consecutive seasons including a 19-15 record under Brandon Staley, but here\u2019s a trend for you: since 2002, only ONE team has improved its season win total four straight years<\/strong>. The other 16 that did it three straight seasons saw an average decline of 4.5 wins.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Note the Chargers were -0.6 in yards per play differential last season as well and that was with an offense that gained over 6,000 yards. Considering the Chiefs are always good and the Broncos and\/or Raiders may be improved, I\u2019m thinking Under 9.5<\/strong> wins<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
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