{"id":19598,"date":"2023-06-13T10:14:22","date_gmt":"2023-06-13T14:14:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=19598"},"modified":"2023-06-13T12:44:34","modified_gmt":"2023-06-13T16:44:34","slug":"us-open-predictions-picks-and-betting-odds-june-15-18","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/golf\/us-open-predictions-picks-and-betting-odds-june-15-18\/","title":{"rendered":"US Open Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds June 15-18"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>US Open Betting Preview<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/nick-borrman\">WagerTalk golf handicapper Nick Borrman<\/a> offers his thoughts on the US Open teeing off from Los Angeles Country Club in Los Angeles, CA. Nick discusses the guys at the top of the odds board, golfers to fade and other expert picks surrounding the US Open this week!<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Stay on top of the latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/golf\">Golf<\/a> updates direct from Las Vegas!<\/em><\/p>\n<p>WagerTalk also offers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nfl\">Free NFL Picks<\/a> all year long!<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th>US Open<\/th>\n<th>PGA Tour Betting Notes<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>When:<\/td>\n<td>June 15-18<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Where:<\/td>\n<td>Los Angeles Country Club in Los Angeles, CA<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Defending Champ:<\/td>\n<td>Matt Fitzpatrick<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Current Favorite:<\/td>\n<td>Scottie Scheffler (+700 at <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/draftkings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">DraftKings<\/a>)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>TV:<\/td>\n<td>GOLF &amp; NBC<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>US Open Odds Board<\/h2>\n<p>Top-10 Total Strokes Gained over the last six months (betting odds via <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/fanduel\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">FanDuel<\/a> ,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/draftkings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">DraftKings <\/a>and others)<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-19610\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Screen-Shot-2023-06-12-at-9.57.13-PM.png\" alt=\"US Open top 10 strokes gained\" width=\"434\" height=\"266\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Screen-Shot-2023-06-12-at-9.57.13-PM.png 559w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Screen-Shot-2023-06-12-at-9.57.13-PM-300x184.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 434px) 100vw, 434px\" \/><\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3>Los Angeles Country Club in Los Angeles, CA<\/h3>\n<p>From <a href=\"https:\/\/wt.buzz\/nb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nick Borrman<\/a>:<\/p>\n<p>There is a plethora of great published information out there about this ultra-exclusive private club. It starts with going to the official US Open page and clicking through all 18 hole flyovers to get a good understanding of what the players will face this week.<\/p>\n<p>There is a ton of elevation change around the track with uneven lies everywhere. Fairways will dogleg one direction but run off the opposite direction forcing players to hit a certain ball flight to be able to hold them.<\/p>\n<p>The fairways in general are wide, much wider than what you would expect at a US Open, but because of the slopes combined with the expected firm and fast conditions expected by the weekend, it will still be difficult to stay in the fairway. Runoff areas look brutally tough with natural barrancas coming into play on just about half of the holes.<\/p>\n<p>Videos that have surfaced of the rough, particularly around green complexes, looks diabolical. Just dropping a ball into the grass and watching it disappear. The rough is all Bermuda grass which will be very difficult to play out of as the ball naturally wants to fall straight to the bottom. The greens, however, are all bentgrass.<\/p>\n<p>The course plays to a par-70 and measures over 7,400 yards in length. There are three par 5s and five par 3s putting a little extra emphasis into par-3 scoring this week.<\/p>\n<p>Two of the par 3s can play as long as 290 yards which is just ridiculous, though they won\u2019t play to their full yardage due to elevation change and the ability to run the ball onto the green.<\/p>\n<p>Again, with a very little effort, you can find a ton of information on the track, but I\u2019ll instead focus on what I think it will take to win this event.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Distance off the tee is important but one must have the ability to work the ball both directions into the fairways. Top-5 SG Off the Tee the last 12 months include: Scheffler, McIlroy, DeChambeau, Young and Cantlay.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>Strong iron play with high Greens in Regulation percentage will minimize the number of times dealing with the gnarly Bermuda rough around the greens. Top-5 in SG Approach the last 12 months include: Scheffler, Morikawa, Schauffele, Pereira and Finau.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>Par-3 Scoring will be important with five in play this week. Top-5 in Par-3 scoring this season include: Rahm, Homa, Fowler, Scheffler and Burns.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Additionally, here are some trends I found interesting for this week:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Each of the last 8 US Open winners has finished T13 or better in their previous major start.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Additionally, each of the last 11 US Open winners:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Was ranked inside the OWGR Top-30.<\/li>\n<li>Had a Top-5 finish already that year.<\/li>\n<li>Had made the cut at the last US Open AND the last major (PGA).<\/li>\n<li>Had won LESS than two majors.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>That last bullet point I find extremely interesting as the US Open has proven that it produces more first-time major winners than any of the other majors. Seems odd to rule a guy like Koepka out because he has won too many? But who am I to argue with science?!<\/p>\n<p>There is only one player that fits all five trends AND is in the Top-5 of my three most important stats for this week. It\u2019s probably the reason he is #1 in the world and the betting favorite.<\/p>\n<h3>US Open Predictions<\/h3>\n<p>I don\u2019t have to tell you to bet on Scheffler this week, you probably already figured that out, so instead, I\u2019ll shine the light on a couple of other selections I think are worthy of a few bucks.<\/p>\n<p><strong>US Open Outright Winner<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Viktor Hovland +1700 (FanDuel)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Now that Hovland finally has the proverbial monkey off his back for winning a big tournament as he captured the Memorial in his last start, this could be the start of something big for him when it comes to majors.<\/p>\n<p>His last three major starts are:<br \/>\n2022 Open: T4<br \/>\n2023 Masters: T7<br \/>\n2023 PGA: T2<\/p>\n<p>If that doesn\u2019t spell a guy ready to win one, I don\u2019t know what does. He has gained strokes Off the Tee in all 13 events he has played in 2023 as he has the rare combination of distance AND accuracy with his driver.<\/p>\n<p>Par-3 scoring is strong, ranking 10th on TOUR this season. Additionally, he is 6th in overall Proximity including #1 in Proximity from the rough. Also 7th in Scoring Average.<\/p>\n<p>His weakness has been his short game, but he has been trending upward in that department including gaining strokes at both the PGA and the Memorial.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Leaderboard Finish<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Justin Rose Top-10 +365 (B365) | Top-20 +160 (B365)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Rose continues his phenomenal season with another Top-10 last week in Canada. In the biggest events this season he finished Top-10 at the PGA Championship and at THE PLAYERS while he finished just outside the Top-10 with a T16 at the Masters.<\/p>\n<p>Rose\u2019s approach game has been fantastic as he has gained strokes in approach in ten straight starts and overall ranks 13th on the season.<\/p>\n<p>Rose also ranks:<br \/>\n4th in Proximity<br \/>\n2nd in Sand Save Percentage<br \/>\n6th Scoring Average<br \/>\nT-10th in Par-3 Scoring<\/p>\n<p>Finally, Rose shows up strong at the majors as he has finished inside the Top-20 in 12 of the last 20 majors including seven Top-10s. Oh yea, and he\u2019s also the #1 SG Putter on bentgrass greens dating all the way back to 2014.<\/p>\n<p><b>Top-10 Player to Fade<\/b><\/p>\n<p><strong>Patrick Cantlay<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>I honestly do still expect Cantlay to finish Top-20, but the fact of the matter is that as the 5th betting favorite, I can\u2019t get behind him to return value this week, or in any major.<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s the stat you need to know about Cantlay\u2019s performances in majors. He has played in 26 majors so far in his career and has never entered the final round within five shots of the lead!<\/p>\n<p>Prove to me you can win Patrick before I dare lay money on you to do so\u2026<\/p>\n<p>See you next week for the Travelers Championship!<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3>US Open Betting Preview From WagerTalk Extra!<\/h3>\n<p>Nick Borrman and Andy Lang collaborate on WagerTalk Extra to give their individual US Open betting predictions and picks before this event tees off on Thursday morning. Get their outright winner plays, golfers to fade and even DFS options to take advantage of. View below now!<\/p>\n<div class=\"epyt-video-wrapper\"><div  style=\"display: block; margin: 0px auto;\"  id=\"_ytid_34772\"  width=\"870\" height=\"489\"  data-origwidth=\"870\" data-origheight=\"489\" data-facadesrc=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/jXT77u2sEDk?enablejsapi=1&origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com&autoplay=0&cc_load_policy=1&cc_lang_pref=&iv_load_policy=1&loop=0&rel=0&fs=1&playsinline=0&autohide=2&hl=en_US&theme=dark&color=red&controls=1&disablekb=0&\" class=\"__youtube_prefs__ epyt-facade  no-lazyload\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-spai-excluded=\"true\" class=\"epyt-facade-poster skip-lazy\" loading=\"lazy\"  alt=\"2023 US Open Picks, Predictions and Odds | PGA Tour Picks &amp; Free Plays | WT Extra 6\/12\"  src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/jXT77u2sEDk\/maxresdefault.jpg\"  \/><button class=\"epyt-facade-play\" aria-label=\"Play\"><svg data-no-lazy=\"1\" height=\"100%\" version=\"1.1\" viewBox=\"0 0 68 48\" width=\"100%\"><path class=\"ytp-large-play-button-bg\" d=\"M66.52,7.74c-0.78-2.93-2.49-5.41-5.42-6.19C55.79,.13,34,0,34,0S12.21,.13,6.9,1.55 C3.97,2.33,2.27,4.81,1.48,7.74C0.06,13.05,0,24,0,24s0.06,10.95,1.48,16.26c0.78,2.93,2.49,5.41,5.42,6.19 C12.21,47.87,34,48,34,48s21.79-0.13,27.1-1.55c2.93-0.78,4.64-3.26,5.42-6.19C67.94,34.95,68,24,68,24S67.94,13.05,66.52,7.74z\" fill=\"#f00\"><\/path><path d=\"M 45,24 27,14 27,34\" fill=\"#fff\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><\/div><\/div><span itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><meta itemprop=\"embedUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/jXT77u2sEDk\"><meta itemprop=\"name\" content=\"2023 US Open Picks, Predictions and Odds | PGA Tour Picks &amp; Free Plays | WT Extra 6\/12\"><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"\u26f3 The next stop on the PGA Tour is the Los Angeles Country Club in California for the US Open! Join Dan Neubert as he sits down with Andy Lang and Nick Borrman for the 2023 US Open betting preview. Find out which potential outright winners, prop bets and head-to-head matchups bet before the first tee! #PGATour | #Golf | #USOpen | #pga | #golfpicks | #USOpen2023 Introduction 00:00 US Open - Los Angeles Country Club Course Preview 00:50 Players to Avoid 09:19 DraftKings Darlings 13:43 Andy Lang Free Leaderboard Play 16:58 Nick Borrman Joins the Panel 19:15 Strokes Gained Chart 19:45 Outright Winner Play 22:00 Top 10\/20 Play 25:25 \ud83d\udc4d You can get free golf picks and betting tips direct from Vegas by following the WagerTalk handicappers on Twitter: \u25ba WagerTalk: https:\/\/twitter.com\/WagerTalk \u25ba Sportsmemo: https:\/\/twitter.com\/sportsmemo \u25ba GoldSheet: https:\/\/twitter.com\/thegoldsheet \u25ba Andy Lang: https:\/\/twitter.com\/bumpsports \u25ba Nick Borrman: https:\/\/twitter.com\/borrman00 \ud83d\udc4d Make sure to SUBSCRIBE to WagerTalk TV; \ud83d\udd14 CLICK the Bell and never miss an episode! \ud83d\udc40 WagerTalk TV, available for viewing on... \ud83d\udcfa Twitch: http:\/\/wt.buzz\/twitch \ud83e\udde0 More Free Sports Betting Picks and Tips: \ud83e\udd11 Free Sports Picks: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks \ud83d\udcca Live Odds: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds \ud83d\uddde\ufe0f News: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news \ud83d\udc4d Stay connected with WagerTalk \ud83d\udcfa YouTube: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tv \ud83d\udc4d Facebook: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/fb \ud83d\udc26 Twitter: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tw \ud83d\udcf8 Instagram: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ig \ud83d\udcf0 Reddit: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/rd \u2764\ufe0f iHeart Radio: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/iheart \ud83c\udf4e Apple Podcasts: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ap \ud83d\udccc Pinterest: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/pin\"><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/jXT77u2sEDk\/0.jpg\"><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT27M55S\"><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2023-06-12T21:57:41Z\"><\/span>\n<h3>$1250 On Us Offer from Caesars Sportsbook &amp; $500 2nd Chance Free Bets from BetRivers<\/h3>\n<p>Caesars and BetRivers are known to offer excellent lines on NBA props and NBA point spreads.\u00a0 If you&#8217;re stuck using the same 1-2 sportsbooks over and over, you need to expand your sportsbooks!\u00a0 A small change in lines when you place your bet could result in a 60% increase in winnings over a month of normal betting. Shop around, bet smarter with your NBA betting.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/wlwilliamhillus.adsrv.eacdn.com\/C.ashx?btag=a_8855b_2550c_&amp;affid=299&amp;siteid=8855&amp;adid=2550&amp;c=\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Get Your Exclusive Caesars $1250 On Us Bonus!<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/gtly.ink\/Zm0ChutRu\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Get Your Exclusive BetRivers $500 2nd Chance Bet Bonus!<\/a><\/p>\n<p><em style=\"font-size: revert; text-align: center; color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif;\">Interested in placing a bet on the US Open? BetMGM is offering a <a href=\"https:\/\/gtly.ink\/4lXjdvjDR\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$1,000 Risk-Free Bet<\/a> for first-time bettors in New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Indiana, Colorado, Tennessee, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Washington DC, Wyoming, Mississippi, Arizona and Louisiana.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/gtly.ink\/4lXjdvjDR\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-3037 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/BetMGM-Primary-Horizontal-Black-Background.jpg\" alt=\"BetMGM Logo\" width=\"528\" height=\"124\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/BetMGM-Primary-Horizontal-Black-Background.jpg 528w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/BetMGM-Primary-Horizontal-Black-Background-300x70.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 528px) 100vw, 528px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n<h4 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong>Latest Betting Odds and Public Action<\/strong><strong>: <\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/odds\" data-schema-attribute=\"\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Vegas lines<\/a> updated in real time, including who the public is betting on. <\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Last Minute Handicapping Advice<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">: Check out our extensive library of <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/sports-betting-guide\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">handicapping tips<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/videos\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sports betting tips video library<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">)<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Want an expert opinion?<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> Check out the latest <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Free Sports Picks<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Best Bets<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> from our team of expert sports handicappers.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>US Open Betting Preview WagerTalk golf handicapper Nick Borrman offers his thoughts on the US Open teeing off from Los Angeles Country Club in Los Angeles, CA. Nick discusses the guys at the top of the odds board, golfers to fade and other expert picks surrounding the US Open this week! Stay on top of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":17321,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[439],"tags":[442,445,443,444,2383,2562,2101,3435,3441,3442,3440,1066,3438,3436,3444,3445,3437,3446,3439],"class_list":["post-19598","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-golf","tag-golf","tag-golf-odds","tag-golf-picks","tag-golf-predictions","tag-justin-rose","tag-patrick-cantlay","tag-scottie-scheffler","tag-us-open","tag-us-open-best-bets","tag-us-open-bets","tag-us-open-betting","tag-us-open-golf","tag-us-open-odds","tag-us-open-picks","tag-us-open-picks-this-weekend","tag-us-open-picks-today","tag-us-open-predictions","tag-us-open-predictions-today","tag-viktor-hovland"],"basic_html":"<h2>US Open Betting Preview<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/nick-borrman\">WagerTalk golf handicapper Nick Borrman<\/a> offers his thoughts on the US Open teeing off from Los Angeles Country Club in Los Angeles, CA. Nick discusses the guys at the top of the odds board, golfers to fade and other expert picks surrounding the US Open this week!<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Stay on top of the latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/golf\">Golf<\/a> updates direct from Las Vegas!<\/em><\/p>\nWagerTalk also offers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nfl\">Free NFL Picks<\/a> all year long!\n\n<!--more-->\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th>US Open<\/th>\n<th>PGA Tour Betting Notes<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>When:<\/td>\n<td>June 15-18<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Where:<\/td>\n<td>Los Angeles Country Club in Los Angeles, CA<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Defending Champ:<\/td>\n<td>Matt Fitzpatrick<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Current Favorite:<\/td>\n<td>Scottie Scheffler (+700 at <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/draftkings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">DraftKings<\/a>)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>TV:<\/td>\n<td>GOLF &amp; NBC<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>US Open Odds Board<\/h2>\nTop-10 Total Strokes Gained over the last six months (betting odds via <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/fanduel\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">FanDuel<\/a> ,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/draftkings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">DraftKings <\/a>and others)\n\n<img class=\"alignnone  wp-image-19610\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Screen-Shot-2023-06-12-at-9.57.13-PM.png\" alt=\"US Open top 10 strokes gained\" width=\"434\" height=\"266\" \/>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3>Los Angeles Country Club in Los Angeles, CA<\/h3>\nFrom <a href=\"https:\/\/wt.buzz\/nb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nick Borrman<\/a>:\n\nThere is a plethora of great published information out there about this ultra-exclusive private club. It starts with going to the official US Open page and clicking through all 18 hole flyovers to get a good understanding of what the players will face this week.\n\nThere is a ton of elevation change around the track with uneven lies everywhere. Fairways will dogleg one direction but run off the opposite direction forcing players to hit a certain ball flight to be able to hold them.\n\nThe fairways in general are wide, much wider than what you would expect at a US Open, but because of the slopes combined with the expected firm and fast conditions expected by the weekend, it will still be difficult to stay in the fairway. Runoff areas look brutally tough with natural barrancas coming into play on just about half of the holes.\n\nVideos that have surfaced of the rough, particularly around green complexes, looks diabolical. Just dropping a ball into the grass and watching it disappear. The rough is all Bermuda grass which will be very difficult to play out of as the ball naturally wants to fall straight to the bottom. The greens, however, are all bentgrass.\n\nThe course plays to a par-70 and measures over 7,400 yards in length. There are three par 5s and five par 3s putting a little extra emphasis into par-3 scoring this week.\n\nTwo of the par 3s can play as long as 290 yards which is just ridiculous, though they won\u2019t play to their full yardage due to elevation change and the ability to run the ball onto the green.\n\nAgain, with a very little effort, you can find a ton of information on the track, but I\u2019ll instead focus on what I think it will take to win this event.\n<ul>\n \t<li>Distance off the tee is important but one must have the ability to work the ball both directions into the fairways. Top-5 SG Off the Tee the last 12 months include: Scheffler, McIlroy, DeChambeau, Young and Cantlay.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n \t<li>Strong iron play with high Greens in Regulation percentage will minimize the number of times dealing with the gnarly Bermuda rough around the greens. Top-5 in SG Approach the last 12 months include: Scheffler, Morikawa, Schauffele, Pereira and Finau.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n \t<li>Par-3 Scoring will be important with five in play this week. Top-5 in Par-3 scoring this season include: Rahm, Homa, Fowler, Scheffler and Burns.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<strong>Additionally, here are some trends I found interesting for this week:<\/strong>\n<ul>\n \t<li>Each of the last 8 US Open winners has finished T13 or better in their previous major start.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<strong>Additionally, each of the last 11 US Open winners:<\/strong>\n<ul>\n \t<li>Was ranked inside the OWGR Top-30.<\/li>\n \t<li>Had a Top-5 finish already that year.<\/li>\n \t<li>Had made the cut at the last US Open AND the last major (PGA).<\/li>\n \t<li>Had won LESS than two majors.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\nThat last bullet point I find extremely interesting as the US Open has proven that it produces more first-time major winners than any of the other majors. Seems odd to rule a guy like Koepka out because he has won too many? But who am I to argue with science?!\n\nThere is only one player that fits all five trends AND is in the Top-5 of my three most important stats for this week. It\u2019s probably the reason he is #1 in the world and the betting favorite.\n<h3>US Open Predictions<\/h3>\nI don\u2019t have to tell you to bet on Scheffler this week, you probably already figured that out, so instead, I\u2019ll shine the light on a couple of other selections I think are worthy of a few bucks.\n\n<strong>US Open Outright Winner<\/strong>\n\n<strong>Viktor Hovland +1700 (FanDuel)<\/strong>\n\nNow that Hovland finally has the proverbial monkey off his back for winning a big tournament as he captured the Memorial in his last start, this could be the start of something big for him when it comes to majors.\n\nHis last three major starts are:\n2022 Open: T4\n2023 Masters: T7\n2023 PGA: T2\n\nIf that doesn\u2019t spell a guy ready to win one, I don\u2019t know what does. He has gained strokes Off the Tee in all 13 events he has played in 2023 as he has the rare combination of distance AND accuracy with his driver.\n\nPar-3 scoring is strong, ranking 10th on TOUR this season. Additionally, he is 6th in overall Proximity including #1 in Proximity from the rough. Also 7th in Scoring Average.\n\nHis weakness has been his short game, but he has been trending upward in that department including gaining strokes at both the PGA and the Memorial.\n\n<strong>Leaderboard Finish<\/strong>\n\n<strong>Justin Rose Top-10 +365 (B365) | Top-20 +160 (B365)<\/strong>\n\nRose continues his phenomenal season with another Top-10 last week in Canada. In the biggest events this season he finished Top-10 at the PGA Championship and at THE PLAYERS while he finished just outside the Top-10 with a T16 at the Masters.\n\nRose\u2019s approach game has been fantastic as he has gained strokes in approach in ten straight starts and overall ranks 13th on the season.\n\nRose also ranks:\n4th in Proximity\n2nd in Sand Save Percentage\n6th Scoring Average\nT-10th in Par-3 Scoring\n\nFinally, Rose shows up strong at the majors as he has finished inside the Top-20 in 12 of the last 20 majors including seven Top-10s. Oh yea, and he\u2019s also the #1 SG Putter on bentgrass greens dating all the way back to 2014.\n\n<b>Top-10 Player to Fade<\/b>\n\n<strong>Patrick Cantlay<\/strong>\n\nI honestly do still expect Cantlay to finish Top-20, but the fact of the matter is that as the 5th betting favorite, I can\u2019t get behind him to return value this week, or in any major.\n\nHere\u2019s the stat you need to know about Cantlay\u2019s performances in majors. He has played in 26 majors so far in his career and has never entered the final round within five shots of the lead!\n\nProve to me you can win Patrick before I dare lay money on you to do so\u2026\n\nSee you next week for the Travelers Championship!\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3>US Open Betting Preview From WagerTalk Extra!<\/h3>\nNick Borrman and Andy Lang collaborate on WagerTalk Extra to give their individual US Open betting predictions and picks before this event tees off on Thursday morning. Get their outright winner plays, golfers to fade and even DFS options to take advantage of. View below now!\n\n[embedyt] https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=jXT77u2sEDk[\/embedyt]\n<h3>$1250 On Us Offer from Caesars Sportsbook &amp; $500 2nd Chance Free Bets from BetRivers<\/h3>\nCaesars and BetRivers are known to offer excellent lines on NBA props and NBA point spreads.\u00a0 If you're stuck using the same 1-2 sportsbooks over and over, you need to expand your sportsbooks!\u00a0 A small change in lines when you place your bet could result in a 60% increase in winnings over a month of normal betting. Shop around, bet smarter with your NBA betting.\n\n<a href=\"https:\/\/wlwilliamhillus.adsrv.eacdn.com\/C.ashx?btag=a_8855b_2550c_&amp;affid=299&amp;siteid=8855&amp;adid=2550&amp;c=\">Get Your Exclusive Caesars $1250 On Us Bonus!<\/a>\n\n<a href=\"https:\/\/gtly.ink\/Zm0ChutRu\">Get Your Exclusive BetRivers $500 2nd Chance Bet Bonus!<\/a>\n\n<em style=\"font-size: revert; text-align: center; color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif;\">Interested in placing a bet on the US Open? BetMGM is offering a <a href=\"https:\/\/gtly.ink\/4lXjdvjDR\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$1,000 Risk-Free Bet<\/a> for first-time bettors in New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Indiana, Colorado, Tennessee, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Washington DC, Wyoming, Mississippi, Arizona and Louisiana.<\/em>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/gtly.ink\/4lXjdvjDR\"><img class=\"aligncenter wp-image-3037 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/BetMGM-Primary-Horizontal-Black-Background.jpg\" alt=\"BetMGM Logo\" width=\"528\" height=\"124\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<h4 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n<ul>\n \t<li style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong>Latest Betting Odds and Public Action<\/strong><strong>: <\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/odds\" data-schema-attribute=\"\">Vegas lines<\/a> updated in real time, including who the public is betting on. <\/span><\/li>\n \t<li style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Last Minute Handicapping Advice<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">: Check out our extensive library of <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/sports-betting-guide\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">handicapping tips<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/videos\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sports betting tips video library<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">)<\/span><\/li>\n \t<li style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Want an expert opinion?<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> Check out the latest <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Free Sports Picks<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Best Bets<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> from our team of expert sports handicappers.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19598","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19598"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19598\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17321"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19598"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19598"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19598"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}