12:30pm ET \/ 9:30am PT<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\nBayern vs Dortmund Betting Analysis<\/h2>\nThe one thing that we have all come to expect out of Der Klassiker is a goal fest. Each of the last seven meetings between these sides has finished with at least four goals scored including a 2-2 draw in the reverse fixture back in October.<\/p>\n Going back even further, 15 of the last 18 meetings have finished Over this total. Quite remarkable with a total set at 3.5. I\u2019m honestly surprised this hasn\u2019t moved to 4.0 or at least 3.75 as the standard for this rivalry.<\/p>\n Bayern in Familiar Territory<\/h3>\nI can\u2019t remember the last time Bayern was not atop the table at this point of the season with only nine matches remaining, but here we are as Dortmund lead by one point.<\/p>\n Both teams have slightly pulled away from the pack as Union Berlin is four points back of Bayern for third place.<\/p>\n At this point, it\u2019s pretty evident that the Bundesliga will be won by one of these two sides and this game is going to be a big factor in how the title race plays out.<\/p>\n ![\"German](\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Screen-Shot-2023-03-29-at-10.56.23-PM.png\") <\/p>\n
Low Scoring Match on Horizon?<\/h3>\nWith that in mind, I\u2019m a little hesitant to jump on the Over. With so much on the line, we often see big teams in big matches play to much lower scoring games than the surface level suggests.<\/p>\n We see it all the time in the Champions League and both teams were involved in those type of matches as Bayern beat PSG twice, 1-0 and 2-0, while Dortmund beat Chelsea 1-0 in leg 1 before losing 0-2 in leg 2.<\/p>\n Then again, the Bundesliga tends to play out a little differently as Dortmund followed up their Champions League exit with a 2-2 draw at lowly Schalke followed by a 6-1 thumping over Koln while Bayern allowed three goals to Augsburg in a thrilling 5-3 win.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\nBy the numbers, the offense is there:<\/span><\/p>\nBundesliga per 90 minutes<\/strong>
<\/span>Bayern 2.45 xG (2.91 home) | 19.0 shots | 8.0 on target (All rank 1<\/span>st<\/span>)<\/span>
<\/span>Dortmund 1.91 xG | 15.1 shots | 6.2 on target (Rank 3<\/span>rd<\/span> in xG and 2<\/span>nd<\/span> in shot volume).\u00a0 Dortmund\u2019s xG does drop to 1.68 on the road, but their xGA increases to 1.51 from 1.30<\/span><\/p>\nBayern vs Dortmund Expert Prediction<\/h2>\nOK, so I\u2019ve talked myself out of taking the Over and to now back on it in a matter of a minute. It\u2019s Der Klassiker, I mean that\u2019s all you have to say.<\/p>\n Prediction: Over 3.5 Goals Scored -120<\/strong><\/p>\n | ![\"Soccer](\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/Q8k9Q-LJ_9I\/maxresdefault.jpg\")