{"id":172,"date":"2021-10-01T13:38:59","date_gmt":"2021-10-01T17:38:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=172"},"modified":"2021-10-01T13:39:01","modified_gmt":"2021-10-01T17:39:01","slug":"college-football-week-5-betting-notes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football\/college-football-week-5-betting-notes\/","title":{"rendered":"College Football Week 5 Betting Notes"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>College Football Week 5 Betting Preview<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">WagerTalk handicapper <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/dave-cokin\" data-schema-attribute=\"\">Dave Cokin<\/a> offers analysis on games that just missed his College Football Week 5 betting card. Each week on Twitter, Dave shares the games that fell just outside his comfort zone. Here, he expands upon those games with reasons why he was drawn in a particular direction, and why ultimately he decided to pass.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Stay on top of the latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/college-football\" data-schema-attribute=\"\">College Football<\/a> updates direct from Las Vegas!<\/em><!--more--><\/p>\n<h3>NCAAF Week 5 Notes<\/h3>\n<p>Again, just to reiterate: As of Friday afternoon, these are games that I have not bet. I am simply sharing some of my notes that may, perhaps, assist in your handicapping as you break down the College Football Week 5 card.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Utah State +9.5<\/strong> vs BYU: I definitely feel that the Aggies can compete with BYU, but my required number was +10.5 and I am not willing to settle for anything less.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Clemson -14.5<\/strong> vs Boston College: I expect the Clemson defense to control the Boston College offense, but I can&#8217;t back the Tigers with their anemic offense. Clemson also has some injury issues. That&#8217;s enough to keep this in the &#8220;added opinion&#8221; category.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Troy +6.5<\/strong> at South Carolina: Should have played this Sunday night at +8 or better. I can&#8217;t back the Trojans at +6.5, but this is an upset possibility. I thought this line might rise with Troy off a very bad loss to UL-Monroe, but that didn&#8217;t happen.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">This week&#8217;s free play college football vid is here. The written version and everything else is now up at <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/WagerTalk?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">@WagerTalk<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/crCpGZvtUv\">https:\/\/t.co\/crCpGZvtUv<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/bTO8Hl48Kr\">pic.twitter.com\/bTO8Hl48Kr<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Dave Cokin (@davecokin) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/davecokin\/status\/1443282905363406849?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">September 29, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n<strong>Penn State -12.5<\/strong> vs Indiana: This is a serious revenge spot for Penn State, and Indiana QB Michael Penix Jr. is struggling. I missed the -10.5 earlier in the week and won&#8217;t lay two points more than that. It&#8217;s simply a bad wagering strategy to accept beat-up lines.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Eastern Michigan +1<\/strong> at Northern Illinois: My target number was +3, and it never got there. The Eagles are the slightly better team on my numbers, but +1\/+1.5 is not bet-able value, in my opinion.<\/p>\n<p><strong>San Jose State -27.5<\/strong> vs New Mexico State: The Spartans should obliterate hapless New Mexico State, but their offense just isn&#8217;t clicking enough for me to feel comfortable with them as massive chalk.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Georgia -18<\/strong> vs Arkansas: Surprising Arkansas has matchup issues here and the Bulldogs should cruise, but the Razorbacks&#8217; defense might be good enough to keep this from getting out of hand. Laying -17 was my ceiling.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Texas A&amp;M -7<\/strong> vs Mississippi State: The Aggies&#8217; outstanding defense should contain the Mississippi State air attack, but I simply cannot lay this number with how poorly the A&amp;M quarterback has performed.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Liberty +2<\/strong> at UAB: I&#8217;ve got the Flames -1.5 on my ratings, so I was hoping for +3 but it&#8217;s not there. This is also the first home game for UAB in its brand new stadium, and Liberty is coming off a very tough loss. It&#8217;s not an ideal scenario for the Flames.<\/p>\n<h3>College Football Week 5 Analysis from The GoldSheet<\/h3>\n<p>Each week, the GoldSheet posts their stat logs for the prior week&#8217;s games to help you find statistical anomalies. Here are some things to note from last week&#8217;s games:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Oregon beat Arizona by 22 points, but the Wildcats had an astonishing 14 more first downs than the Ducks.<\/li>\n<li>Army won (and covered) vs Miami (Oh) last week despite not completing a pass.<\/li>\n<li>Utah fumbled six times (lost three of them) vs Washington State.<\/li>\n<li>West Virginia fumbled three times vs Oklahoma and didn&#8217;t lose any of them, while North Carolina fumbled three times vs Georgia Tech and lost all three.<\/li>\n<li>Alabama returned two kickoffs for a touchdown last week vs Southern Miss.<\/li>\n<li>Kentucky out-gained South Carolina by 116 yards and had ten more first downs, but lost the turnover battle 3-0.<\/li>\n<li>Nebraska out-gained Michigan State by 186 yards and had 14 more first downs&#8230;and lost to Michigan State.<\/li>\n<li>Old Dominion out-gained Buffalo by 136 yards and had ten more first downs, but lost outright to the Bulls.<\/li>\n<li>Charleston Southern had TWENTY more first downs than East Carolina last week (34-14).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-174\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/ys.png\" alt=\"College Football Spread Analysis from The GoldSheet\" width=\"543\" height=\"209\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/ys.png 543w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/ys-300x115.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 543px) 100vw, 543px\" \/><\/p>\n<h3>College Football Daily<\/h3>\n<p>Arkansas has been the talk of the SEC so far this season with upset wins over Texas and Texas A&amp;M. The Razorbacks still find themselves as 19-point underdogs on the road in Athens on Saturday against the No. 2 Bulldogs. Join Joe Raineri, Dave Cokin, Ralph Michaels and Teddy Covers for College Football Daily as we preview the marquee College Football Week 5 matchups, including Stanford vs Oregon; Clemson vs Boston College; Georgia vs Arkansas; and UCLA vs Arizona State.<br \/>\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/5mdMxzjotsk\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h3>WagerTalk Live Odds Screen<\/h3>\n<p>WagerTalk\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/freeOddsPage\/page.html?sport=L2&amp;cb=0.9928941197948595\" data-schema-attribute=\"\">live odds screen<\/a> features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track college football moneylines, point spreads, first half spreads, team totals and so much more from your desktop or phone.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/freeOddsPage\/page.html?sport=L2&amp;cb=0.9928941197948595\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-151 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/cfb5.png\" alt=\"WagerTalk Live Odds Screen\" width=\"1659\" height=\"770\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/cfb5.png 1659w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/cfb5-300x139.png 300w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/cfb5-1024x475.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/cfb5-768x356.png 768w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/cfb5-1536x713.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1659px) 100vw, 1659px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n<h4 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong>Latest Betting Odds and Public Action<\/strong><strong>: <\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/odds\" data-schema-attribute=\"\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Vegas lines<\/a> updated in real time, including who the public is betting on. <\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Last Minute Handicapping Advice<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">: Check out our extensive library of <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/news.wagertalk.com\/sports-betting-tips\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">handicapping tips<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/news.wagertalk.com\/videos\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">sports betting tips video library<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">)<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Want an expert opinion?<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> Check out the latest <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Free Sports Picks<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Best Bets<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> from our team of expert sports handicappers.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>College Football Week 5 Betting Preview WagerTalk handicapper Dave Cokin offers analysis on games that just missed his College Football Week 5 betting card. Each week on Twitter, Dave shares the games that fell just outside his comfort zone. Here, he expands upon those games with reasons why he was drawn in a particular direction, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":173,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[10,8,27,9,11],"class_list":["post-172","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-football","tag-cfb","tag-college-football","tag-college-football-week-5","tag-ncaa-football","tag-ncaaf"],"basic_html":"<h2>College Football Week 5 Betting Preview<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">WagerTalk handicapper <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/dave-cokin\" data-schema-attribute=\"\">Dave Cokin<\/a> offers analysis on games that just missed his College Football Week 5 betting card. Each week on Twitter, Dave shares the games that fell just outside his comfort zone. Here, he expands upon those games with reasons why he was drawn in a particular direction, and why ultimately he decided to pass.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Stay on top of the latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/college-football\" data-schema-attribute=\"\">College Football<\/a> updates direct from Las Vegas!<\/em><!--more--><\/p>\n\n<h3>NCAAF Week 5 Notes<\/h3>\nAgain, just to reiterate: As of Friday afternoon, these are games that I have not bet. I am simply sharing some of my notes that may, perhaps, assist in your handicapping as you break down the College Football Week 5 card.\n\n<strong>Utah State +9.5<\/strong> vs BYU: I definitely feel that the Aggies can compete with BYU, but my required number was +10.5 and I am not willing to settle for anything less.\n\n<strong>Clemson -14.5<\/strong> vs Boston College: I expect the Clemson defense to control the Boston College offense, but I can't back the Tigers with their anemic offense. Clemson also has some injury issues. That's enough to keep this in the \"added opinion\" category.\n\n<strong>Troy +6.5<\/strong> at South Carolina: Should have played this Sunday night at +8 or better. I can't back the Trojans at +6.5, but this is an upset possibility. I thought this line might rise with Troy off a very bad loss to UL-Monroe, but that didn't happen.\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">This week's free play college football vid is here. The written version and everything else is now up at <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/WagerTalk?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@WagerTalk<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/crCpGZvtUv\">https:\/\/t.co\/crCpGZvtUv<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/bTO8Hl48Kr\">pic.twitter.com\/bTO8Hl48Kr<\/a><\/p>\n\u2014 Dave Cokin (@davecokin) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/davecokin\/status\/1443282905363406849?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 29, 2021<\/a><\/blockquote>\n<script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<strong>Penn State -12.5<\/strong> vs Indiana: This is a serious revenge spot for Penn State, and Indiana QB Michael Penix Jr. is struggling. I missed the -10.5 earlier in the week and won't lay two points more than that. It's simply a bad wagering strategy to accept beat-up lines.\n\n<strong>Eastern Michigan +1<\/strong> at Northern Illinois: My target number was +3, and it never got there. The Eagles are the slightly better team on my numbers, but +1\/+1.5 is not bet-able value, in my opinion.\n\n<strong>San Jose State -27.5<\/strong> vs New Mexico State: The Spartans should obliterate hapless New Mexico State, but their offense just isn't clicking enough for me to feel comfortable with them as massive chalk.\n\n<strong>Georgia -18<\/strong> vs Arkansas: Surprising Arkansas has matchup issues here and the Bulldogs should cruise, but the Razorbacks' defense might be good enough to keep this from getting out of hand. Laying -17 was my ceiling.\n\n<strong>Texas A&amp;M -7<\/strong> vs Mississippi State: The Aggies' outstanding defense should contain the Mississippi State air attack, but I simply cannot lay this number with how poorly the A&amp;M quarterback has performed.\n\n<strong>Liberty +2<\/strong> at UAB: I've got the Flames -1.5 on my ratings, so I was hoping for +3 but it's not there. This is also the first home game for UAB in its brand new stadium, and Liberty is coming off a very tough loss. It's not an ideal scenario for the Flames.\n<h3>College Football Week 5 Analysis from The GoldSheet<\/h3>\nEach week, the GoldSheet posts their stat logs for the prior week's games to help you find statistical anomalies. Here are some things to note from last week's games:\n<ul>\n \t<li>Oregon beat Arizona by 22 points, but the Wildcats had an astonishing 14 more first downs than the Ducks.<\/li>\n \t<li>Army won (and covered) vs Miami (Oh) last week despite not completing a pass.<\/li>\n \t<li>Utah fumbled six times (lost three of them) vs Washington State.<\/li>\n \t<li>West Virginia fumbled three times vs Oklahoma and didn't lose any of them, while North Carolina fumbled three times vs Georgia Tech and lost all three.<\/li>\n \t<li>Alabama returned two kickoffs for a touchdown last week vs Southern Miss.<\/li>\n \t<li>Kentucky out-gained South Carolina by 116 yards and had ten more first downs, but lost the turnover battle 3-0.<\/li>\n \t<li>Nebraska out-gained Michigan State by 186 yards and had 14 more first downs...and lost to Michigan State.<\/li>\n \t<li>Old Dominion out-gained Buffalo by 136 yards and had ten more first downs, but lost outright to the Bulls.<\/li>\n \t<li>Charleston Southern had TWENTY more first downs than East Carolina last week (34-14).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<img class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-174\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/ys.png\" alt=\"College Football Spread Analysis from The GoldSheet\" width=\"543\" height=\"209\" \/>\n<h3>College Football Daily<\/h3>\nArkansas has been the talk of the SEC so far this season with upset wins over Texas and Texas A&amp;M. The Razorbacks still find themselves as 19-point underdogs on the road in Athens on Saturday against the No. 2 Bulldogs. Join Joe Raineri, Dave Cokin, Ralph Michaels and Teddy Covers for College Football Daily as we preview the marquee College Football Week 5 matchups, including Stanford vs Oregon; Clemson vs Boston College; Georgia vs Arkansas; and UCLA vs Arizona State.\n<iframe title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/5mdMxzjotsk\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe>\n<h3>WagerTalk Live Odds Screen<\/h3>\nWagerTalk\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/freeOddsPage\/page.html?sport=L2&amp;cb=0.9928941197948595\" data-schema-attribute=\"\">live odds screen<\/a> features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track college football moneylines, point spreads, first half spreads, team totals and so much more from your desktop or phone.\n\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/freeOddsPage\/page.html?sport=L2&amp;cb=0.9928941197948595\"><img class=\"alignnone wp-image-151 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/cfb5.png\" alt=\"WagerTalk Live Odds Screen\" width=\"1659\" height=\"770\" \/><\/a>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<h4 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n<ul>\n \t<li style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong>Latest Betting Odds and Public Action<\/strong><strong>: <\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/odds\" data-schema-attribute=\"\">Vegas lines<\/a> updated in real time, including who the public is betting on. <\/span><\/li>\n \t<li style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Last Minute Handicapping Advice<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">: Check out our extensive library of <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/news.wagertalk.com\/sports-betting-tips\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">handicapping tips<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/news.wagertalk.com\/videos\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">sports betting tips video library<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">)<\/span><\/li>\n \t<li style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Want an expert opinion?<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> Check out the latest <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Free Sports Picks<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Best Bets<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> from our team of expert sports handicappers.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/172","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=172"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/172\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/173"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=172"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=172"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=172"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}