WagerTalk NFL handicapper Andy Lang offers his Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Bucs NFL Week 12 betting preview for Sunday, November 28. At the time of posting, the Buccaneers are a 3-point road favorite in Indianapolis, with the total sitting at 53 points.<\/p>\n
Stay on top of the latest NFL<\/a> updates direct from Las Vegas!<\/em><\/p>\n Really fun matchup here as most of us Colts fans never dreamed that we would be playing Tom Brady in 2021, but here we are! We\u2019ll start off with some crazy stats for this game:<\/p>\n -Brady has 5 interceptions the last three games. Carson Wentz has 0. Tampa came off the bye week and got shocked by Washington, but came back strong and dominated the Giants in a 30-10 win. The colts are winners of five out of six with the loss being an overtime loss to Tennessee. They started off the year with three straight losses, but have gotten into sync as the season has moved on, and last weeks 41-15 win against Buffalo was the highlight so far.<\/p>\n Jonathan Taylor has elevated himself into the elite running back class, and his MVP odds are even down to 25-1, which is incredible for a running back. Brady continues to do what Brady does\u2026throw interceptions, win games and have more hair the older he gets. The third thing won\u2019t help with handicapping this game, so let\u2019s see what we can work with.<\/p>\n Gronk coming back for Tampa was big for them as Brady gets his friend and safety blanket back. Gronk\u2019s first game back since injury looked like he never missed a beat as he caught six passes for 71 yards. Interceptions continue to be an issue for Brady, and he threw another one and we don\u2019t know if that was his fault, but there was miscommunication with him and the receivers and the result was another turnover. Turnovers are hard to predict so I won\u2019t try to predict one\u2026but I\u2019ll just say last week the Brady prop to throw an INT was plus money, and if it\u2019s plus money again this week, I\u2019ll be playing it again.<\/p>\n The rushing attack from Tampa was interesting as Tampa rushed the ball 27 times with eight different runners, and Indy does a good job against the run. Despite Josh Allen’s bad performance last week, the Colts secondary can be thrown on. They give up 247 yards average a game, and some of those games were against some really bad passing teams (Texans, Dolphins, Jets, etc). I feel Brady is going to do what he does best, which is run the ball when the defense plays two deep safeties, and then light up the secondary when they come out of it. As a Colts fan, I can tell you we cannot defend Godwin, Evans and Gronk along with Fournette out of the backfield. Brady should have a big day.<\/p>\n I was surprised to see how dominant the rushing attack of Indy was against Buffalo and that\u2019s where this game will be decided. Tampa is back in the #1 spot for rushing yards per game allowed with only 78.4 and if they can take away the explosiveness of Taylor and make Wentz beat them with a heavy passing attack that spells trouble for Indy. At this point though, I can\u2019t doubt this rushing attack. It will be a fun matchup to watch, but I think they find success and get Jonathan Taylor to his 9th straight game with over 100 yards from scrimmage. I just don\u2019t think they can hold Brady back forever, and that\u2019s why I like Tampa Bay to cover here.<\/p>\n The line is at -3, and if you can find -2.5 great. Brady will find the holes in the Colts defense and exploit them all game long, and I expect them to get to their 6th game of the year with 30 or more points. The Bucs have won seven games, and in six of them they\u2019ve scored 28 or more. The one game that was under was the rain game in New England. So when they win, they put up a lot of points. I think the Colts play them close, so I won\u2019t play this if it gets to 3.5, but as long as it\u2019s at -3 I\u2019ll take Brady and company to get the win and cover.<\/p>\n Official Play: Buccaneers -3<\/p>\n \ud83d\udcb0 Reminder: There are three editions of #BetOnIt<\/a> this week: 1) College; 2) Thanksgiving games; 3) Sunday games. Here’s the Sunday edition as @kellyinvegas<\/a> @MarcoInVegas<\/a> @Greek_Gambler<\/a> and @CalSportsLV<\/a> break down the #NFL<\/a> Week 12 betting slate.https:\/\/t.co\/v2zROn4aTq<\/a><\/p>\n \u2014 WagerTalk (@WagerTalk) November 25, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\nIndianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Bucs Predictions<\/h3>\n
\n
\n-Tampa Bay has 8 rushing TD\u2019s all year. Jonathan Taylor has 13
\n-Indy is 7-4 ATS\u2026Tampa is 4-6<\/p>\n\n