Interested in joining WagerTalk at the Westgate’s SuperContest Weekend in Las Vegas? Click here<\/a> to learn more about the activities (golf, basketball, handicapping panels and more) and the discounted room block as WagerTalk takes over Sin City in August.<\/em><\/p>\n Nick Castellanos is well behind the home run pace he had last season in which he hit 34 in 138 games. He\u2019s hit 10 in 113 games this season for Philadelphia but will return to a place he\u2019s familiar hitting in the Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati.<\/p>\n The Phillies offense as a whole has been stagnant only scoring two runs in their past four games. That trend will surely turn around tonight going against Mike Minor who is 1-9 on the season sporting a 6.24 ERA.<\/p>\n Castellanos is 4-11 with two home runs in his career against Minor and should be in line to hit one out tonight. Minor hasn\u2019t pitched more than 5.1 innings in his last three starts and has allowed six home runs combined in his last four starts.<\/p>\n He\u2019s allowed 11 home runs in 36 innings pitched at home which is a terrible innings pitched\/home runs allowed ratio. Castellanos has hit .311 against lefties this season and provides a .278 average on the road. Both better than his overall average on the season.<\/p>\n This will be the first meeting between these two teams this season in which Castellanos and the Phillies will be chomping at the bit. Get Castellanos at +320 but other Phillies hitters to consider are Jean Segura (+400)<\/strong> who is 5-11 all-time against Minor as well as Bryson Stott (+700)<\/strong> who\u2019s hitting .421 in the past week.<\/p>\n The Blue Jays look to turn back up the offense after only scoring four runs in their 3-game series with the Guardians over the weekend.<\/p>\n They get Kyle Bradish and the Orioles tonight in which Bradish has been vulnerable to giving up home runs. He\u2019s allowed three in his last four starts and hasn\u2019t pitched more than 5.1 innings in any of his past five starts.<\/p>\n His last start actually came against these Blue Jays in which he allowed one home run, three earned runs in total in 5.1 innings pitched. Matt Chapman looks to come through tonight with a home run as three of his six hits this month have been home runs.<\/p>\n Now his average has been poor in August at .158 and it can\u2019t get much worse for Chapman. He hit a home run two games ago against the Guardians as Chapman plays much better at home than on the road with 17 of his 23 home runs coming at the Rogers Centre.<\/p>\n Overall on the season against the Orioles Chapman is hitting .429 with three home runs. Chapman is listed at +320 to hit a home run tonight, but other Blue Jays hitters that could hit a home run out of the Rogers Centre include Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+370)<\/strong> and Bo Bichette (+500)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n Interested in placing a home run prop bet? PointsBet is offering two risk-free bets up to $2,000<\/a> for bettors in New Jersey, Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Colorado, Michigan, Virginia and New York.<\/em><\/p>\n Join Drew Martin and a rotating panel of guests for First Pitch as we break down the daily baseball slate from a betting perspective every weekday at 1:45pm ET \/ 10:45am PT for First Pitch discussing the MLB betting slate.<\/p>\nHome Run Prop Prediction 1: Nick Castellanos (+320)<\/h2>\n
Home Run Prop Prediction 2: Matt Chapman (+320)<\/h2>\n
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<\/a><\/p>\nFirst Pitch | MLB Betting Preview for Monday, August 15<\/h3>\n
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